Kerb Hohl wrote:DingleJerry wrote:I know, but just in general you chalk up as an L. If you get it, great, but for looking at records and schedules like we are you plan on it as an L. In spite of the beatdown we just took I doubt UW is more than 5 pt dog at home to them, probably guess 3.5 if I had to
3.5 isn't far off but as it stands, it likely opens as a pk or -1 either way.
Sometimes there is a slight tweak to what we can easily find on the predictive models and that edge may go to MSU, but you continue to guess on the spreads when they are readily available.
Of course the ratings can change by the time that game comes up.
I mean we're talking on a message board. I don't see why guessing the spreads is a big deal, i was merely agreeing with your point that it's not an unwinnable game since they'll only be a small dog to them. So I said what I thought it would be rather than looking it all up and spending the time. That's the only point I was making and I don't see why that's a problem. And hey, i was right yesterday, haha.
Essentially the whole way of gambling is seeing the spread and putting up against what you think it should be and then betting appropriately. In yesterdays case I was right that it should've been less as Nebraska hung with them quite late, UW almost backdoored it. In MSU case, I think it'll be set low due to the data and home court and I'd guess MSU covers it.