ImageImage

Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday - Trade done - Bucks 2022 to CLE unprotected

Moderators: MickeyDavis, paulpressey25

mkegb
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,323
And1: 548
Joined: Apr 26, 2017

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#841 » by mkegb » Thu Nov 19, 2020 7:08 pm

coolhandluke121 wrote:
mkegb wrote:
coolhandluke121 wrote:
You should check out the 2019 ECF because apparently you missed it. Being informed helps you avoid obnoxious posts like this.


I agree with some of the initial post, we should do whatever we can to win NOW. However, giving up the 2026 swap an 2027 unprotected pick was bad.

We all watched the 2019 ECF, wouldn't you agree we would have won that series pretty easily if we had Holiday instead of Bledsoe? Yeah a couple of free throw makes, we probably win. But if we had Holiday, it would have never come down to a few FTs.


We can't go back in time and put Jrue in that series though. Who knows how this plays out. And this is not like Kawhi-to-the-Raptors move that clearly bumps you several tiers up in one fell swoop. This is a nice boost, but other ways to get this much of a boost would have come along eventually. I'm not sure I've ever seen a single season where at least one more favorable trade opportunity than this didn't come up eventually (not necessarily a better player, but definitely a better price, or two players not quite as good as Jrue while giving up less than the Bucks gave just for Jrue).

Most importantly, you shouldn't have to give up 4 damn unprotected picks 4-7 years from now, when this team's window of contention is likely over (assume the keep Khris, Bogdan, and Jrue and are good for 3 more years), to get a better player than Bledsoe. That's just crazy to me. It gets worse and worse the more I think about it. My only hope is that they might trade Khris and Brook for some young guys to extend their window. Barring that, I see this as a move that people around the league will cite for decades to come as what NEVER to do. I'm not even sure I would want to pay Jrue a max deal from age 31-35 if I had to give up anything more than Bledsoe and Hill for the right to do it, let alone for #24 and 4 potential lotto picks. Eff this.

And I never said we shouldn't trade the picks to "WIN NOW". I said you have to get better value than this. Much better.



I gotta imagine that the Bucks already talked about an extension with Jrue, you don't trade picks that far out if you are not 100% certain you are keeping your core together. I also do not think that Jrue is getting a max extension and if you extend him 4 years, that brings to to age 35 and the 2025 season. So the 2025 unprotected pick is fine its the 2026 swap and 2027 unprotected that was dumb.

Plus, I think Holiday at 35 is not going to be that big of a drop off from 30. I would be happy with production that is similar to Chris Paul at age 36 today.
coolhandluke121
RealGM
Posts: 14,309
And1: 7,454
Joined: Sep 23, 2007

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#842 » by coolhandluke121 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:00 pm

mkegb wrote:

I gotta imagine that the Bucks already talked about an extension with Jrue, you don't trade picks that far out if you are not 100% certain you are keeping your core together. I also do not think that Jrue is getting a max extension and if you extend him 4 years, that brings to to age 35 and the 2025 season. So the 2025 unprotected pick is fine its the 2026 swap and 2027 unprotected that was dumb.

Plus, I think Holiday at 35 is not going to be that big of a drop off from 30. I would be happy with production that is similar to Chris Paul at age 36 today.


Those aren't even remotely sound assumptions based on recent history. When do players of Jrue's caliber not get max contracts? How many pg's are still remotely as effective at age 35? How can you compare Jrue to an all-time top 10 PG like CP3?

George Hill was actually not that far off from Jrue in his prime, and look at him now after just turning 34. I love him, but he's not even close to what he was and can only play 20 mpg effectively. And he's never even had a major injury or been out of shape. An average age-related decline for a guy like Jrue puts him squarely in bad contract territory within 2 years of starting his next contract. What about his skills means he would age well? That's usually for great shooters and/or floor generals. It's definitely not for physical defensive stud pg's.
Wut we've got here is... faaailure... to communakate.
User avatar
Bernman
RealGM
Posts: 27,901
And1: 8,404
Joined: Aug 05, 2004
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#843 » by Bernman » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:10 pm

coolhandluke121 wrote:I can hardly bring myself to respond to this. They have had the best record in the NBA two years in a row, were probably one missed ft away from a title in 2019 (win game 3 in regulation against the Raptors), and have been a very desirable destination for coveted minimum-contract ring chasers for two years running. What the hell does 2002-2016 have to do with anything??

If this supporting cast declines over the next 3 years, which is very likely given the age of everyone except Giannis, Giannis could force his way out and they could literally have given up 4 high lotto picks in 2024-27 for Jrue, to say nothing of Bledsoe, Hill, and #24. That's **** mind-boggling. I am not "low" on Holiday. You have to be almost unconscionably high on him to justify that. That's the type of crap that makes you a 35-win team for a decade plus, and it's not like the trade is some slam-dunk that makes you the clear title favorite. There was no need to be that desperate. If Giannis is that dumb, then you have to talk some sense into him. I'm not against trading all those picks in some form, but that package is literally worth 2 Jrue Holidays under the circumstances. FFS he will be a UFA seeking a max contract with almost 10 years experience (making his max salary higher) at age 31 in just one year! It's beyond disgusting.


It's the CARES Act of basketball deals. Once the novelty wears off from the bait of moderate benefit in the interim for huge net loss in the long run, we'll realize we got fleeced & this could have devastated us for a generation. If the chips & ships don't fall to at least make it palatable, it could go down as the runaway winner for worst move made in franchise history. A franchise which has had more than its share of terrible ones already.
User avatar
tski1972
Head Coach
Posts: 6,322
And1: 3,781
Joined: May 24, 2011
Location: Wow-saw, WI
Contact:
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#844 » by tski1972 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:13 pm

Losing out on Bogdan makes this trade look worse.
http://twitter.com/MarkIsOld

Image

"Because of Giannis, the once lousy Bucks are back in the NBA conversation." - 60 Minutes
jakecronus8
RealGM
Posts: 16,821
And1: 8,212
Joined: Feb 06, 2006
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#845 » by jakecronus8 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:20 pm

tski1972 wrote:Losing out on Bogdan makes this trade look worse.


This. It was already objectively a historic overpay, but with the Bogdanovic domino falling this could be the torpedo that sinks this ship and puts us out of our misery.
Do it for Chuck
User avatar
tedbrogen
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,329
And1: 3,833
Joined: Jun 20, 2008

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#846 » by tedbrogen » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:24 pm

tski1972 wrote:Losing out on Bogdan makes this trade look worse.


They still needed to move on from Bledsoe and got the one guy who is better defensively while being under-rated offensively. They can still extend Jrue in February and Giannis is still allowed to sign a supermax on Friday. They can now use the full MLE to go after another SG and bench help. Their bench is already much better by having DDV. A defensive lineup of Jrue, DDV, Midds, Giannis, Brook is actually far superior to Jrue, BB, Midds, Giannis, Brook. However, DDV could cause spacing issues now, so they need to focus on a floor spacing SG or some sort.

They should still be attractive to ring chasing vets because their is playing time on a contender available.
User avatar
drone3
Head Coach
Posts: 6,455
And1: 3,075
Joined: Sep 10, 2015

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#847 » by drone3 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:29 pm

Go get Campazzo
User avatar
RubberSoul
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,938
And1: 3,365
Joined: May 23, 2014
       

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#848 » by RubberSoul » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:31 pm

Since it’s not official can Bucks still pull out of this trade? After the initial excitement has worn off for me I can see more clearly that this has to be one of the most lopsided deals in league history. If Giannis leaves now this will wreck the franchise for a decade it’s just not worth the risk.

Without the Bogdan trade along side this trade it’s just a complete disaster.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
User avatar
drone3
Head Coach
Posts: 6,455
And1: 3,075
Joined: Sep 10, 2015

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#849 » by drone3 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:33 pm

RubberSoul wrote:Since it’s not official can Bucks still pull out of this trade? After the initial excitement has worn off for me I can see more clearly that this has to be one of the most lopsided deals in league history. If Giannis leaves now this will wreck the franchise for a decade it’s just not worth the risk.

Without the Bogdan trade along side this trade it’s just a complete disaster.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Why is it a complete disaster?
slappyg
Junior
Posts: 442
And1: 292
Joined: Jan 19, 2008

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#850 » by slappyg » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:37 pm

drone3 wrote:
RubberSoul wrote:Since it’s not official can Bucks still pull out of this trade? After the initial excitement has worn off for me I can see more clearly that this has to be one of the most lopsided deals in league history. If Giannis leaves now this will wreck the franchise for a decade it’s just not worth the risk.

Without the Bogdan trade along side this trade it’s just a complete disaster.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Why is it a complete disaster?

It's even riskier because this alone does not put us over the top. Both moves may have.
User avatar
RubberSoul
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,938
And1: 3,365
Joined: May 23, 2014
       

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#851 » by RubberSoul » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:41 pm

drone3 wrote:
RubberSoul wrote:Since it’s not official can Bucks still pull out of this trade? After the initial excitement has worn off for me I can see more clearly that this has to be one of the most lopsided deals in league history. If Giannis leaves now this will wreck the franchise for a decade it’s just not worth the risk.

Without the Bogdan trade along side this trade it’s just a complete disaster.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Why is it a complete disaster?

Because in my opinion the risk we are subjecting ourselves to for the marginal upgrade from Bledsoe to Holiday isn’t worth it. Holiday just isn’t worth that type of return.

I guess the more I think about it it’s a disaster with or without the Bogdan trade.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
DingleJerry
RealGM
Posts: 15,352
And1: 11,044
Joined: Jul 09, 2015
       

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#852 » by DingleJerry » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:46 pm

Wouldn't you think No would rather have Ersan than Hill in order to be on the hook for less money? Maybe not though since i'm sure they view Hill as more of a player right now. So maybe can get good minutes from him and/or use him in a trade later. Still, if i had to guess I'd think they'd rather save the money.
Resident Lillard truther since 2015.
User avatar
Bernman
RealGM
Posts: 27,901
And1: 8,404
Joined: Aug 05, 2004
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#853 » by Bernman » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:57 pm

They could have at least done these future mortgaging moves, accompanied with a Giannis supermax extension, not just buying us more theoretical hope of one. That's not remotely worth it.
Ruzious
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 47,909
And1: 11,582
Joined: Jul 17, 2001
       

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#854 » by Ruzious » Thu Nov 19, 2020 9:00 pm

tski1972 wrote:Losing out on Bogdan makes this trade look worse.

Yes, but it was a crazy stupid trade all by itself.
"A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools." - Douglas Adams
coolhandluke121
RealGM
Posts: 14,309
And1: 7,454
Joined: Sep 23, 2007

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#855 » by coolhandluke121 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 9:51 pm

DingleJerry wrote:Wouldn't you think No would rather have Ersan than Hill in order to be on the hook for less money? Maybe not though since i'm sure they view Hill as more of a player right now. So maybe can get good minutes from him and/or use him in a trade later. Still, if i had to guess I'd think they'd rather save the money.


George Hill led the league in 3-point efficiency and had an RPM of +1.37, 21st in the NBA among pg's. He's still a respectable defender too. They will get something of value for him. His 2021-22 salary is almost fully non-guaranteed as well, if I'm not mistaken.
Wut we've got here is... faaailure... to communakate.
MiCo7
Freshman
Posts: 95
And1: 29
Joined: Nov 19, 2020

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#856 » by MiCo7 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 10:06 pm

I would like to add, if the front office made this Jrue trade without knowing Giannis is staying, it would be extreme incompetence and obviously a very bad trade. I'm going to sit back patiently, have some brews, enjoy the noise, and watch this play out.
RubberSoul wrote:
drone3 wrote:
RubberSoul wrote:Since it’s not official can Bucks still pull out of this trade? After the initial excitement has worn off for me I can see more clearly that this has to be one of the most lopsided deals in league history. If Giannis leaves now this will wreck the franchise for a decade it’s just not worth the risk.

Without the Bogdan trade along side this trade it’s just a complete disaster.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Why is it a complete disaster?

Because in my opinion the risk we are subjecting ourselves to for the marginal upgrade from Bledsoe to Holiday isn’t worth it. Holiday just isn’t worth that type of return.

I guess the more I think about it it’s a disaster with or without the Bogdan trade.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Sent from my SM-T510 using RealGM mobile app
coolhandluke121
RealGM
Posts: 14,309
And1: 7,454
Joined: Sep 23, 2007

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#857 » by coolhandluke121 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 10:25 pm

This is why you NEVER make moves that are wretchedly awful values.
Wut we've got here is... faaailure... to communakate.
ANTETOKOUNBROS
Veteran
Posts: 2,628
And1: 1,769
Joined: Apr 21, 2009
Location: Jokic's Kitchen
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#858 » by ANTETOKOUNBROS » Thu Nov 19, 2020 10:28 pm

Stupid Bucks. Worst asset management of all time.
bucksfansince88
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,827
And1: 2,286
Joined: Sep 22, 2009
   

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#859 » by bucksfansince88 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 10:29 pm

shouldve paid up for Morey the moment he became available
User avatar
tski1972
Head Coach
Posts: 6,322
And1: 3,781
Joined: May 24, 2011
Location: Wow-saw, WI
Contact:
     

Re: Bucks acquire Jrue Holiday 

Post#860 » by tski1972 » Thu Nov 19, 2020 10:31 pm

I can’t wait til Bryn Forbes is our starting SG.

Image
http://twitter.com/MarkIsOld

Image

"Because of Giannis, the once lousy Bucks are back in the NBA conversation." - 60 Minutes

Return to Milwaukee Bucks