Wisconsin Badgers 2018-19 Season

Kerb Hohl · Post #1481 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 1:39 am

Oregon’s last 10 games rating on TeamRankings (also similar to what the Vegas books use)...#13 in the nation. Badgers have been top 15 all year. That mostly explains it the basically pick spread.

Kerb Hohl · Post #1482 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 1:56 am

So, yeah. Usually the books just use whatever the full season rating is in their algorithm. A “hot” team can be a fallacy most of the time so they generally don’t tend to take recency into account.

But when a team like Oregon takes an obvious turn and plays top 15 ball for 1 month, they may use that value.

So the Badgers have drawn a team playing a prolonged period of top 15 basketball as a 12 seed.

If you rate Oregon just on their past 10 games, they are basically even with Wisconsin as a fringe top 15 KenPom team. Pk spread.

They apparently moved to a 4 forward lineup and have been dominant since then. 4 starters that are 6-9. That’s going to give the Badgers offense hell.

*takes off nerd glasses*

sdn40 · Post #1483 » by **sdn40** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:18 am

Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

...and there you go

Kerb Hohl · Post #1484 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:25 am

sdn40 wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

...and there you go

What a strange world where the guy defending the Badgers all year (me) and the guy who only negatively trolls them all year have come to an agreement that this is a **** draw and Oregon is rightfully favored.

RiotPunch · Post #1485 » by **RiotPunch** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:29 am

Kerb Hohl wrote:
sdn40 wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

...and there you go

What a strange world where the guy defending the Badgers all year (me) and the guy who only negatively trolls them all year have come to an agreement that this is a **** draw and Oregon is rightfully favored.

sdn40 · Post #1486 » by **sdn40** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:42 am

Kerb Hohl wrote:
sdn40 wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

...and there you go

What a strange world where the guy defending the Badgers all year (me) and the guy who only negatively trolls them all year have come to an agreement that this is a **** draw and Oregon is rightfully favored.

Even stranger that defending is defending but anything else is trolling.
I simply used my eyes and saw a bunch of useless undersized guards that couldn't shoot or create early in the season. Why is that trolling instead of what simply turned out to be the truth ?

Kerb Hohl · Post #1487 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:44 am

sdn40 wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
sdn40 wrote:
...and there you go

What a strange world where the guy defending the Badgers all year (me) and the guy who only negatively trolls them all year have come to an agreement that this is a **** draw and Oregon is rightfully favored.

Even stranger that defending is defending but anything else is trolling.
I simply used my eyes and saw a bunch of useless undersized guards that couldn't shoot or create early in the season. Why is that trolling instead of what simply turned out to be the truth ?

The spread has a lot more to do with Oregon being really good lately than it has to do with Wisconsin being bad. But I’ll agree that Davison and Trice probably won’t fare well on Friday.

Bernman · Post #1488 » by **Bernman** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:48 am

Won't get a walk in the 1st round, but if they get thru they won't exactly face a marquee program in the 2nd in K-State. Have a great recent history against them, and Oregon. Probably even more annoyed to play us again than vice versa. They could give us some variety for a change.

buckboy · Post #1489 » by **buckboy** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 2:34 pm

Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

And it'll finish Wisconsin -2. Because sharps like free money.

If the Badgers hit the 3 reasonably (say 33%), this is a pretty easy win. The PAC12 is a mid major.

chonestown · Post #1490 » by **chonestown** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:30 pm

buckboy wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

And it'll finish Wisconsin -2. Because sharps like free money.

If the Badgers hit the 3 reasonably (say 33%), this is a pretty easy win. The PAC12 is a mid major.

Counterpoint: no less an authority than Bill Walton has referred to the Pac 12 as "The Conference of Champions." Have to wonder who's really telling the truth.

wapith · Post #1491 » by **wapith** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:48 pm

Badgers get underseeded (by most metrics) and paired against best/hottest 12 seed in their own geography. Seems about par for the course for the Committee. Not a bad matchup in the next round though.

HaroldinGMinor · Post #1492 » by **HaroldinGMinor** » Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:50 pm

chonestown wrote:
buckboy wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

And it'll finish Wisconsin -2. Because sharps like free money.

If the Badgers hit the 3 reasonably (say 33%), this is a pretty easy win. The PAC12 is a mid major.

Counterpoint: no less an authority than Bill Walton has referred to the Pac 12 as "The Conference of Champions." Have to wonder who's really telling the truth.

Bill Walton isn't lying. He's just living in the past.

buckboy · Post #1493 » by **buckboy** » Tue Mar 19, 2019 12:09 am

chonestown wrote:
buckboy wrote:
Mags FTW wrote:UW opened -1.5, it is now a Pick in many places..

And it'll finish Wisconsin -2. Because sharps like free money.

If the Badgers hit the 3 reasonably (say 33%), this is a pretty easy win. The PAC12 is a mid major.

Counterpoint: no less an authority than Bill Walton has referred to the Pac 12 as "The Conference of Champions." Have to wonder who's really telling the truth.

Ahh, Chonesy, I'm guessing this is a Bob Frost moment for us. Bill Walton is not a favorite of mine.

chonestown · Post #1494 » by **chonestown** » Tue Mar 19, 2019 2:17 am

buckboy wrote:
chonestown wrote:
buckboy wrote:
And it'll finish Wisconsin -2. Because sharps like free money.

If the Badgers hit the 3 reasonably (say 33%), this is a pretty easy win. The PAC12 is a mid major.

Counterpoint: no less an authority than Bill Walton has referred to the Pac 12 as "The Conference of Champions." Have to wonder who's really telling the truth.

Ahh, Chonesy, I'm guessing this is a Bob Frost moment for us. Bill Walton is not a favorite of mine.

THIS IS THE MOST DISAPPOINTING DEVELOPMENT SINCE THE TIME BOB AND JER TEAMED UP FOR "DYLAN AND THE DEAD." ON PAPER IT MADE SO MUCH SENSE BUT THE RESULTS SPOKE FOR THEMSELVES. TWO TITANS JOINING FORCES, ALL THE TUMBLERS OF THE UNIVERSE ALIGNED AND YET SPARKS DID NOT FLY, COMBUSTION WAS NOT SPONTANIZED, MAGIC WAS NOT CONJURED, ATOMS WERE NOT SPLIT, BISCUITS WERE NOT BUTTERED, BEER WAS NOT KRAUSENED. A TEAM IS NOT A COLLECTION OF INDIVIDUALS, IT'S A SYNERGISTIC LIVING ORGANISM. NATURE! NURTURE! MUSIC! GREEN ENERGY!

I LOVE MY BIKE.

You alright, tho.

KidA24 · Post #1495 » by **KidA24** » Tue Mar 19, 2019 5:01 pm

chonestown wrote:
buckboy wrote:
chonestown wrote:
Counterpoint: no less an authority than Bill Walton has referred to the Pac 12 as "The Conference of Champions." Have to wonder who's really telling the truth.

Ahh, Chonesy, I'm guessing this is a Bob Frost moment for us. Bill Walton is not a favorite of mine.

THIS IS THE MOST DISAPPOINTING DEVELOPMENT SINCE THE TIME BOB AND JER TEAMED UP FOR "DYLAN AND THE DEAD." ON PAPER IT MADE SO MUCH SENSE BUT THE RESULTS SPOKE FOR THEMSELVES. TWO TITANS JOINING FORCES, ALL THE TUMBLERS OF THE UNIVERSE ALIGNED AND YET SPARKS DID NOT FLY, COMBUSTION WAS NOT SPONTANIZED, MAGIC WAS NOT CONJURED, ATOMS WERE NOT SPLIT, BISCUITS WERE NOT BUTTERED, BEER WAS NOT KRAUSENED. A TEAM IS NOT A COLLECTION OF INDIVIDUALS, IT'S A SYNERGISTIC LIVING ORGANISM. NATURE! NURTURE! MUSIC! GREEN ENERGY!

I LOVE MY BIKE.

You alright, tho.

Read on Twitter

4xBuck · Post #1496 » by **4xBuck** » Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:08 pm

Mags FTW · Post #1497 » by **Mags FTW** » Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:10 pm

Future looks bright, everyone!

Going to get blown out in the 1st round and lose our best player!

LittleRooster · Post #1498 » by **LittleRooster** » Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:11 pm

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MikeIsGood · Post #1499 » by **MikeIsGood** » Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:14 pm

Mags FTW wrote:Future looks bright, everyone!

Going to get blown out in the 1st round and lose our best player!

Len Elmore says that Reuvers is one of the best stretch 4s in the nation so we're obviously fine.

(I'm very clearly a big Reuvers fan from all evidence the past two seasons + recruitment...but I'm also realistic)

MissKhriddleton · Post #1500 » by **MissKhriddleton** » Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:15 pm

The shooters on this team have some ugly ass jumpshots.