Value Players
Posted: Sat May 5, 2012 9:16 pm
Whether the Wolves pull a trade for Iggy, sign a Batum or Wallace, or whatever else they are still going to have to "fill in the rest".
Rather than overpay for non-all stars, I think it's a much better strategy to underpay for young players who are already very solid role players that will improve with age. Let's call them "value players". Another version of "value players" are veterans off a down year that you can grab on the cheap and reasonably expect to improve.
Here is a list of value players I would love to sign or trade for.
Sign:
Jodie Meeks - My personal favorite SG option at the moment. Very good defense, very good 3 point shooter, does absolutely nothing to hurt you and plays the role you ask him to. He's a Bruce Bowen type of contributor with a better 3 point shot. Love his game right now.
Estimated cost: 4 years, $18 mil
Danny Green - Unlike Meeks, Green does not have a long history as a great outside shooter. His "fluky good" 3 point shooting is likely to drop down to a more reasonable 37-38%, which is still pretty solid. He's not as good offensively or defensively as Meeks, but he's got plenty of potential to get better and likely won't cost as much.
Estimated cost: 3 years, $9 mil
Delonte West - Solid player on the court....idiot off the court. What can I say, he's a great fit but doesn't really have much potential to get better (outside of improving his 3 point shooting anyway). Unlike Meeks and Green, West is a natural ball handler and probably makes Kahn look like an idiot if we sign him (plays PG, but better at SG). He's a capable SG, defends the position well enough, and fits very well into Adelman's offense. He's not spectacular but I just don't see a down side to him anywhere.
Estimated cost: 3 years, $10 mil
Marco Belinelli - I almost didn't add him as a "value player", but he just came off the worst (statistical) shooting year of his career outside of his rookie year (and who counts that?). As a #3 option, Belinelli is a .560 TS% scorer who doesn't do much else.....but that's ok. He's established as a great outside shooter and can create his own shot if he needs to....but his TS% drops to about .525 instead of .560 if you make him a primary scorer instead of a complimentary one. His defense is rather poor, so he fills out the bottom of this list. He's basically a poor man's Kevin Martin.
Estimated cost: $3 years, $11 mil.
Trade:
Chandler Parsons - fantastic defense at SF. His offense is raw and, quite frankly, will never be great. But he is a 3 point shot away from being the next Battier. Love his hustle and D. If Houston is willing to trade him for the #18 pick + Memphis pick I do it in a heartbeat.
Salary- 3 years left on a 4 year, $3.7 mil contract. Yeah.
Thabo Sefolosha - Very good defensive player. Good role player. Plays well off others. Pretty much as good as it gets for us trading for a SG. If OKC trades Harden, they will keep Sefo (and his presence on the team is one of the reasons I think they will trade Harden). But if they elect to keep Harden, we might be able to trade Ridnour + #18 for Sefo as OKC will want a combo guard to play with Westbrook/Harden and Ridnour is about perfect (except for his defense). It's a long shot, but worth looking at considering he'd be a damn solid starter if he wasn't behind Harden.
Salary - 2 years, $7.5 mil
Larry Sanders - I liked him a lot when he was drafted. And while his offensive game has done very little to progress, his help defense would look awful nice off the bench next to Love/Pekovic. Not sure what it would take to get him, but I can't imagine it would take much. Long arms, athletic, fantastic shot blocker, ok rebounder, fouls WAY too much. I think a change of scenery would do him some good and if he gets his fouls down he could turn into a nice surprise. And a team with a couple of scoring PF/Cs like Love/Pekovic is where he needs to be.
Salary - 2 years, $5 mil
Who am I missing? Who am I wrong about? Who can we trade for that has more value to us than what it would cost to trade for them?
To give you an example of what is not a "value player", I left Kevin Seraphin off this list because I thought he would cost too much to trade for. Larry Sanders, on the other hand, would take next to nothing to trade for. The idea is to find value for cheap not find cheap players we have to overpay for.
Input welcome.
Rather than overpay for non-all stars, I think it's a much better strategy to underpay for young players who are already very solid role players that will improve with age. Let's call them "value players". Another version of "value players" are veterans off a down year that you can grab on the cheap and reasonably expect to improve.
Here is a list of value players I would love to sign or trade for.
Sign:
Jodie Meeks - My personal favorite SG option at the moment. Very good defense, very good 3 point shooter, does absolutely nothing to hurt you and plays the role you ask him to. He's a Bruce Bowen type of contributor with a better 3 point shot. Love his game right now.
Estimated cost: 4 years, $18 mil
Danny Green - Unlike Meeks, Green does not have a long history as a great outside shooter. His "fluky good" 3 point shooting is likely to drop down to a more reasonable 37-38%, which is still pretty solid. He's not as good offensively or defensively as Meeks, but he's got plenty of potential to get better and likely won't cost as much.
Estimated cost: 3 years, $9 mil
Delonte West - Solid player on the court....idiot off the court. What can I say, he's a great fit but doesn't really have much potential to get better (outside of improving his 3 point shooting anyway). Unlike Meeks and Green, West is a natural ball handler and probably makes Kahn look like an idiot if we sign him (plays PG, but better at SG). He's a capable SG, defends the position well enough, and fits very well into Adelman's offense. He's not spectacular but I just don't see a down side to him anywhere.
Estimated cost: 3 years, $10 mil
Marco Belinelli - I almost didn't add him as a "value player", but he just came off the worst (statistical) shooting year of his career outside of his rookie year (and who counts that?). As a #3 option, Belinelli is a .560 TS% scorer who doesn't do much else.....but that's ok. He's established as a great outside shooter and can create his own shot if he needs to....but his TS% drops to about .525 instead of .560 if you make him a primary scorer instead of a complimentary one. His defense is rather poor, so he fills out the bottom of this list. He's basically a poor man's Kevin Martin.
Estimated cost: $3 years, $11 mil.
Trade:
Chandler Parsons - fantastic defense at SF. His offense is raw and, quite frankly, will never be great. But he is a 3 point shot away from being the next Battier. Love his hustle and D. If Houston is willing to trade him for the #18 pick + Memphis pick I do it in a heartbeat.
Salary- 3 years left on a 4 year, $3.7 mil contract. Yeah.
Thabo Sefolosha - Very good defensive player. Good role player. Plays well off others. Pretty much as good as it gets for us trading for a SG. If OKC trades Harden, they will keep Sefo (and his presence on the team is one of the reasons I think they will trade Harden). But if they elect to keep Harden, we might be able to trade Ridnour + #18 for Sefo as OKC will want a combo guard to play with Westbrook/Harden and Ridnour is about perfect (except for his defense). It's a long shot, but worth looking at considering he'd be a damn solid starter if he wasn't behind Harden.
Salary - 2 years, $7.5 mil
Larry Sanders - I liked him a lot when he was drafted. And while his offensive game has done very little to progress, his help defense would look awful nice off the bench next to Love/Pekovic. Not sure what it would take to get him, but I can't imagine it would take much. Long arms, athletic, fantastic shot blocker, ok rebounder, fouls WAY too much. I think a change of scenery would do him some good and if he gets his fouls down he could turn into a nice surprise. And a team with a couple of scoring PF/Cs like Love/Pekovic is where he needs to be.
Salary - 2 years, $5 mil
Who am I missing? Who am I wrong about? Who can we trade for that has more value to us than what it would cost to trade for them?
To give you an example of what is not a "value player", I left Kevin Seraphin off this list because I thought he would cost too much to trade for. Larry Sanders, on the other hand, would take next to nothing to trade for. The idea is to find value for cheap not find cheap players we have to overpay for.
Input welcome.