Klomp wrote:winforlose wrote:To all the pro Simmons trade people, what is the expected return on investment? Losing Beasley is obviously going to cost you more points than Simmons scores. You are also severely limiting your options for several years with Simmons salary. How many more steals and stops do you expect to get with Simmons? Is it simply that you believe Simmons plus MCD turns us into a defensive powerhouse? I am just not seeing the value of a max contract as a fourth best player. This is the same argument when people say Wiggins is better with GSW core three plus Wiseman. Yes he performs better but he is clearly not worth the money. Especially on a team that won’t go 30 million over the tax line to buy wins.
Salaries for Top 4 options:
Warriors: $139,367,788
Nets: $139,015,583
Bucks: $120,578,558
Clippers: $112,442,707
Towns / Edwards / Russell / Simmons: $104,913,516
Why are you only looking at points scored for Beasley? Is he guaranteed to average 20 ppg if here again but as a 4th option himself? Or is it more realistic that he ends up in the 16-18 ppg range (which is right around Simmons' career average)? Then what about the difference of an extra 4 rebounds and 5 assists that Simmons provides over Beasley? Then what about the defensive impact?
Actually Beasley is far more likely to score more than 20 per game. As a catch and shoot 3 point shooter he takes pressure of KAT, Dlo, Ant and the paint in general (cannot camp out with shooters all around the perimeter.) If Beasley is allowed to catch and shoot he has shown the ability to drop 16 in a quarter. The only times he struggles is when he is the focus of the defense and that simply cannot happen when playing with guys like KAT and Dlo (not to mention what Ant could contribute by driving and kicking.) I could easily see Beasley averaging 25 as a third/fourth option given his sharpshooting.
But, let’s accept your premise and assume he is averaging 16. Points being equal Beasley makes everyone else better. Simmons makes Ant significantly worse because he will always be facing a big on every single drive. He forces KAT to stand behind the 3 point line instead of at the Elbow because now both opposing bigs are guarding the lane. Rebounding might be improved with Ben but I still think we can get someone else via instead or make up the missing stats with a deeper and better bench. Overall, Simmons would need to basically radically increase his numbers in steals, blocks, and rebounds to be worth his money, especially on a team like ours which is built around shooters.