shrink wrote:Am I missing something? GSW owns the #2? The CHI write up is for #2. Did you switch this trade to MIN and the #1, and not edit it?
This seems like particularly poor value.
Yes, GS fans were proposing (#2, Looney) for (#4 Carter) So I thought the value was close for the #1 because Looney has some value as well in trade.
I also have more perceived value on the Memphis pick/s than the mid to late firsts Minnesota fans see them as. The Utah pick is protected (1-8, 15-30) in 2021 so it can't be a late first it's being seen as. Then in 2022, which is supposed to be the double draft. The pick is top 6 protected, where Utah will have to find answers for Gobert & Ingles, 2 key starters hitting free agency. I do think they could end up conveying a solid lottery pick in a stronger double draft. If they get lottery luck into the top 6, then the pick is top 3 protected 2023. Same goes for my projection of the GS 2024 top 4 to 2026 unprotected. GS are going to ride their championship core until it's too late & then they're going to find themselves in a hard rebuild with their pick top 4 protected in 24, top 1 in 25, unprotected 26. Klay is in his 30's and has had a major injury, Curry will be 36 as well as Green. They currently only have Pachall & the #2 pick to help the future but in their aspirations to contend, they'll likely trade one or both for immediate help. I project that pick conveying top 10, mot mid to late lotto & would contend based on projection, it has the "potential" to be more valuable than an unprotected 2022 Knick pick outside of luck.
Which is why I asked KG if he would take a late Mavs pick in 21 to net an unprotected 2022 Knick pick. I don't think the stipulation will meet the projection without some considerable luck.
So when Wolves fans started saying the picks were mid to late lotto, It's off to where I perceived it's value to be in trade. I'm not saying they're wrong because there's risk but that risk exists for all future picks. Take Memphis owing Boston. A team looking like they'll be in the lottery for a while, like the Knicks, lucked into Morant, where projections had them finishing last in the West, not scrapping a playoff birth. Boston thought they were getting an unprotected lottery pick in 21, instead they got a mid first.
Like I said, I can't argue if people don't project the pick as I have, so I understand the dislike for the trade with the picks viewed as late firsts..