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ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 3:36 am
by Wingman
Foye: 14.6 pts, 1 stl, 4.4 ast, 3.7 reb
Miller: 16.8 pts, 3.7 ast, 5.8 reb, 173 3pm
McCants: 14.5 pts, 2.1 ast, 2.8 reb, 118 3pm
Jefferson: 19.7 pts, 1.5 blk, 11.2 reb,
Love: 12.2 pts, 9.1 reb, 2.3 ast, .9 blk
Gomes: 11 pts, 1.5 ast, 5.2 reb
I think Randy will have more assists and points.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 3:37 am
by Wingman
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 3:45 am
by deeney0
I'd be pretty happy with all of those numbers. I think Randy will have more assists. If Miller grabs near 6 boards a game, that will be fantastic. I think Love's numbers are inflated across the board there, too.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 4:52 am
by big3_8_19_21
do they just make these numbers up? I can't imagine any scientific way of doing it
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 6:37 am
by theGreatRC
Surprised with the near double-double average by Love.
I also expect Foye to average more assists. He was coming back from injury and averaged 4.2, no way he only goes up .2 with Mike Miller and an Al Jefferson that isn't tripled.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 10:05 am
by digitaldropoff
I like those numbers, and I too feel like Randy and Rashad will both have very good years. I also think that Love will average slightly higher points....14-16 a game while rebounding slightly less...7-8 boards a game.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 1:10 pm
by collin_k41
^^nahh I don't think Love will average 14-16 points a game. His predicted averages are a little high in my opinion. Everyone else seems just about right to me.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 1:20 pm
by C.lupus
big3_8_19_21 wrote:do they just make these numbers up? I can't imagine any scientific way of doing it
I was wondering the same thing.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 1:31 pm
by deeney0
I don't see how Love averages double digit points on this team as a rookie - he's not going to get 30 mpg as a rookie, remember.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 2:14 pm
by Devilzsidewalk
deeney0 wrote:I don't see how Love averages double digit points on this team as a rookie - he's not going to get 30 mpg as a rookie, remember.
I know Brewer, Foye, and McCants didn't play big minutes out of the gate, but they came in with far less rounded games and played positions with more quality (relatively) than Kevin McLove'n
I expect, and maybe even demand 30 mpg
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 5:49 pm
by 4ho5ive
Also Brewer was coming in behind Gomes and the utility player Jaric, Foye was coming in behind offseason acquisition Mike James and Marko Jaric, and McCants was trying to get time behind Jaric as well as Wally World and then Ricky Davis as soon as we dealt for him.
Love's competition currently stands at:
-Calvin Booth
-Mark Madsen
-Brian Cardinal
-Chris Richard*
I dont see Love starting with 30 mpg, but halfway thru the season I see them throwing him more and more minutes. Love MIGHT average 10-11 pts, but thats about it.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 5:49 pm
by Mattya
I could see Foye inbetween 5 and 6 assists per game, it would be suprising to me if he got more than that( it would also be really good for the team). I see him more like 17 or 18 ppg.
I think thats about right for McCants, he could be the suprise of the team, since it is a contract year and he always has something to prove
Miller is about right, maybe a little more points
Jefferson will be above 20ppg without a doubt in my mind, the offense is built around him, less people to guard him now that Miller and Lover are here to spread the floor, means easier shots and higher percentages, hopefully he gets to the free throw line more
Love's numbers i think are little high, but optimism is good lol
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 7:53 pm
by john2jer
That's 88 pts a game coming from our top 6 players? That seems a little high. And 6 guys in double figure points? Again, that seems high. I'd love to see that kind of a balance, but no way. That's only 7 less a game than we averaged as a team last year. 7 points for Brewer, Telfair, Cookie, and Carney. Cookie and Telfair alone both averaged 9 a game last year.
They just all seem high.
Jefferson - 20
Foye - 15
Miller - 15
McCants - 11
Love - 9
Gomes - 8
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 8:20 pm
by C.lupus
^^^Good point, although I would hope the addition of Miller and Love and a healthy Foye would result in improved offensive numbers over a 22 win team. Somewhere near 100 ppg seems reasonable (and we will probably give up 105, lol).
Your numbers seem about right to me except I'd give Shad a few more. I think Gomes, Cookie, and Telfair are all going to decrease because of reduced playing time.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 4:07 am
by the_bruce
foye is low imo
16-17ppg
3-4 boards
5-6apg
seems right.
Even though Al's assist werent listed I think he will average 1-1.5 more apg this year. See his boards dipping too. Maybe to around 10.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 4:31 am
by theGreatRC
john2jer wrote:That's 88 pts a game coming from our top 6 players? That seems a little high. And 6 guys in double figure points? Again, that seems high. I'd love to see that kind of a balance, but no way. That's only 7 less a game than we averaged as a team last year. 7 points for Brewer, Telfair, Cookie, and Carney. Cookie and Telfair alone both averaged 9 a game last year.
They just all seem high.
Jefferson - 20
Foye - 15
Miller - 15
McCants - 11
Love - 9
Gomes - 8
Those numbers would make Jeff-Foye-Miller one of the top 5-7 scoring trios in the league.
Re: ESPN Stat Predictions
Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 6:56 pm
by TDWOLVESFAN
That's 88 pts a game coming from our top 6 players? That seems a little high. And 6 guys in double figure points? Again, that seems high. I'd love to see that kind of a balance, but no way.
88 is too high but you have to remember the average number of games played per player is roughly 76 per season. Adjusted ppg for those six guys would be about 81.6 pts a game which seems about right. Last year our top 6 scores (full season as a Timberwolve) were Jefferson 21.0, McCants 14.9, Gomes 12.6, Smith 9.4, Telfair 9.3 and Jaric 8.3 which equals 75.5 ppg. They actually contributed 5,773 throught the 82 game season for an average of 70.4 ppg. In total they missed 41 games due to injury etc for an average of 75+ games per player.
Either way you look at it our top guys should be averaging over 11 more points per game. We lost 33 games last year by 11 or less points. If we even win half of those 1-11 pt lost games we are at 39 - 40 wins this year. Adding Miller and Love to help Jefferson with the rebounding we could easily attain the 39-40 wins - BARRING major injury.