Where do the Wolves end the season?

[Baseline81]

Wolves may end up with the 6th worst record in the league now. Sitting at 20 wins while OKC and Cleveland have 21.

In doing so, it would give the team a 27.6% chance of a top-3 pick, but also a 54.2% chance of giving Golden State the 7th pick or worse.

[Klomp]

Wolves may end up with the 6th worst record in the league now. Sitting at 20 wins while OKC and Cleveland have 21.

In doing so, it would give the team a 27.6% chance of a top-3 pick, but also a 54.2% chance of giving Golden State the 7th pick or worse.

Losses are the more important number to monitor. Wolves have 44, Thunder 42, Cavs 41

[Klomp]

The biggest thing is none of the remaining games seem unwinnable

[Klomp]

I thought this was an interesting observation.

Read on Twitter

They closed the season winning 7 of 12, dropping them from 3rd to 5th in the lottery. They actually did move up after the lottery, but that can't be credited for the improvement because Thabeet barely played.

[Dewey]

I’m totally accepting the fact that since we are back at the buffet looking to feed on a top lottery pick once again - we just are not good. Until we find that “player” that can lead in and off the floor, it’ll be a struggle to see this roster ever see .500.

Need a couple suave trades after we nail the draft or we’ll see a rinse and repeat

[Klomp]

Wolves may end up with the 6th worst record in the league now. Sitting at 20 wins while OKC and Cleveland have 21.

In doing so, it would give the team a 27.6% chance of a top-3 pick, but also a 54.2% chance of giving Golden State the 7th pick or worse.

Some are critical of this winning down the stretch because of the pick owed, but I think they're forgetting the new lottery system. Moving from 1st to 6th odds only drops Minnesota's chance at a top-three pick from 40.2% to 27.6%. Two years ago, that drop would be from 64.2% to 18.3%. Very different situation now.

And yes, giving Golden State a lower pick is huge. In sixth slot, only 10.1% chance of giving No. 4 now, 8.1% of No. 6, and 52.2% it's lower than sixth.