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Market inefficiencies

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Klomp
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Re: Market inefficiencies 

Post#21 » by Klomp » Wed Aug 28, 2024 10:33 pm

This thread randomly came back to mind today, as I've been deep down a Rob Dillingham rabbit hole. It got me thinking...might smaller guards be a new market inefficiency where Connelly has just found value?

I think Dillingham's height lowered his perceived value in the draft. A lot of teams got scared away, just because of his size. If he were one or two inches taller, he would be Top 5 at worst. Everyone focuses on the price of the trade, while skipping over the fact that he would not be available to draft or trade for if he was an inch or two taller.

urinesane wrote:
Klomp wrote:
SO_MONEY wrote:We gave up what amounts to 6 picks and a swap, undervalued? I hope not. And I don't think this is an example of what he is talking about. Market inefficiencies as he talks about them is finding undervalued players.

Take Gobert's production, track record and impact on winning from his first nine seasons. Now take all of that and assign it to a random player that doesn't play center. Any team in the league would pay that price and not bat an eye...if they could get the team to part with said player when he hasn't requested a trade, that is.

The market inefficiency is the center position.


I get what you are saying, good luck getting that fella to (there's really no point to trying).

There are a lot of these inefficiencies, whether it's league trends towards certain styles of play, player, the Wolves know that chasing trends will never be a path towards success for a small market team. Finding value, whether it be in front office, training staff, coaching, players on other rosters that are undervalued (often because of fit/system/opportunity), or in the draft (often times looking at guys with the raw skills AND mentality/mind that are able to be developed in-house, but are being drafted before the rest of the league sees their potential future value).

It's smart. They paid a lot for Gobert, can we move past that yet? It may not turn out to be even a net negative, let alone the worst thing ever. Plus, pretty much every move they've done since has been brilliant.

These were good thoughts. I also look at what we have seen since the Gobert trade. Look how much OKC just paid for Isaiah freakin' Hartenstein, someone who has never averaged 8.5 points or rebounds in a season. Three centers were just drafted in the Top 10. Hopping on the bandwagon a little late, and paying a hefty price. This is another reason why getting in on Gobert when we did was so important. The price looked high at the time, but was it really when we look back today and there's a better understanding of what we got in return?
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frankenwolf
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Re: Market inefficiencies 

Post#22 » by frankenwolf » Thu Aug 29, 2024 7:17 pm

Klomp wrote:This thread randomly came back to mind today, as I've been deep down a Rob Dillingham rabbit hole. It got me thinking...might smaller guards be a new market inefficiency where Connelly has just found value?

I think Dillingham's height lowered his perceived value in the draft. A lot of teams got scared away, just because of his size. If he were one or two inches taller, he would be Top 5 at worst. Everyone focuses on the price of the trade, while skipping over the fact that he would not be available to draft or trade for if he was an inch or two taller.


Thanks for thinking of this thread, Klomp. It was interesting to go back and see what the board thought at the start of last season. The Timberwolves didn't win the championship, but they still got farther than a number of people thought they would.

Hopefully, looking back next August, Rob will look like a steal! :D :D
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