Post#245 » by shrink » Thu Dec 15, 2011 6:00 pm
If they didn't own the MIN pick ..
Do I think NOH would trade Eric Gordon for Derrick Williams?
Probably. Young, got more publciity, locked in longer.
Do I think NOH would trade Okafor for Pekovic + cap relief?
Probably. Owners don't want to pay 3 year deal when fans won't show up.
However, WITH the MIN pick, it's hard to get a deal done. If they did the first two trades, MIN might make the edge of the play-offs, and drastically reduce the value of that pick. Moreover, if they trade it to MIN, MIN can only compensate it for what it's worth .. say, the MEM pick, another borderline play-off team.
The way to get around this is to demonstrate that MIN is going to devalue that pick, whether NOH trades with MIN or not. Adding Crawford could help, or other bigger trades would do the same thing. If NOH knows that's coming, they may step in to deal with us to get Derrick Williams and cap relief, rather than keep a middling MEM pick, and Gordon only for a few years before he forces his way out.
This is tough though. MIN can't complete the big trade first, because it would use up assets NOH wanted, and replace them with assets they don't (productive vets). MIN needs to show NOH that they have the first deal in their pocket, but they'd deal with NOH instead if they make a better offer. NOH will get ripped in the media (and stern may even cancel a deal), because the media won't see that the MIN pick was being devalued anyway.