tski1972 wrote:I admire some of this boards optimism that the season will restart and there will be a playoff but I just don’t see it happening.
I'm starting to find it less likely by the day.
But the public consciousness for so much of the country is seemingly moving on from COVID-19. There will need to be some shocks to the system to stop that momentum and shift public consciousness back in favor of stay-at-home orders. I'm talking huge spikes. Overwhelmed hospitals. Big jumps in deaths.
The only ways you'll see restrictive measures reimplemented is if any of the following occurs, IMO:
- Government action to lock people back down, which will require major stones from elected officials in election years (and will need major public support).
- Private entities - like the NBA - take leadership to say that they have to lock down for the safety of the players and the public. But those entities have huge vested interests in staying open - especially financially.
Focusing on the NBA for a second, I actually do believe it is possible to do this right. You may have a bunch of people test positive for coronavirus when they show up. But then you're locking them down, treating them, and by the time the playoffs start, they could be back healthy. They're not spreading the virus back home because they're in a bubble. They're getting quality care in that bubble. And if you minimize exposure, you're not shutting down the sport by risking many more infections.
But you've got to be almost perfect at it to prevent a major problem from spreading and becoming untenable. And that's why I understand players who are skeptical of the notion of a safe return.