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The Andrew Wiggins Thread

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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1841 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:35 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
AirP. wrote:The question isn't is Wiggins worth the max because it doesn't matter, on the open market he'll get a max offer. The question is if Wiggins worth the max to Minnesota as the probable 3rd option and possibly being solid on defense.

Think about this... if on average Towns is scoring 25+, Butler is scoring 20+, Teague 12-15, Dieng/Gibson 15-20 and Crawford at 10-12 that's 82-84+ points a night without Wiggins and we're not even counting the stretch PF points with Bjelica, backup PG or whoever (probably Wiggins next year) playing opposite of Butler on the wing.

Towns isn't going anywhere anytime soon, Butler is more then likely here long term so there's 50-60 million of the cap longterm. If Wiggins doesn't drastically get better, is it worth also paying the max to Wiggins if he's giving you 17-20 points a night with possibly decent defense? Forget what he could do as the #1 or #2 option(like he was this year) because more then likely he won't be that for another 4-5 years because of Towns and Butler being in front of him.

AirP it isn't just about the numbers he produces. The more threats we have the easier it is for everybody. Wiggins is at an age where he is likely to improve exponentially over the next five years. IMO he is absolutely worth that max contract.


Ok, so what are you expecting him to put up as the 3rd option being paid the max? His rebounding numbers may go up slightly as he gets stronger, he may get somewhat more efficient scoring, he's not a great catch and shoot player and the ball won't be in his hands nearly as much with Butler and Teague getting way more shots then Rubio and LaVine did. Before Minnesota got a better wing them him he's well worth the max investment, now, I'm not so sure. If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1842 » by KGdaBom » Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:37 pm

AirP. wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
AirP. wrote:The question isn't is Wiggins worth the max because it doesn't matter, on the open market he'll get a max offer. The question is if Wiggins worth the max to Minnesota as the probable 3rd option and possibly being solid on defense.

Think about this... if on average Towns is scoring 25+, Butler is scoring 20+, Teague 12-15, Dieng/Gibson 15-20 and Crawford at 10-12 that's 82-84+ points a night without Wiggins and we're not even counting the stretch PF points with Bjelica, backup PG or whoever (probably Wiggins next year) playing opposite of Butler on the wing.

Towns isn't going anywhere anytime soon, Butler is more then likely here long term so there's 50-60 million of the cap longterm. If Wiggins doesn't drastically get better, is it worth also paying the max to Wiggins if he's giving you 17-20 points a night with possibly decent defense? Forget what he could do as the #1 or #2 option(like he was this year) because more then likely he won't be that for another 4-5 years because of Towns and Butler being in front of him.

AirP it isn't just about the numbers he produces. The more threats we have the easier it is for everybody. Wiggins is at an age where he is likely to improve exponentially over the next five years. IMO he is absolutely worth that max contract.


Ok, so what are you expecting him to put up as the 3rd option being paid the max? His rebounding numbers may go up slightly as he gets stronger, he may get somewhat more efficient scoring, he's not a great catch and shoot player and the ball won't be in his hands nearly as much with Butler and Teague getting way more shots then Rubio and LaVine did. Before Minnesota got a better wing them him he's well worth the max investment, now, I'm not so sure. If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.

I personally feel he will be just fine and getting 20 or more PPG plus significant improvement in every other aspect of his game. Time will tell.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1843 » by Klomp » Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:46 pm

AirP. wrote:If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.

What else are you going to do with that money?
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1844 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:52 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
AirP. wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:AirP it isn't just about the numbers he produces. The more threats we have the easier it is for everybody. Wiggins is at an age where he is likely to improve exponentially over the next five years. IMO he is absolutely worth that max contract.


Ok, so what are you expecting him to put up as the 3rd option being paid the max? His rebounding numbers may go up slightly as he gets stronger, he may get somewhat more efficient scoring, he's not a great catch and shoot player and the ball won't be in his hands nearly as much with Butler and Teague getting way more shots then Rubio and LaVine did. Before Minnesota got a better wing them him he's well worth the max investment, now, I'm not so sure. If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.

I personally feel he will be just fine and getting 20 or more PPG plus significant improvement in every other aspect of his game. Time will tell.

Whoa... Towns(efficient big) putting in 25+ ppg, Butler 20+ ppg(efficient wing) AND Wiggins at 20 ppg. How is Wiggins going to score nearly as much with way less ball touches? I get becoming more efficient because of shot selection and having the 2nd best wing defender on him but his shot rate may really take a plunge with the other offensive players added to the team.

I get Wiggins may end up a really good player worth a max for a number of teams, just not sure he's worth the max behind 2 better options. I just watched how this didn't work in Chicago with Butler and Wade, and those 2 didn't have an monster like Towns in front of both of them.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1845 » by KGdaBom » Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:58 pm

AirP. wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
AirP. wrote:
Ok, so what are you expecting him to put up as the 3rd option being paid the max? His rebounding numbers may go up slightly as he gets stronger, he may get somewhat more efficient scoring, he's not a great catch and shoot player and the ball won't be in his hands nearly as much with Butler and Teague getting way more shots then Rubio and LaVine did. Before Minnesota got a better wing them him he's well worth the max investment, now, I'm not so sure. If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.

I personally feel he will be just fine and getting 20 or more PPG plus significant improvement in every other aspect of his game. Time will tell.

Whoa... Towns(efficient big) putting in 25+ ppg, Butler 20+ ppg(efficient wing) AND Wiggins at 20 ppg. How is Wiggins going to score nearly as much with way less ball touches? I get becoming more efficient because of shot selection and having the 2nd best wing defender on him but his shot rate may really take a plunge with the other offensive players added to the team.

I get Wiggins may end up a really good player worth a max for a number of teams, just not sure he's worth the max behind 2 better options. I just watched how this didn't work in Chicago with Butler and Wade, and those 2 didn't have an monster like Towns in front of both of them.

We are going to get IMO 65 PPG out of that big three or more. Time will tell. Last season we got over 67 PPG from KAT WIgs and Zach. If Zach could manage 19 PPG last year as the third option, Wigs can get 20.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1846 » by Oriole8159 » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:09 pm

Mattya wrote:
Oriole8159 wrote:
Mattya wrote:
The Blazers are going to be paying close to 200 million with their current roster. The Nets had a ridiculous salary with the KG, Pierce, Lopez team. The Knicks revenue is almost twice that with a crap product. Same with the Lakers. And that is probably after revenue sharing from the Lakers and Knicks tv deals. Those teams just are significantly wealthier than a majority of other teams. They can afford pretty much whatever team the conceivably want to put together.

You think small market non ultra billionaire owners are going to compete with that? It isn't going to happen.


none of those examples worked though, so not sure they prove the point you're trying to make. bad organizations even in big cities are still bad organizations. and I'm also not convinced that teams will magically compound their salaries just because the optio is out there all of a sudden; these are billion dollar companies now, so they aren't being run like toys in the past. With billions of dollars at stake, you still need to be responsible with payroll.

But how about compromising on that with a flat team salary cap (say $150-$200 million??) but no player maximum? That way players can let the market set their own max levels, but teams that "overpay" have less resources to fill out the rest of their roster.

invariably some owners will go all in and fail and embarrass themselves, but as with any business the market will adjust accordingly.

Considering I'm making most of this up on the fly, I don't think it's half bad.


None of those examples work for teams being willing to spend 200 million on their salaries? Despite them actually doing so? Big market teams don't need to be responsible with no salary cap or max contracts. There is a reason why the knicks are still handing out stupid contracts to Tim hardaway. They make money no matter what.

What you are now suggesting would hurt lower end players settling for minimum contracts more than it already does.


It hasn't resulted in a championship, or even close, so yes it hasn't worked. and even if we wanted to go uncapped, I really don't think teams would be interested in kicking up to over $300 million just because they could. There's a difference between the Knicks giving Tim Hardaway a bad contract because they have money they need to spend, and the Knicks actively going over $300 million just because they can. again, these teams are no longer toys.

and no it wouldn't hurt lower end players. Remember you're taking out most of the 19-21 year olds already as they'll still be in college, and most of the 21-24 year olds are on their rookie controlled deals then.
since the total payroll pool of dollars doesn't change, that automatically means more money to go the players 25 and up. the union wouldn't allow for less total dollars going to the players, so that automatically means more money open to veterans.
thus if you do the model of uncapped players but in a capped team environment, a team may only be able to afford two uncapped players.

and again, I'm open to adding in other controls if needed. This is obviously a very complex issue.
Add in a features similar to the max extensions eligibility before a player is eligible to get a fully uncapped deal perhaps? So someone like Wiggins or Otto Porter that haven't made any all star games, any all NBA teams, or any all defensive teams wouldn't be eligible for an uncapped deal yet on their 2nd contract.

A feature like that though would allow a team to potentially get 3-4 of these good but not super good yet players under contract, while other teams may only be able to get two uncapped players. that way it's much easier for teams to compete that don't have super good uncapped players, but that have done a good job of drafting and developing their existing players.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1847 » by Crazy-Canuck » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:22 pm

I find it crazy that someone on the gb would rather have thj on his second contact than Wiggins on his second contact.

People who say he hasn't improved are only looking at his boxscore. How he's getting his points and moving on the court is night day when compared to his rookie year. This is a kid that couldn't dribble, couldn't shoot, and isn't an alpha mentality. Yet he's getting all the points he's getting now and is still among the better clutch players in the league last year. Imagine what he can do when he actually learns the game.

Defensively, he has a lot of work to fo. But he's top 5 in the NBA in shot contests for a non big and I think top 25 overall.

That tells me that he is isnt lazy as much as him being a half second slow on his off the ball reads and is at least making an attempt to get in the play.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1848 » by Klomp » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:24 pm

“He’s a special talent. What we tend to forget is that it does take time. They don’t get there overnight and when you look at Andrew’s first year, it was 16 points and then 20 points and now 24 points in his third year. So he’s making good, steady progress,” Thibodeau said. “I think he’s just scratching the surface. I think he can take off to a completely different level. But I like the progress that he’s made. It’s significant jumps in all three years. I think if you look back at players like Jimmy and Kawhi (Leonard), we tend to look at them as they are today, but we forget the steps they took along the way.”

http://jimrome.com/2017/06/29/tom-thibodeau-talks-butler-towns-and-wiggins-on-the-jim-rome-show/
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1849 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:28 pm

Klomp wrote:
AirP. wrote:If he doesn't become a max type player you may be hurting the team during Butler's prime and the 1st half of Town's prime.

What else are you going to do with that money?


It's not like you'd just cut Wiggins, you'd absolutely get a ton for him. Even if he's signed for the max, he'd still be on his rookie contract till sometime next summer which would make it possible to add like Dieng, Gibson or Teague's contract to him and get a high priced player while operating over the cap. Does LeBron leave Cleveland next year and go into rebuilding mode where K.Irving would be available in a package? What if P.George would accept a sign and trade to Minnesota if they look like the real deal?

Just think of it this way, are their cheaper SGs out there that would fit better with the rest of Minnesota's starters then Wiggins? I'm not sure a solid SG who plays just average defense is that big of a drop off for what Wiggins will give you as a #3 option.

I like Wiggins' potential, but man... that +/- per 100 possessions would scare the hell out of me to go forward paying him the max. It was -8 for Wiggins yet his teammates were much better, Towns was +11, Dieng +4, Rubio +3 and even LaVine was only -3.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/MIN/2017.html#per_poss::none

If you're wondering the 2 new starters... Butler was +17 and for comparison his teammate D.Wade was -3. J.Teague was +5 while teammate P.George was +1.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1850 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:34 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
AirP. wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:I personally feel he will be just fine and getting 20 or more PPG plus significant improvement in every other aspect of his game. Time will tell.

Whoa... Towns(efficient big) putting in 25+ ppg, Butler 20+ ppg(efficient wing) AND Wiggins at 20 ppg. How is Wiggins going to score nearly as much with way less ball touches? I get becoming more efficient because of shot selection and having the 2nd best wing defender on him but his shot rate may really take a plunge with the other offensive players added to the team.

I get Wiggins may end up a really good player worth a max for a number of teams, just not sure he's worth the max behind 2 better options. I just watched how this didn't work in Chicago with Butler and Wade, and those 2 didn't have an monster like Towns in front of both of them.

We are going to get IMO 65 PPG out of that big three or more. Time will tell. Last season we got over 67 PPG from KAT WIgs and Zach. If Zach could manage 19 PPG last year as the third option, Wigs can get 20.

Maybe if you had a PG like Rubio instead of someone who is an actual offensive option in Teague. The 4th and 5th options on offense are better this year with Teague being a better 4th option moving last year's 4th option(PF) to 5th option this year.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1851 » by packforfreedom » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:42 pm

I'm really not the biggest Wiggins fan around here, but the hate he receives is unreal. Of course he's max player, there's no question about that. He's an elite scorer with a lot of holes in his game but he's still freaking young is making progress every year. It would be extremely stupid to waste the chance of having him around for the next 5 years.

In a perfect world he'd take a bit less than the max like Giannnis did. Every million of capspace counts as we're just learning in this offseason with 11 contracts and only room for min contracts.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1852 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:51 pm

packforfreedom wrote:I'm really not the biggest Wiggins fan around here, but the hate he receives is unreal. Of course he's max player, there's no question about that. He's an elite scorer with a lot of holes in his game but he's still freaking young is making progress every year. It would be extremely stupid to waste the chance of having him around for the next 5 years.

In a perfect world he'd take a bit less than the max like Giannnis did. Every million of capspace counts as we're just learning in this offseason with 11 contracts and only room for min contracts.


It's not just about having him around for the next 5 years... it's having him around at the MAX for your 3rd option for nearly his whole 2nd contract. Bosh was a franchise player and seemed to be forgotten as the 3rd option in Miami, K.Love was a franchise player and is in trade rumors basically every year since joining Cleveland, at the very least both their production dropped greatly because of going from a top option to 3rd option.

Who knows, maybe Thibs signs Wiggins to the max, keeps him and sign and trades(or just trade) Butler for assets to put around Towns and Wiggins. I do trust Thibs to know which is probably the best direction to go with between keeping Wiggins at/near the max or moving him.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1853 » by Mattya » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:58 pm

It hasn't resulted in a championship, or even close, so yes it hasn't worked. and even if we wanted to go uncapped, I really don't think teams would be interested in kicking up to over $300 million just because they could. There's a difference between the Knicks giving Tim Hardaway a bad contract because they have money they need to spend, and the Knicks actively going over $300 million just because they can. again, these teams are no longer toys.

and no it wouldn't hurt lower end players. Remember you're taking out most of the 19-21 year olds already as they'll still be in college, and most of the 21-24 year olds are on their rookie controlled deals then.
since the total payroll pool of dollars doesn't change, that automatically means more money to go the players 25 and up. the union wouldn't allow for less total dollars going to the players, so that automatically means more money open to veterans.
thus if you do the model of uncapped players but in a capped team environment, a team may only be able to afford two uncapped players.

and again, I'm open to adding in other controls if needed. This is obviously a very complex issue.
Add in a features similar to the max extensions eligibility before a player is eligible to get a fully uncapped deal perhaps? So someone like Wiggins or Otto Porter that haven't made any all star games, any all NBA teams, or any all defensive teams wouldn't be eligible for an uncapped deal yet on their 2nd contract.

A feature like that though would allow a team to potentially get 3-4 of these good but not super good yet players under contract, while other teams may only be able to get two uncapped players. that way it's much easier for teams to compete that don't have super good uncapped players, but that have done a good job of drafting and developing their existing players.

[/quote]

Um, im confused as to why you would judge the successfulness of a capped max contract system team now, versus your hypothetical? That team has to follow all the rules under the current cap system, but in your mind that tells you that it wouldn't work in your system? That makes no sense. It tells you if you give those teams the flexibility they will out pay you whenever they can. Take away the rules and restrictions, which you are trying to ignore when you say those teams failed, and those teams look completely different.

The Knicks didn't have money they need to spend. They just spend because they can. If you don't think they wouldn't give 300 million or more to build a mega team, I think you would be very mistaken. Not only would they still make money, they would make even more. Teams like the Lakers and Knicks have no conceivable spending limit when it comes to a super team. Their market is just that big.

How do you assume that teams are just going to give more money to these veteran players? The union already turns a blind eye to vets not making enough money! They literally just agreed to the system you are saying doesn't work. We have seen for how long that if teams don't have a chance at winning, like in your system, then they will tank for draft picks and keep payroll low. Can you give me any reason why teams are going to pay these vets anymore than they have to?
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1854 » by Klomp » Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:58 pm

AirP. wrote:
packforfreedom wrote:I'm really not the biggest Wiggins fan around here, but the hate he receives is unreal. Of course he's max player, there's no question about that. He's an elite scorer with a lot of holes in his game but he's still freaking young is making progress every year. It would be extremely stupid to waste the chance of having him around for the next 5 years.

In a perfect world he'd take a bit less than the max like Giannnis did. Every million of capspace counts as we're just learning in this offseason with 11 contracts and only room for min contracts.


It's not just about having him around for the next 5 years... it's having him around at the MAX for your 3rd option for nearly his whole 2nd contract. Bosh was a franchise player and seemed to be forgotten as the 3rd option in Miami, K.Love was a franchise player and is in trade rumors basically every year since joining Cleveland, at the very least both their production dropped greatly because of going from a top option to 3rd option.

Who knows, maybe Thibs signs Wiggins to the max, keeps him and sign and trades(or just trade) Butler for assets to put around Towns and Wiggins. I do trust Thibs to know which is probably the best direction to go with between keeping Wiggins at/near the max or moving him.

You're right. Those teams are seriously regretting those moves that put them in the Finals every year....
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1855 » by Mattya » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:02 pm

AirP. wrote:
packforfreedom wrote:I'm really not the biggest Wiggins fan around here, but the hate he receives is unreal. Of course he's max player, there's no question about that. He's an elite scorer with a lot of holes in his game but he's still freaking young is making progress every year. It would be extremely stupid to waste the chance of having him around for the next 5 years.

In a perfect world he'd take a bit less than the max like Giannnis did. Every million of capspace counts as we're just learning in this offseason with 11 contracts and only room for min contracts.


It's not just about having him around for the next 5 years... it's having him around at the MAX for your 3rd option for nearly his whole 2nd contract. Bosh was a franchise player and seemed to be forgotten as the 3rd option in Miami, K.Love was a franchise player and is in trade rumors basically every year since joining Cleveland, at the very least both their production dropped greatly because of going from a top option to 3rd option.

Who knows, maybe Thibs signs Wiggins to the max, keeps him and sign and trades(or just trade) Butler for assets to put around Towns and Wiggins. I do trust Thibs to know which is probably the best direction to go with between keeping Wiggins at/near the max or moving him.


Kevin Love is in trade rumors because they need to drop salary or get better and nobody wants to take JR Smith or Shumpert off their hands for free.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1856 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:02 pm

Klomp wrote:
AirP. wrote:It's not just about having him around for the next 5 years... it's having him around at the MAX for your 3rd option for nearly his whole 2nd contract. Bosh was a franchise player and seemed to be forgotten as the 3rd option in Miami, K.Love was a franchise player and is in trade rumors basically every year since joining Cleveland, at the very least both their production dropped greatly because of going from a top option to 3rd option.

Who knows, maybe Thibs signs Wiggins to the max, keeps him and sign and trades(or just trade) Butler for assets to put around Towns and Wiggins. I do trust Thibs to know which is probably the best direction to go with between keeping Wiggins at/near the max or moving him.

You're right. Those teams are seriously regretting those moves that put them in the Finals every year....

Oh, Minnesota has LeBron now? He got to the finals with Larry Huges and Dwight Gooden as his #2 and #3 option.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1857 » by AirP. » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:10 pm

It'll be interesting to see how people will view Wiggins(as a max or near max player) next summer. I have no problem saying he has the potential to be a great player, I just don't think he'll look all that great as the #3 option when people will understand that Towns and Butler are way better then him(currently). It's like everyone is just completely ignoring how different the team dynamic is in Minnesota now.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1858 » by Mattya » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:27 pm

AirP. wrote:It'll be interesting to see how people will view Wiggins(as a max or near max player) next summer. I have no problem saying he has the potential to be a great player, I just don't think he'll look all that great as the #3 option when people will understand that Towns and Butler are way better then him(currently). It's like everyone is just completely ignoring how different the team dynamic is in Minnesota now.


Or maybe you are overestimating how much his usage will drop.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1859 » by KGdaBom » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:34 pm

AirP. wrote:
packforfreedom wrote:I'm really not the biggest Wiggins fan around here, but the hate he receives is unreal. Of course he's max player, there's no question about that. He's an elite scorer with a lot of holes in his game but he's still freaking young is making progress every year. It would be extremely stupid to waste the chance of having him around for the next 5 years.

In a perfect world he'd take a bit less than the max like Giannnis did. Every million of capspace counts as we're just learning in this offseason with 11 contracts and only room for min contracts.


It's not just about having him around for the next 5 years... it's having him around at the MAX for your 3rd option for nearly his whole 2nd contract. Bosh was a franchise player and seemed to be forgotten as the 3rd option in Miami, K.Love was a franchise player and is in trade rumors basically every year since joining Cleveland, at the very least both their production dropped greatly because of going from a top option to 3rd option.

Who knows, maybe Thibs signs Wiggins to the max, keeps him and sign and trades(or just trade) Butler for assets to put around Towns and Wiggins. I do trust Thibs to know which is probably the best direction to go with between keeping Wiggins at/near the max or moving him.

What I don't think you understand AirP is that having Bosh made thing so much easier on Wade and LeBron. Sure put Bosh on a lesser team and he would put up bigger numbers, but he was a huge part of them winning the two titles. Even IF Wiggins is the #3 and his numbers aren't quite as big it doesn't mean that he doesn't have huge value for the Wolves.
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Re: The Andrew Wiggins Thread 

Post#1860 » by KGdaBom » Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:38 pm

AirP. wrote:It'll be interesting to see how people will view Wiggins(as a max or near max player) next summer. I have no problem saying he has the potential to be a great player, I just don't think he'll look all that great as the #3 option when people will understand that Towns and Butler are way better then him(currently). It's like everyone is just completely ignoring how different the team dynamic is in Minnesota now.

Everybody knows he is the third best player on the team and knowing that almost everybody is happy to pay him the max. I think you are just making up reasons in your brain as to why he may not work out and sure he might not. Odds are vastly in favor of maxing Wiggins and keeping this big three together. KAT might not be LeBron, but KAT and Butler I think can be a better one/two then LeBron and Irving. Time will tell.

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