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Trade Talk (Part Five)

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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1241 » by Jedzz » Wed Dec 9, 2020 12:55 am

minimus wrote:
Norseman79 wrote:
SO_MONEY wrote:
I would trade Okogie right now, or between now and the deadline anyways. I don't think we are going to re-sign him and he is easily the lowest ceiling player of our guard group. And waiting until next year will drastically decrease his value. I think this is the obvious choice and there are no imperatives to trade any of the others short of a substantial deal materializing.


So who would be some potentially available 3's or 4's that are about equal to Okoge? Preferably in that 6'8-6'10 range that could guard 3-5


No one.


McDaniels on steroids. Not a suggestion at all.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1242 » by SO_MONEY » Wed Dec 9, 2020 1:10 am

Klomp wrote:
SO_MONEY wrote:
Mamba4Goat wrote:If Josh Okogie improves to an average three point shooter, Culver builds some confidence and improves as a shooter in a simpler role, Beas improves to be a plus defender (that added muscle may be enough), and Ant is legit...who would you guys ideally trade and who would you keep?


I would trade Okogie right now, or between now and the deadline anyways. I don't think we are going to re-sign him and he is easily the lowest ceiling player of our guard group. And waiting until next year will drastically decrease his value. I think this is the obvious choice and there are no imperatives to trade any of the others short of a substantial deal materializing.

I disagree with basically all of this.


Not sure how you could.

1. Do you disagree his value won't decrease the less time that remains on his rookie contract?

If so how does that work?

2. Do you disagree he has the lowest ceiling of Beasley, Edwards, Culver...?

If so who do you think he can be better than under their best cases?

3. Do you disagree we won't likely re-sign him due to salary already allocated to the position group?

Why do you think they will pay him and how much?
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1243 » by Jedzz » Wed Dec 9, 2020 1:15 am

shangrila wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
Neeva wrote:Portland got a way better and cheaper player anyway in Roco. The magic gm is delusional.


I don't know that he's completely delusional. There must be a reason people here want him, or ten teams have shown interest if that's true.

I don't think Gordon has played to his potential and question whether this team could get him there or not. So I don't mind throwing lowballs at him. But I'm not surprised they are trying to get more.

It's probably a situation where Orlando sees the amount of teams that are interested and think they can use that to drum up his value, but everyone else is, like you, only comfortable lowballing for him.

And it makes sense. He's a big risk, as someone who's not a great shooter or individual scorer I do think it would take the right offensive system to get the most out of him. Personally I think that's us, as he's got some playmaking potential that we could use (think what James Johnson was doing) and we generate significantly more open 3s than Orlando does, which he doesn't shoot too bad on (38% IIRC).

The issue now is matching salaries. Rubio works but I think his veteran leadership is too important to give up. You could do Beasley+Laymon or Davis and maybe that's the play depending on how the other wings have grown or do develop during the season (thinking if JO/JC have a reliable shot and Edwards is ready right out the gate. It's unlikely but possible).


The others you mention would have to have to show huge sustained improvement in their shooting before I would consider dropping a 40% capable shooter for Gordon. The team has lacked that for too long. I was already won over this summer by many talking about Gordon's fit here with what this team could use him for. Yet that was at a different trade value guess. We didn't think we were lowballing him at the time. For that role we were imagining his contract was fine, but I don't think he's worth what they are asking if that's going to be his role, and not dumping our improved shooting I see going into the season right now. I don't know if his shot can be trusted for a season or not even if more open. Consistency has been his issue. I personally think he could be twice the player he's been in the league if he had twice the competitive bones in his head. Then he would be worth whatever they want. But he doesn't seem to want to be that guy. Where as Beasley does. That's the difference to me. Makes it hard for me to choose Gordon over someone like that if Gordon is just plugin a smaller role. I saw how badly we underutilized RoCo moving him to PF the next year. Would Gordon be more just because of who he is or would he be limited in role just like that.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1244 » by Jedzz » Wed Dec 9, 2020 1:34 am

Klomp wrote:
shrink wrote:Lol! I 100% agree with all of it, and SO MONEY’s next post too!

I guess that’s why we have discussion boards!

I don't believe it's a coincidence that Okogie is one of two players not brought in by Rosas....Towns being the other. Not saying he's on Towns' level of course, but I do believe they view him as an important piece for the franchise.


I think you are right about Okogie. However I don't know that anyone is safe with Rosas long term. But you are right, he stayed when everyone but Towns was moved for others, and then those guys were all moved.

But with the Rubio move I'm also sensing some cracks in the cold hardened analytics with hometown hero value seeping in. I mean which anylytics pro can't see the possibility of an issue with this many guards impacting everyone a little in the wrong way? Okogie being a favorite of fans might also have something to do with why he stayed beyond what he brought in constant effort/defense. If his trade value going out wasn't high enough, he stays. Maybe like Culver this short offseason, being Rosas first draft choice here. Players that have a reason to be kept if they can't bring a healthy value to trades just yet. maybe?
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1245 » by Domejandro » Wed Dec 9, 2020 2:14 am

Jedzz wrote:
Klomp wrote:
shrink wrote:Lol! I 100% agree with all of it, and SO MONEY’s next post too!

I guess that’s why we have discussion boards!

I don't believe it's a coincidence that Okogie is one of two players not brought in by Rosas....Towns being the other. Not saying he's on Towns' level of course, but I do believe they view him as an important piece for the franchise.


I think you are right about Okogie. However I don't know that anyone is safe with Rosas long term. But you are right, he stayed when everyone but Towns was moved for others, and then those guys were all moved.

But with the Rubio move I'm also sensing some cracks in the cold hardened analytics with hometown hero value seeping in. I mean which anylytics pro can't see the possibility of an issue with this many guards impacting everyone a little in the wrong way? Okogie being a favorite of fans might also have something to do with why he stayed beyond what he brought in constant effort/defense. If his trade value going out wasn't high enough, he stays. Maybe like Culver this short offseason, being Rosas first draft choice here. Players that have a reason to be kept if they can't bring a healthy value to trades just yet. maybe?

Ricky Rubio is an incredibly high-impact player from an analytics standpoint.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1246 » by old school 34 » Wed Dec 9, 2020 3:06 am

Dewey wrote:When a Harden trade goes down.... gotta hunch we are gonna be a part of the side-show aka as the 3-4th team.
This is what I've kind of hung onto as a little hope yet...in maybe 1 more chance to clean up the positional balance side of the roster. And that maybe explains the delay in the JMac deal....I get his maybe not star worthy...but definitely a piece & just seems crazy quiet on this front...maybe something has been agreed to...if patient & waiting this out? PJ Tucker rumors were real...can't see how he'd want to remain there if Harden is dealt? Culver back to TX...as something HOU can cling to from a PR side?

I feel for them...as we took our turn...but it won't end well for them. It will be interesting to see how much longer they're comfortable with it being uncomfortable (Harden...definitely took that quote as a challenge).

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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1247 » by old school 34 » Wed Dec 9, 2020 3:20 am

old school 34 wrote:
Dewey wrote:When a Harden trade goes down.... gotta hunch we are gonna be a part of the side-show aka as the 3-4th team.
This is what I've kind of hung onto as a little hope yet...in maybe 1 more chance to clean up the positional balance side of the roster. And that maybe explains the delay in the JMac deal....I get his maybe not star worthy...but definitely a piece & just seems crazy quiet on this front...maybe something has been agreed to...if patient & waiting this out? PJ Tucker rumors were real...can't see how he'd want to remain there if Harden is dealt? Culver back to TX...as something HOU can cling to from a PR side?

I feel for them...as we took our turn...but it won't end well for them. It will be interesting to see how much longer they're comfortable with it being uncomfortable (Harden...definitely took that quote as a challenge).

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I will add...to the other thread kind of working here....if we were to get into something like this....I would prefer a package of say Okogie/Davis for Tucker vs Culver/Vanderbilt? Just cause...I might see a higher ceiling in the latter option...but if Culver/Vanderbilt were the two moved & we kept the other two...it would most likely lead to more W's this season most likely?

Heard....they still thinking Vanderbilt may be still more 5 than 4. But regardless...while there maybe was some buzz on him...just seems like he could be another guy that could be buried for minutes?

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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1248 » by Jedzz » Wed Dec 9, 2020 4:29 am

Domejandro wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
Klomp wrote:I don't believe it's a coincidence that Okogie is one of two players not brought in by Rosas....Towns being the other. Not saying he's on Towns' level of course, but I do believe they view him as an important piece for the franchise.


I think you are right about Okogie. However I don't know that anyone is safe with Rosas long term. But you are right, he stayed when everyone but Towns was moved for others, and then those guys were all moved.

But with the Rubio move I'm also sensing some cracks in the cold hardened analytics with hometown hero value seeping in. I mean which anylytics pro can't see the possibility of an issue with this many guards impacting everyone a little in the wrong way? Okogie being a favorite of fans might also have something to do with why he stayed beyond what he brought in constant effort/defense. If his trade value going out wasn't high enough, he stays. Maybe like Culver this short offseason, being Rosas first draft choice here. Players that have a reason to be kept if they can't bring a healthy value to trades just yet. maybe?

Ricky Rubio is an incredibly high-impact player from an analytics standpoint.


That's not in contention. I would agree. What is would be how a group of people studying analytics wouldn't foresee any issues caused by having all these guards that need minutes. A number of them might have problems playing less minutes or at least find it harder to play their best. Lot's of players have this issue not being warmed up in games, standing or sitting around waiting and then getting back in for a couple minutes here and there. Get the workout cycles on the bench and keep them ready! For me this hints at the possibility Rubio was unplanned and just happened to become available so they grabbed him. Possibly both for his talents and for his long held following since he left.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1249 » by Norseman79 » Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:09 pm

As of now, there are 4 teams - all in the East - identified as Harden preferred spots...Phili, Brooklyn, Milwaukee, Miami...if we were to try to jump in on this, what players could we realistically target from any of those teams that would help balance our roster out?
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1250 » by Merc_Porto » Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:24 pm

Norseman79 wrote:As of now, there are 4 teams - all in the East - identified as Harden preferred spots...Phili, Brooklyn, Milwaukee, Miami...if we were to try to jump in on this, what players could we realistically target from any of those teams that would help balance our roster out?
Depending on what the Rockets actually want back and which players are available for us to sent... Assuming is Culver and Okogie

There's no much left there.

Duncan Robinson maybe
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Re: Trade Talk (Part Five) 

Post#1251 » by TheZachAttack » Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:37 pm

Jedzz wrote:
Domejandro wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
I think you are right about Okogie. However I don't know that anyone is safe with Rosas long term. But you are right, he stayed when everyone but Towns was moved for others, and then those guys were all moved.

But with the Rubio move I'm also sensing some cracks in the cold hardened analytics with hometown hero value seeping in. I mean which anylytics pro can't see the possibility of an issue with this many guards impacting everyone a little in the wrong way? Okogie being a favorite of fans might also have something to do with why he stayed beyond what he brought in constant effort/defense. If his trade value going out wasn't high enough, he stays. Maybe like Culver this short offseason, being Rosas first draft choice here. Players that have a reason to be kept if they can't bring a healthy value to trades just yet. maybe?

Ricky Rubio is an incredibly high-impact player from an analytics standpoint.


That's not in contention. I would agree. What is would be how a group of people studying analytics wouldn't foresee any issues caused by having all these guards that need minutes. A number of them might have problems playing less minutes or at least find it harder to play their best. Lot's of players have this issue not being warmed up in games, standing or sitting around waiting and then getting back in for a couple minutes here and there. Get the workout cycles on the bench and keep them ready! For me this hints at the possibility Rubio was unplanned and just happened to become available so they grabbed him. Possibly both for his talents and for his long held following since he left.


I don't think they have any issue with playing with tons of 6'4/6'5 players with 6'9+ wingspans on the floor.

Rubio is 6'4 with a 6'9 wingspan. D Lo is 6'5 with a 6'10 wingspan. Edwards is 6'6 with a 6'11 wingspan. Beasley is 6'5 with a 6'7 wingspan. Okogie is 6'4 with a 7 foot wingspan. Culver is 6'6 with a 6'10 wingspan. We've heard Ryan's comments about effective height and wanting to play Okogie at the 4. I don't think they have any problem with getting all of these guys minutes and switching up and down positions on defense. It's clear they target guys whose effective height is bigger than their measured height.

This isn't a bunch of Jordan McLaughlins. I do think it's likely, as Rosas has said he's not done...not even close, that either Culver or Okogie gets moved at some point but the minutes breakdown is an 100% non-issue to me.
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Post#1252 » by Jedzz » Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:53 pm

TheZachAttack wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
Domejandro wrote:Ricky Rubio is an incredibly high-impact player from an analytics standpoint.


That's not in contention. I would agree. What is would be how a group of people studying analytics wouldn't foresee any issues caused by having all these guards that need minutes. A number of them might have problems playing less minutes or at least find it harder to play their best. Lot's of players have this issue not being warmed up in games, standing or sitting around waiting and then getting back in for a couple minutes here and there. Get the workout cycles on the bench and keep them ready! For me this hints at the possibility Rubio was unplanned and just happened to become available so they grabbed him. Possibly both for his talents and for his long held following since he left.


I don't think they have any issue with playing with tons of 6'4/6'5 players with 6'9+ wingspans on the floor.

Rubio is 6'4 with a 6'9 wingspan. D Lo is 6'5 with a 6'10 wingspan. Edwards is 6'6 with a 6'11 wingspan. Beasley is 6'5 with a 6'7 wingspan. Okogie is 6'4 with a 7 foot wingspan. Culver is 6'6 with a 6'10 wingspan. We've heard Ryan's comments about effective height and wanting to play Okogie at the 4. I don't think they have any problem with getting all of these guys minutes and switching up and down positions on defense. It's clear they target guys whose effective height is bigger than their measured height.

This isn't a bunch of Jordan McLaughlins. I do think it's likely, as Rosas has said he's not done...not even close, that either Culver or Okogie gets moved at some point but the minutes breakdown is an 100% non-issue to me.


For the underlined, this is probably my last post to you. You are right they aren't JMac. Neither Okogie/Culver can be trusted to shoot and they sure don't finish as well as JMac so they are offensive liabilities. Neither of them are stopping great SG/SF/PF from dropping 30 pts on them, even if Okogie can get a good stop now and then. Culver isn't some great defender already like some want to claim. So you can take your size/length love and pitch it to track and field teams, not me. They both have so much to prove yet whereas someone little like JMac already proved game IQ so much higher that he disrupts just as many opponent possessions.

You think it's fine to give Culver and Okogie minutes at the 3 and 4 over someone like Laymam who actually does cause opponents to score less per possession. This will be a problem. Layman is a better player right now at the 3. He's going to be forced to backup 4 minutes? There is 100% going to be a numbers crunch. It will 100% impact a few of these players and keep them from being fully into some of these games. Only some of them will play their high level off the bench when they get their chances. That's just reality.

I think it's fine that they have depth and especially for this season. But how successful they are with it will be whether they play the right players enough. If they were to listen to some of you they would limit the peak of this team severely in my opinion. We aren't likely to agree on any of this. So let's leave it there.
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Re: 

Post#1253 » by TheZachAttack » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:34 pm

Jedzz wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
That's not in contention. I would agree. What is would be how a group of people studying analytics wouldn't foresee any issues caused by having all these guards that need minutes. A number of them might have problems playing less minutes or at least find it harder to play their best. Lot's of players have this issue not being warmed up in games, standing or sitting around waiting and then getting back in for a couple minutes here and there. Get the workout cycles on the bench and keep them ready! For me this hints at the possibility Rubio was unplanned and just happened to become available so they grabbed him. Possibly both for his talents and for his long held following since he left.


I don't think they have any issue with playing with tons of 6'4/6'5 players with 6'9+ wingspans on the floor.

Rubio is 6'4 with a 6'9 wingspan. D Lo is 6'5 with a 6'10 wingspan. Edwards is 6'6 with a 6'11 wingspan. Beasley is 6'5 with a 6'7 wingspan. Okogie is 6'4 with a 7 foot wingspan. Culver is 6'6 with a 6'10 wingspan. We've heard Ryan's comments about effective height and wanting to play Okogie at the 4. I don't think they have any problem with getting all of these guys minutes and switching up and down positions on defense. It's clear they target guys whose effective height is bigger than their measured height.

This isn't a bunch of Jordan McLaughlins. I do think it's likely, as Rosas has said he's not done...not even close, that either Culver or Okogie gets moved at some point but the minutes breakdown is an 100% non-issue to me.


For the underlined, this is probably my last post to you. You are right they aren't JMac. Neither Okogie/Culver can be trusted to shoot and they sure don't finish as well as JMac so they are offensive liabilities. Neither of them are stopping great SG/SF/PF from dropping 30 pts on them, even if Okogie can get a good stop now and then. Culver isn't some great defender already like some want to claim. So you can take your size/length love and pitch it to track and field teams, not me. They both have so much to prove yet whereas someone little like JMac already proved game IQ so much higher that he disrupts just as many opponent possessions.

You think it's fine to give Culver and Okogie minutes at the 3 and 4 over someone like Laymam who actually does cause opponents to score less per possession. This will be a problem. Layman is a better player right now at the 3. He's going to be forced to backup 4 minutes? There is 100% going to be a numbers crunch. It will 100% impact a few of these players and keep them from being fully into some of these games. Only some of them will play their high level off the bench when they get their chances. That's just reality.

I think it's fine that they have depth and especially for this season. But how successful they are with it will be whether they play the right players enough. If they were to listen to some of you they would limit the peak of this team severely in my opinion. We aren't likely to agree on any of this. So let's leave it there.


This is fair and I agree on both points, though I would argue that Okogie (and likely Culver too) is less of a liability offensively at the 4--so if we're talking about maximizing assets, given those players limitations, playing the 4 would or should help them. I don't think there is a major difference between the 3 and the 4 in the Rosas system. On defense, no matter the 3 or the 4 they are going to be switching around the perimeter and on offense they will be operating from one of the corners. I don't really see a distinction and I'm not really sure why it matters if Layman is at the 3 or the 4.

In addition, I acknowledged that long-term there will be additional moves that take place. I personally don't see a role for Culver in this rotation, I would rather play Layman. The reason that I focused on size and length was because of your concern about guards playing on the floor together. The reason I mentioned McLaughlin is about size defensively. I am arguably the biggest J Mac proponent here (I think he's potentially a slightly worse version of Fred Van Fleet), but again my post was about size and playing multiple players together defensively. If Beasley, Edwards, Rubio, Culver, Okogie, etc. were all 5'11 or 6'0 and 170 pounds... it would be much more of a concern than it is now.

Again, I even agree that the roster additions this offseason push Culver out of the rotation, though they may play him early in the season to try and drive up his trade value, but the real reason Culver is pushed out of the rotation (and the Wolves added multiple guards/wings) is that Culver is not a good basketball player.

I'm not really concerned at all about the minutes breakdown. I mean here's just a quick example of something that I see as 100% reasonable roles given talent levels:

1: Rubio (30 minutes) - D Lo (18 minutes)

2: D Lo (14 minutes) - Beasley (18 minutes) - Edwards (16 minutes)

3: Beasley (12 minutes) - Edwards (9 minutes) - Okogie (12 minutes) - Culver (15 minutes)

4: Jauncho (20 minutes) - Layman (20 minutes) - Okogie (8 minutes)

5: Towns (34 minutes) - Davis (14 minutes)

Rotation:

Towns (34 minutes)
D Lo (32 minutes)
Rubio (30 minutes)
Beasley (30 minutes)
Edwards (25 minutes)
Jauncho (20 minutes)
Layman (20 minutes)
Okogie (20 minutes)
Culver (15 minutes)
Davis (14 minutes)

Now would I much rather have Culver's minutes be Jmac? 100/10 times. Do rotation moves to push Culver out of rotation matter to me. Not at all. Ideally, Jauncho/Layman/Okogie/Edwards get Culver's 15 minutes at some point down the line.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1254 » by KGdaBom » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:37 pm

TheZachAttack wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
I don't think they have any issue with playing with tons of 6'4/6'5 players with 6'9+ wingspans on the floor.

Rubio is 6'4 with a 6'9 wingspan. D Lo is 6'5 with a 6'10 wingspan. Edwards is 6'6 with a 6'11 wingspan. Beasley is 6'5 with a 6'7 wingspan. Okogie is 6'4 with a 7 foot wingspan. Culver is 6'6 with a 6'10 wingspan. We've heard Ryan's comments about effective height and wanting to play Okogie at the 4. I don't think they have any problem with getting all of these guys minutes and switching up and down positions on defense. It's clear they target guys whose effective height is bigger than their measured height.

This isn't a bunch of Jordan McLaughlins. I do think it's likely, as Rosas has said he's not done...not even close, that either Culver or Okogie gets moved at some point but the minutes breakdown is an 100% non-issue to me.


For the underlined, this is probably my last post to you. You are right they aren't JMac. Neither Okogie/Culver can be trusted to shoot and they sure don't finish as well as JMac so they are offensive liabilities. Neither of them are stopping great SG/SF/PF from dropping 30 pts on them, even if Okogie can get a good stop now and then. Culver isn't some great defender already like some want to claim. So you can take your size/length love and pitch it to track and field teams, not me. They both have so much to prove yet whereas someone little like JMac already proved game IQ so much higher that he disrupts just as many opponent possessions.

You think it's fine to give Culver and Okogie minutes at the 3 and 4 over someone like Laymam who actually does cause opponents to score less per possession. This will be a problem. Layman is a better player right now at the 3. He's going to be forced to backup 4 minutes? There is 100% going to be a numbers crunch. It will 100% impact a few of these players and keep them from being fully into some of these games. Only some of them will play their high level off the bench when they get their chances. That's just reality.

I think it's fine that they have depth and especially for this season. But how successful they are with it will be whether they play the right players enough. If they were to listen to some of you they would limit the peak of this team severely in my opinion. We aren't likely to agree on any of this. So let's leave it there.


This is fair and I agree on both points, though I would argue that Okogie (and likely Culver too) is less of a liability offensively at the 4--so if we're talking about maximizing assets, given those players limitations, playing the 4 would or should help them. I don't think there is a major difference between the 3 and the 4 in the Rosas system. On defense, no matter the 3 or the 4 they are going to be switching around the perimeter and on offense they will be operating from one of the corners. I don't really see a distinction and I'm not really sure why it matters if Layman is at the 3 or the 4.

In addition, I acknowledged that long-term there will be additional moves that take place. I personally don't see a role for Culver in this rotation, I would rather play Layman. The reason that I focused on size and length was because of your concern about guards playing on the floor together. The reason I mentioned McLaughlin is about size defensively. I am arguably the biggest J Mac proponent here (I think he's potentially a slightly worse version of Fred Van Fleet), but again my post was about size and playing multiple players together defensively. If Beasley, Edwards, Rubio, Culver, Okogie, etc. were all 5'11 or 6'0 and 170 pounds... it would be much more of a concern than it is now.

Again, I even agree that the roster additions this offseason push Culver out of the rotation, though they may play him early in the season to try and drive up his trade value, but the real reason Culver is pushed out of the rotation (and the Wolves added multiple guards/wings) is that Culver is not a good basketball player.

I'm not really concerned at all about the minutes breakdown. I mean here's just a quick example of something that I see as 100% reasonable roles given talent levels:

1: Rubio (30 minutes) - D Lo (18 minutes)

2: D Lo (14 minutes) - Beasley (18 minutes) - Edwards (16 minutes)

3: Beasley (12 minutes) - Edwards (9 minutes) - Okogie (12 minutes) - Culver (15 minutes)

4: Jauncho (20 minutes) - Layman (20 minutes) - Okogie (8 minutes)

5: Towns (34 minutes) - Davis (14 minutes)

Rotation:

Towns (34 minutes)
D Lo (32 minutes)
Rubio (30 minutes)
Beasley (30 minutes)
Edwards (25 minutes)
Jauncho (20 minutes)
Layman (20 minutes)
Okogie (20 minutes)
Culver (15 minutes)
Davis (14 minutes)

Now would I much rather have Culver's minutes be Jmac? 100/10 times. Do rotation moves to push Culver out of rotation matter to me. Not at all. Ideally, Jauncho/Layman/Okogie/Edwards get Culver's 15 minutes at some point down the line.

Culver is going to be so much better than you expect him to be. Also Vanderbilt is going to play.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1255 » by TheZachAttack » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:40 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
Jedzz wrote:
For the underlined, this is probably my last post to you. You are right they aren't JMac. Neither Okogie/Culver can be trusted to shoot and they sure don't finish as well as JMac so they are offensive liabilities. Neither of them are stopping great SG/SF/PF from dropping 30 pts on them, even if Okogie can get a good stop now and then. Culver isn't some great defender already like some want to claim. So you can take your size/length love and pitch it to track and field teams, not me. They both have so much to prove yet whereas someone little like JMac already proved game IQ so much higher that he disrupts just as many opponent possessions.

You think it's fine to give Culver and Okogie minutes at the 3 and 4 over someone like Laymam who actually does cause opponents to score less per possession. This will be a problem. Layman is a better player right now at the 3. He's going to be forced to backup 4 minutes? There is 100% going to be a numbers crunch. It will 100% impact a few of these players and keep them from being fully into some of these games. Only some of them will play their high level off the bench when they get their chances. That's just reality.

I think it's fine that they have depth and especially for this season. But how successful they are with it will be whether they play the right players enough. If they were to listen to some of you they would limit the peak of this team severely in my opinion. We aren't likely to agree on any of this. So let's leave it there.


This is fair and I agree on both points, though I would argue that Okogie (and likely Culver too) is less of a liability offensively at the 4--so if we're talking about maximizing assets, given those players limitations, playing the 4 would or should help them. I don't think there is a major difference between the 3 and the 4 in the Rosas system. On defense, no matter the 3 or the 4 they are going to be switching around the perimeter and on offense they will be operating from one of the corners. I don't really see a distinction and I'm not really sure why it matters if Layman is at the 3 or the 4.

In addition, I acknowledged that long-term there will be additional moves that take place. I personally don't see a role for Culver in this rotation, I would rather play Layman. The reason that I focused on size and length was because of your concern about guards playing on the floor together. The reason I mentioned McLaughlin is about size defensively. I am arguably the biggest J Mac proponent here (I think he's potentially a slightly worse version of Fred Van Fleet), but again my post was about size and playing multiple players together defensively. If Beasley, Edwards, Rubio, Culver, Okogie, etc. were all 5'11 or 6'0 and 170 pounds... it would be much more of a concern than it is now.

Again, I even agree that the roster additions this offseason push Culver out of the rotation, though they may play him early in the season to try and drive up his trade value, but the real reason Culver is pushed out of the rotation (and the Wolves added multiple guards/wings) is that Culver is not a good basketball player.

I'm not really concerned at all about the minutes breakdown. I mean here's just a quick example of something that I see as 100% reasonable roles given talent levels:

1: Rubio (30 minutes) - D Lo (18 minutes)

2: D Lo (14 minutes) - Beasley (18 minutes) - Edwards (16 minutes)

3: Beasley (12 minutes) - Edwards (9 minutes) - Okogie (12 minutes) - Culver (15 minutes)

4: Jauncho (20 minutes) - Layman (20 minutes) - Okogie (8 minutes)

5: Towns (34 minutes) - Davis (14 minutes)

Rotation:

Towns (34 minutes)
D Lo (32 minutes)
Rubio (30 minutes)
Beasley (30 minutes)
Edwards (25 minutes)
Jauncho (20 minutes)
Layman (20 minutes)
Okogie (20 minutes)
Culver (15 minutes)
Davis (14 minutes)

Now would I much rather have Culver's minutes be Jmac? 100/10 times. Do rotation moves to push Culver out of rotation matter to me. Not at all. Ideally, Jauncho/Layman/Okogie/Edwards get Culver's 15 minutes at some point down the line.

Culver is going to be so much better than you expect him to be. Also Vanderbilt is going to play.


I hope so, but he will start out in a smaller role. He will get more minutes if he earns it. Vanderbilt, if he gets minutes, will get Davis's minutes. Vanderbilt is a 5 in this system.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1256 » by KGdaBom » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:44 pm

TheZachAttack wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
This is fair and I agree on both points, though I would argue that Okogie (and likely Culver too) is less of a liability offensively at the 4--so if we're talking about maximizing assets, given those players limitations, playing the 4 would or should help them. I don't think there is a major difference between the 3 and the 4 in the Rosas system. On defense, no matter the 3 or the 4 they are going to be switching around the perimeter and on offense they will be operating from one of the corners. I don't really see a distinction and I'm not really sure why it matters if Layman is at the 3 or the 4.

In addition, I acknowledged that long-term there will be additional moves that take place. I personally don't see a role for Culver in this rotation, I would rather play Layman. The reason that I focused on size and length was because of your concern about guards playing on the floor together. The reason I mentioned McLaughlin is about size defensively. I am arguably the biggest J Mac proponent here (I think he's potentially a slightly worse version of Fred Van Fleet), but again my post was about size and playing multiple players together defensively. If Beasley, Edwards, Rubio, Culver, Okogie, etc. were all 5'11 or 6'0 and 170 pounds... it would be much more of a concern than it is now.

Again, I even agree that the roster additions this offseason push Culver out of the rotation, though they may play him early in the season to try and drive up his trade value, but the real reason Culver is pushed out of the rotation (and the Wolves added multiple guards/wings) is that Culver is not a good basketball player.

I'm not really concerned at all about the minutes breakdown. I mean here's just a quick example of something that I see as 100% reasonable roles given talent levels:

1: Rubio (30 minutes) - D Lo (18 minutes)

2: D Lo (14 minutes) - Beasley (18 minutes) - Edwards (16 minutes)

3: Beasley (12 minutes) - Edwards (9 minutes) - Okogie (12 minutes) - Culver (15 minutes)

4: Jauncho (20 minutes) - Layman (20 minutes) - Okogie (8 minutes)

5: Towns (34 minutes) - Davis (14 minutes)

Rotation:

Towns (34 minutes)
D Lo (32 minutes)
Rubio (30 minutes)
Beasley (30 minutes)
Edwards (25 minutes)
Jauncho (20 minutes)
Layman (20 minutes)
Okogie (20 minutes)
Culver (15 minutes)
Davis (14 minutes)

Now would I much rather have Culver's minutes be Jmac? 100/10 times. Do rotation moves to push Culver out of rotation matter to me. Not at all. Ideally, Jauncho/Layman/Okogie/Edwards get Culver's 15 minutes at some point down the line.

Culver is going to be so much better than you expect him to be. Also Vanderbilt is going to play.


I hope so, but he will start out in a smaller role. He will get more minutes if he earns it. Vanderbilt, if he gets minutes, will get Davis's minutes. Vanderbilt is a 5 in this system.

I don't care if Vanderbilt is a 10 or 20 in this system. He's a good player from all indications. I don't see him as KAT's backup. I could see him as a starter if he's as good as all the praise management is lavishing on him.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1257 » by TheZachAttack » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:50 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:Culver is going to be so much better than you expect him to be. Also Vanderbilt is going to play.


I hope so, but he will start out in a smaller role. He will get more minutes if he earns it. Vanderbilt, if he gets minutes, will get Davis's minutes. Vanderbilt is a 5 in this system.

I don't care if Vanderbilt is a 10 or 20 in this system. He's a good player from all indications. I don't see him as KAT's backup. I could see him as a starter if he's as good as all the praise management is lavishing on him.


We will see, he would have to develop quite a bit, especially his jump shot--but by all means I hope he does. It's possible that he could get some of Culver's minutes (or Okogie's) if one of them doesn't take a step forward this year. His most direct path to immediate playing time is definitively Davis's minutes at the backup 5 and based on his game now and the Wolves system that's also the most natural position for him given his skillset.

As Layman said, there's no real difference between the 3/4 in this system aka "wing" spots. Vanderbilt is much more of a big than a wing.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1258 » by KGdaBom » Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:56 pm

TheZachAttack wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
TheZachAttack wrote:
I hope so, but he will start out in a smaller role. He will get more minutes if he earns it. Vanderbilt, if he gets minutes, will get Davis's minutes. Vanderbilt is a 5 in this system.

I don't care if Vanderbilt is a 10 or 20 in this system. He's a good player from all indications. I don't see him as KAT's backup. I could see him as a starter if he's as good as all the praise management is lavishing on him.


We will see, he would have to develop quite a bit, especially his jump shot--but by all means I hope he does. It's possible that he could get some of Culver's minutes (or Okogie's) if one of them doesn't take a step forward this year. His most direct path to immediate playing time is definitively Davis's minutes at the backup 5 and based on his game now and the Wolves system that's also the most natural position for him given his skillset.

As Layman said, there's no real difference between the 3/4 in this system aka "wing" spots. Vanderbilt is much more of a big than a wing.

As far as I know Vanderbilt has never played Center in his life. Maybe in HS.
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Re: Re: 

Post#1259 » by Klomp » Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:02 pm

KGdaBom wrote:As far as I know Vanderbilt has never played Center in his life. Maybe in HS.

Read on Twitter


James Johnson had never really played C, but he did here.
tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
Klomp wrote:I'm putting the tired in retired mod at the moment
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Re: Re: 

Post#1260 » by KGdaBom » Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:20 pm

Klomp wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:As far as I know Vanderbilt has never played Center in his life. Maybe in HS.

Read on Twitter


James Johnson had never really played C, but he did here.

Interesting. I wonder how many total minutes he put in at center in Denver.

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