Post#129 » by wolfen » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:37 pm
Thought I'd dig this thread back up even though it's from 2020, but the content carries over. I haven't chimed in for weeks so I guess I feel the need to spit out my thoughts...
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If Simmons is acquired for D-Lo and Beas (and whatever pieces)..
Nowell
Ant
Jmac
Simmons
KAT
-D-Lo and Beas traded to Philly.
-Assuming Rubio is traded somewhere.
-PG minutes: Nowell / Balmaro / Simmons
-Wing minutes: Ant / Jmac / Simmons / Okogie
-"Big" minutes: KAT / Naz / Simmons / D. Theiss / Rookie Lob Catcher
-Theiss - Free agent MLE signing
*Can play 4 or 5.
*Physical presence to fill in holes that KAT and Naz lack.
*GREAT screener to get guys loose.
-Rookie Lob Catcher - Jerrico Simms
*Try to find an undrafted lob catcher with athleticism.
*Possibilities could be Simms, Queta, Maker
*Teams don't currently have to defend vertically against the wolves from 10 feet in, that is a big hole.
*A player of this type would be perfect on the other end of passes from Simmons & Balmaro
*Maybe this undrafted player pans out, maybe not, but take a shot at it.
*Other player names that could fit this category that might go undrafted that I didn't mention?
-PG - "The weakness"??
*I honestly think Nowell would do just fine in the starting lineup. He's a good shooter, adequated defender, and he wouldn't have to do the biggest share of the play-making with Ant & Simmons on the floor. I think he could average 13 / 4 / 4 as a starter on the wolves and would prevent the PG starter from being a non-shooter (Rubio, Balmaro).
*Again, Simmons would play PG as well.
*Balmaro is the gamble at the backup PG. It sure sounds like he's ready to play 15 mins a night right out of the gate. Good defender and passer, super fast, and good in transition.
-Shooting - With Simmons, you need shooters around him and having another starter in the lineup next to him that is a non-shooter (such as Rubio) wouldn't work, which is why I'm penciling in Nowell. Nowell, KAT, Ant, and Jmac are all shooters that can't be left alone on the offensive end, so this linuep on paper works.
-Attractive Free Agent destination
*With KAT, Simmons, and Ant, we become a more attractive free agent destination. Maybe a stud PG would want to sign in 2022 after next year. Maybe a stud PF, who knows. But you can't deny that 'sota would be a popular destination for free agens if Simmons were brought in alongside KAT and Ant.
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If we stand pat and no major moves are made...
*Minor moves - Rubio traded, D Theiss signed with MLE
D-Lo
Ant
Jmac
Naz
KAT
PG minutes: D-Lo / Nowell / Balmaro
Wing minutes: Ant / Jmac / Beasley / Nowell / Okogie
Bigs minutes: KAT / Naz / Theiss / Jerrico Simms / Juancho
*We just can't start Beasley over Naz. A back court of DLo, Ant, and Beasley together is a massive fail on defense.
*It's time to see if Naz and KAT can start together. If it doesn't work then you could start Theiss at the 5 and Towns at the 4.
*Hopefully Jmac takes the next step and becomes an even more confident offensive player. He'll be the defacto player to guard the other team's stud wing (they all have them). Hoping he'll put on some pounds and add strength this summer.
*Beasley off the bench would be just huge for the 2nd unit with his scoring.
*Nowell would lead the 2nd unit and sprinkle in Balmaro in there too if he shows he's ready right out of the gate.
*Okogie of course would anchor the defense for the bench unit.
*Theiss would add the physical presence for the bench unit.
*If Juancho can play like he did at the end of the previous year when we first signed him, he can get spot minutes to add shooting.
*Simms could be your developmental lob catcher, might pan out, might not.
*Theiss is the X factor signing. If he isn't signed, this squad will be a fringe playoff team, but if he is, he adds the flexibility and defense to either the starting lineup or bench.
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The 2nd scenario is the more likely scenario. You'd like to see these developments for next year:
1. D-Lo consistently plays at the level he did the 2nd half of the season.
2. Ant plays at the level he did during the 2nd half of the season, and possibly even better (more efficient, 36% from deep, a little better defensively).
3. Jmac puts on some weight and strength and takes the next step offensively and plays as good on defense, if not better.
4. Naz comes into camp in top shape and healthy and plays at least solid defense.
5. Beas accepts the bench role and puts up the same shooting numbers as he did last year.
6. Balmaro comes in ready to go, plays good D, plays smart, distributes the ball, isn't a complete liability shooting from 3 (low 30's would be enough to keep defenses honest).
7. Nowell plays well as the backup 1 and 2 and takes another step on both sides of the ball.
8. Simms, being an older prospect who is physically ready, shows that he can set good screens on the P/R and provide a lob threat to force teams to defend that air space (the dude is huge and a pogo-stick, and even has a nice floater on the short roll).
1-2 developments happen: 35 wins, play-in game for playoffs.
3-4 developments happen: 40 wins, 7-8 seed.
5-6 developments happen: 45 wins, 4-5 seed.
7 or more: 2-3 seed
The suns made the jump from "meh" to contenders in a short period of time. If things go right for our squad as it is with the developments above, the future is more than bright. You know what you'll get from KAT and Theiss. If the surrounding cast can make strides then we'll be locked and loaded. It seems the west is showing some parity and if a squad can "pop" in certain areas, that squad can jump up sooner rather than later.
Wolfen's thoughts for the day... What say you?