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Are the Heat tanking? Why are they so bad?

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 12:32 am
by ace2301
I'm really concerned that the Wolves are not going to end with the worst record. We really need a top 2 pick this year. Without the worst record....well, we all know how the TWolves draft spot luck has been.

Why are the Heat so terrible? They have one of the top players in the league (DWade). They play in the weak East. They've had Marion for a few games, but he hasn't seemed to help. Haslem is decent. And say what you will about Davis and Blount, but the TWolves were at least around .500 for awhile with them as starters last year, and thats in the WEST.

I'm hoping that Wade stays healthy, and with Marion they start picking up a few wins.

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 12:55 am
by 4ho5ive
I dont think Wade is 100%. I think he rushed back and I think there is a rumor going on that Riley is going to shut Wade down for the rest of the season pretty soon, guaranteeing them the worst record.

Now as we have learned in the past (last year specifically) tanking doesnt always get you the #1 pick. Seattle and Portland played it right while Boston was obviously in shut down mode and they got burned for it. So not ending up with the worst or 2nd-worst pick isnt the end of the world. It only decreases the likelyhood. We still only have 12 wins, the sky is not falling. Well not in the lottery sense.

Marion is a get it where you fit it kind of player to me. He isnt a go to option on offense, and although he was an allstar before Nash went to Phoenix, he most certainly benefitted from having him run that offense, as well as having Amare, Bell, Barbosa and others to help shoulder some of the scoring weight. Haslem is good but not great. They have no PG, and Wade is a great player, but he isnt like KG who can get the most out of the players around them (RD and Blount). KG made everyone else better, Wade cant do the things he could.

Or maybe all of this is moot and Wittman>Riley

??

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 2:29 am
by CB4MiamiHeat
4ho5ive wrote:I dont think Wade is 100%. I think he rushed back and I think there is a rumor going on that Riley is going to shut Wade down for the rest of the season pretty soon, guaranteeing them the worst record.

Now as we have learned in the past (last year specifically) tanking doesnt always get you the #1 pick. Seattle and Portland played it right while Boston was obviously in shut down mode and they got burned for it. So not ending up with the worst or 2nd-worst pick isnt the end of the world. It only decreases the likelyhood. We still only have 12 wins, the sky is not falling. Well not in the lottery sense.

Marion is a get it where you fit it kind of player to me. He isnt a go to option on offense, and although he was an allstar before Nash went to Phoenix, he most certainly benefitted from having him run that offense, as well as having Amare, Bell, Barbosa and others to help shoulder some of the scoring weight. Haslem is good but not great. They have no PG, and Wade is a great player, but he isnt like KG who can get the most out of the players around them (RD and Blount). KG made everyone else better, Wade cant do the things he could.

Or maybe all of this is moot and Wittman>Riley

??


Blount has been pretty good offensively, Wades been getting him open shots ..i dont think Wade can make Blount/Ricky into good defensive players or make Blount into a good rebounder.

Or frontcourt yesterday was Alexander Johnson/Mark Blount/Earl Barron ....our PG is Jason Williams, hes shooting 37%.

We are not tanking, were just that bad.

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 2:42 am
by B Calrissian
^Why don't you play Marion at pf to help the frontcourt?

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 5:03 am
by TheFranchise21
Riley might be absent from some games to go do some scouting. I think its safe to say they're in tank mode.

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 5:20 am
by Frozen316
Is it his job to leave the team during the season and scout players? I thought that's what scouts do. Is he getting overtime for this? Switching occupations? Can we have our players/coaches go do some scouting against/with/on the NCAA players? Maybe start coaching our potential draft picks early?This is not the same as if he was sick or there was a emergency, he should be fined or meh.

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 5:28 am
by big3_8_19_21
CB4MiamiHeat wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



Blount has been pretty good offensively, Wades been getting him open shots ..i dont think Wade can make Blount/Ricky into good defensive players or make Blount into a good rebounder.

Or frontcourt yesterday was Alexander Johnson/Mark Blount/Earl Barron ....our PG is Jason Williams, hes shooting 37%.

We are not tanking, were just that bad.


has Ricky's defense fallen that quickly? In minny he was a meh defender who turned into a lock-down defender on occasion.

Posted: Fri Mar 7, 2008 5:39 am
by CB4MiamiHeat
big3_8_19_21 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



has Ricky's defense fallen that quickly? In minny he was a meh defender who turned into a lock-down defender on occasion.


its not that hes bad defensively, but we have him at SF a lot when we go small..its not really his fault, hes physically outmatched. When hes on SGs hes pretty good.

Blount is horrible, as you guys probably already know.

Posted: Sat Mar 8, 2008 10:34 am
by GopherIt!
^

Really? lol

Posted: Sat Mar 8, 2008 12:16 pm
by Duiz
I don't like Pat Riley's system, it requires a certain type of players and of a certain caliber that he doesn't have anymore. Surely not anymore. Wade is also the ultimate turnover machine. I wouldn't mind them being the Celtics of 06-07.... tanked down and hard and got a lame pick.

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 1:58 am
by revprodeji
when is the last time the worst team got the 1st pick? The lotto will screw all!!!!

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 2:19 am
by deeney0
revprodeji wrote:when is the last time the worst team got the 1st pick? The lotto will screw all!!!!


2003. Worked out good for the Cavs.

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 2:22 am
by revprodeji
That was rigged. Does not count.

Of course the Heat are tanking. Why wouldnt they?

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 2:24 am
by deeney0
They're all rigged.

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 2:28 am
by PeeDee
revprodeji wrote:when is the last time the worst team got the 1st pick? The lotto will screw all!!!!


Worked out well for the Magic too.

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 1:43 pm
by Flash is the Future
Frozen316 wrote:Is it his job to leave the team during the season and scout players? I thought that's what scouts do. Is he getting overtime for this? Switching occupations? Can we have our players/coaches go do some scouting against/with/on the NCAA players? Maybe start coaching our potential draft picks early?This is not the same as if he was sick or there was a emergency, he should be fined or meh.

Yes, it is. He's Team President and a minority owner in addition to being Head Coach.

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 2:58 pm
by MartyConlonJr
Hi guys,

Sometimes I watch the Heat and think they're tanking, other times I watch them and I can tell they are just that bad. There are numerous reasons, and I think the line on tanking and not is a bit more complicated than that.

I think that really long losing streak defeated a lot of our players and killed them mentally. Check out the scores in that period, before Shaq left. We had a 15 game losing streak with 10 games that we lost by 7 points or less. The Heat were in EVERY game at a point where they needed a win to get started, and they were TRYING to make the playoffs at that point.

Even after snapping that 15 game losing streak they were talking playoffs when they beat Indiana. So up until the end of January I think there was no chance of tanking, but playoff intentions, and we were still the 2nd worst team in the league. I think we have some mentally weak players like J-Will and Ricky Davis, Mark Blount (thanks fellas) and that our succession of close losses took it out of them, and they are no longer willing to put in the effort. Riley is at his wits end with these players (see his post game after the Golden State or Toronto games)

Overall the Heat has lost 25 games this season by 7 or less, 16 by 5 or less. Many being even closer than the score suggested, and all heartbreakers, when the Heat still needed the games. Give us half those close losses and we're a playoff team.

The other issues are:

* Wade definately not at full strength. Some days he just doesn't have it, and it's notable that he's laying up a lot of things he used to throw down, he didn't recover from surgery fully, it is quite obvious.

* Injuries - Shaq missed a bunch when he was here, Wade missed the first 10, Haslem, Dorell and Alonzo Mourning and many other less significant injuries, but all adding up

* Void at SF all year. Riley let Posey go, and Kapono, banking on Dorell, who has been a disappointment overall. Marion could have addressed it, but has spent a lot of time at PF with Haslem out.

* Defense and rebounding. With Zo out, Shaq traded, we have a fulltime starter in Blount and Earl Barron backing up. We also lately have had to start Alexander Johnson at PF. Those two are our enforcers. Yikes

* Pitiful PG play. J-Will was supposed to come back at full strength after injuries last season, but has been atrocious. We signed Smush to back him up, but he was even worse. Quinn has started a bunch of games for us, and most will admit he is no better than a third string career wise. When people argue about Kobe's support the year he was in the lotto, they say how can you win with Smush at PG, well, compare J-Will this year to Smush that year. Smush puts up better numbers almost everywhere. That's how bad it is.

* Maliase - as stated at the top, I think this is where the 'tanking' part comes in. These players have given up. I don't think Riley is purposely sabotaging the team and throwing games, I just think certain players have given up. J-Will is an expiring contract, has not played well and knows he likely won't be back. His body language is obvious, he doesn't care, and he's our floor general.

We start 3/5's of our lineup that absolutely sucks most days, between whoever is at PG and C, and depending on injury, whoever has been available at SF or PF (one has usually been terrible)

I agree that the 1st pick is no guarantee (in fact, worst record has a better chance at the 4th pick than any of the other 3) but IF Riley was tanking, I can definately understand the motive.

Most of us agree Bayless may actually be the best fit for our team as a scoring PG that would play well with Wade. He's an amazing consolation prize if the 'sure things' Rose and Beasley, aren't available. By getting the worst record, theres a 65% chance you get one of the three, and if not, the 4th pick is as low as you can go, and the guys there are not bad (I like Gordon, a lot of people like Thabeet on our board).

Posted: Sun Mar 9, 2008 5:00 pm
by chrbal
Their roster was built around Shaq (the Sun) and Wade (the less 100% one). Even with the addition of Marion...its nowhere near enough. Blount is their starter (I really thought that would be an obvious reason).

Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2008 10:05 am
by GopherIt!
Marty,

I like that Walker is the villain in your sig.

HA HA HA HA!

Steve Kerr needs to be in there somewhere.
He could play Riles fairy godmother.
"You mean you'll give your expiring all star for a
40+ million dollar paper weight?"

Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2008 11:47 am
by theGreatRC
deeney0 wrote:They're all rigged.


This year they are sending the representatives from each team to see the lotto ball machine in action so conspiracies can be put to rest.