Tfence92 wrote: buckboy wrote:
Thunder Muscle wrote:Hit on my line movement games last night. One catching my eye today is 70% on UWGB but the line has dropped -4 to -1.5. That would suggest big money is coming in on Detroit. UWGB is playing fairly well into the tourney though, so I think it will be a stay away for me.
I used this method for a while. It's really tough. You have to time it. I lost money over a 6 month period fwiw.
The thought process is sound.
More people lose money betting, so bet against big line movements.
Not as easy as it sounds though haha
Reverse line movement is a sound strategy. however, I wouldn't bet it every time you see it. especially in games with a close spread. 70% could be on UWGB giving points, but 80% of the ML bets could be on Detroit. also, games with less action don't hit as often with reverse line movement (just from personal experience). I also find that the ones that hit the most often are when a dog is receiving a majority of the bets but the line gets bigger for the fave, like the duke/UNC game on Saturday.