shrink wrote:winforlose wrote:shrink wrote:I think we are talking past each other too.
Our difference here is that you are attributing the wins to the fact that Mike is a PG, and your #6 extrapolates that it takes another successful PG creates wins.
For 3, 4, and 5, those facts are equally true about having any player named Mike on the roster, and by that standard, you think you’ve proven that an equally talented Michael Porter Jr would create wins.
You are seeing correlation, and thinking that proves causation. It may or it may not.
You are correct that a deeper dive is necessary to prove my point. Likewise a deeper dive is necessary to disprove it. I know we turn the ball over a lot. I know we play hero ball in the 4th quarter a lot. I know that we play a ton of ISO, and that when we do our team’s shooting percentage tend to drop. I know that teams with excellent PG play tend to do better than teams without it. I guess my question for you with limited resources and your current understanding of basketball, do you think getting another PG is beneficial to winning games?
Personally I’m comfortable with DDV, particularly after our last, low turnover game against ORL. DiVincenzo isn’t a PG, but he is a good
player that we want to find more minutes for. Again, correlation, but he’s started the last three games, and they’ve all been wins. I am much more concerned about having no other centers on the roster.
Longterm, I definitely want DDV out there. I hope Ant spends the summer working on his passing and playmaking. With his dangerous three point shooting and explosive first step to the hoop, he will draw defenders and make passing to open teammates easier, once he gets better at finding them. When he can do that, and he’s the primary ball handler, DiVincenzo’s defense and three point shooting will help Ant on both sides of the court.
Finally, I would mention that the whole concept of point guards seem to be declining around the NBA, as many teams put the ball in the hands of their best players more and more.
I don't really think Ant's playmaking is an issue. I think his biggest issue is his lack of consistent midrange/floater. If Ant was able to get into the middle of the floor and score consistently, he would be able to be a lot better at drawing fouls as well. The majority of the issues with Ant as a playmaker come from the Wolves inability to punish teams putting 2 on the ball and still keeping players at the rim. I think what needs to happen is that Gobert needs to improve on catching passes on the short role and figuring out how he can consistently make reads to the corner and score. And McDaniels and the other wings need to become more consistent at making open 3 point shots from the corner.
If Ant were able to score more consistently in the between spaces of the floor, this would allow him to play at his own pace more, and make it easier for him as a passer as well.
I also disagree that Rob has struggled this year. To me, there has been games where Rob has missed shots but every time he's on the floor the ball moves really well, the team plays with more pace, and generates good looks. I think Rob has also been the best Wolves ball handler at not struggling with physicality when teams pressure the full length of the floor. When we talk about point guard play, that's the most important skill from that position. The elite point guards also score consistently, which Rob has shown flashes of doing but is still figuring out (and hasn't really had enough playing time) to figure out how to get to his spots and score inside against NBA length.
I also don't think Rob has been bad at the defensive end of the floor. I think he executes the defensive scheme well, has good hands, and moves laterally really well to stay in front of defenders. He can struggle to get through screens and can get backed down but teams shooting contested mid range shots is fine and funneling shooters into McDaniels/Gobert and length is fine as well.
I think it's important that the Wolves get another PG given Conley's decline this year, but I think a player like a Ty Jerome, Mcconnel, or Tyus Jones is really what the Wolves need. Given Ant's scoring ability and ability to draw probably the most aggressive defensive coverage of any scorer in the league, I don't think we need an "elite" PG.
Again, in my opinion Rob has actually consistently shown PG skills that I think actually are the best on the time as of now. The reason for this is his speed, ability to get by the first defender, and his ability to create pace is better than what Conley can do at this stage in his career. And I think the Wolves issues are not Ant as a playmaker, but the structure of what the Wolves can do when teams sell out on Ant and Ant's inconsistency in his ability to score in the middle of the floor.
When you watch players like Fox, Ja, Brunson, Maxey, Kyrie, Garland, and other "good" PGs all of these players don't need to get all of the way to the rim. They shoot >50% from the short mid-range and floater area and when they drive they are trying to get to spots that aren't trying to out athleticism players at the rim. This is one of the biggest reasons why the Wolves offense goes cold too often. In addition, to the Wolves playing ball-handlers who are not "1's" and struggle with ball pressure in the backcourt and up to the half court line that makes it hard for the Wolves to get into sets early and causes a lot of turnovers.
I don't really see Wolves fans or even media like Dane Moore talking about this much. In fact, a lot of the time I hear fans and media talking about how they can get to the rim more and saying it's great that Ant is taking more 3's instead of midrange shots. I want Ant shooting 10+ 3's, but I also think he needs to drive to get to spots on the floor and become consistent in those areas so he's not so reliant on needing to get all of the way to the rim.
In this world, the Wolves need a ball-handler who can create pace and isn't phased by ball-pressure and can also beat their man off the dribble to get into the middle of the floor and cause defenses to get out of their shell and start to rotate. Again, I would argue that Rob is better than anyone else on the team at this. They also need a big who can attack defenses on the short roll and wings who can make corner 3's.