Faith in Hoiberg and Stack?
Posted: Tue Dec 9, 2008 9:07 am
I swore off this team after the draft until McHale was fired, I guess technically he's not VP anymore, so here goes. This is a long rambling post I didn't want to clog up the fire wittman thread with, so you've been warned.
Faith in Hoiberg and Stack?
I say hesitantly yes. Here's why:
Before Stack was brought on board we gave out bad contract after bad contract. Since then we've been alot better, especially last summer with Gomes, Telfair, and Smith, none of whom make more than 3 mil or last longer than 2 years. Gomes' in particular was a stroke of brilliance with the team option. If he played well this year he would be excellent trade bait because of his contract.
Stack has brought alot of experience with him in this area, and contracts is supposed to be his "area" in the "rect(um)angle" of authority. More notable are the extensions NOT given to guys like ricky davis after a half season of stat padding that used to be the norm. I think Stack in particular deserves alot of credit in this area. Also in making better trades (pre mayo, where the value was okay but the fit was not), especially the Miami one.
McHale has always hated agents and never had any aptitude for negotiation. The Joe Smith fiasco was largely his fault even if Glen screwed it up by putting it in writing because a competent GM would never have allowed the owner to involve himself in any legal wrangling whatsoever. It was McHale's distaste for negotiation that allowed glen to interject himself into wally's deal, hudson's deal, and many others. His lack of communication with agents allowed players to go straight to their very un-savvy owner to ask for a deal or for their buddy KG to do so on their behalf. Yeah sure, part of it is taylor's fault for being a micromanaging owner, but it takes a very weak man to let his boss emasculate him time after time after time.
McHale was like Milton in Office Space.
Kevin: "Glen, have you seen my stapler?"
Glen: "we're gonna move you downstairs, mmkay, Garnett says Joe Smith is good so I already signed him."
Kevin: "Have you seen my stapler? It's red?"
Fred Hoiberg:
The ONE pick hoiberg has been allowed to make (Craig Smith) was a very good pick. As a 2nd rounder in a very weak draft I don't think anyone can argue it was a pretty good pick. Foye, Brewer, Richard, Love, and Peckovic were all clearly McHale guys. (Peckovic has contract issues and I've heard lately that he is closer to 6'9 than 6'11, and watching film of him he definitely doesn't look close to 6'11). Chalmers I place the blame on taylor for.
When the draft stuff was going down last summer the rumors all said that love was mchale's guy, that his bobo babcock agreed with him, and that Hoiberg and Stack wanted Mayo. I firmly believe if it was just mchale drafting he would've just taken love at 3 after being bluffed by sea/okc or memphis.
Hoiberg had all the inside info from Tim Floyd at USC and wanted him badly.
I firmly believe when Hoiberg went downstairs at about 11 pm and told the fans "We're keeping him" he was telling the honest truth. It wasn't until later that Taylor finally buckled to McHale and made the call to Memphis owner Michael Heisley to restart negotiations. All this "they called back at the beginning of the 2nd round" is all bull. It is well-documented it was Taylor and Heisley on the phone that got it done, because the memphis GM was hesitant. The 4 decision makers were split, and rather than go with the overwhelming majority of his fanbase who desperately wanted a star, or someone we hoped could be a star, he buckled to McHale, whose 3 previous drafts had been widely lampooned.
If they had held out for another week I bet we could've gotten them to do a mayo/jaric for love/miller swap straight up (like they originally wanted). So memphis called back a couple hours later and offered a WORSE deal than the one we left on the table and all of the sudden we jumped at it? Sounds like either McHale was the desperate one or he is completely full of **** and it took two hours of heated argument to get glen to finally give in.
Mayo, Love, Miller, they may all turn out to be good players. It is the FIT that is at issue here and why I was so disheartend with the trade.
Love is undersized, has short arms and is slow. 6'7 3/4 without shoes and a 8'11 standing reach (for reference Gomes is shorter but has a 9'1 standing reach). NEXT TO AL JEFFERSON he is a HUGE defensive liability. He would have been an excellent fit next to Darko or marc gasol (legit 7-footers) in Memphis at PF. His low-post game and passing would have fit there and you could've hid him defensively. Not so here. We run the ball through Al in the post. playing Al (6'9 1/2 with shoes by the way) next to Love hurts ALL 5 Players on the court defensively.
Mayo is a go-to perimeter scorer with a deadly jumper and superstar potential. He's proved that beyond a doubt in the first month+.
He would fit prefectly here at SG right now, and take the offensive pressure off of everyone else, especially big Al. He's also a decent defender.
Miller is a great shooter, but he is not quick enough to defend opposing 2's or 3's. Championship-contending teams that wanted to trade for him were looking for that sniper to run with the 2nd unit and play 28-32 minutes, which I believe is his best role.
The biggest problem here is WHY TRADE FOR MILLER NOW?
A: Because McHale had Taylor so deluded that we could win 40 games THIS YEAR, when it took 48 to make the playoffs last year. So what, finish 10th in the conference, and send our pick to the clips. YAY MORAL VICTORY!
Q: didn't we have more than enough chips to offer memphis besides mayo? miami pick, boston pick, 12 mil in expiring deals, picks 31 & 34?
A: Yes. Mayo is better than any of those chips, but we could've (and should've) done it without him if our Front Office had shown any testicular fortitude at all.
Q: Why not sign him as a free agent in 2010, when we'd have Mayo, Jefferson, Foye, Brewer, (all having played together for 2 years) and a center in the '09 draft (OR dare to dream ricky rubio). He would've been the perfect 6th man coming in for brewer on the 2nd unit.
A: Because McHale doesn't understand the concept of building step by step. Of abstaining now to grow in the future. Of not piling up redundant assets. It's been his modus operandi as GM. Always fixing for the short term and hoping for the best. Jamming square pegs into round holes. Acquiring redundant players and stifling their growth by making them split time. Trading for Jaric, signing hudson and hassell, the Mayo trade and his ill-conceived 40-win wet dream. A smart GM would've been able to tell taylor, we might only win 30 games, but Mayo will sell tickets and give the fans hope. He would've been able to admit, we're not there yet and nothing I can do today will put us there, but If I'm patient now It'll pay off tomorrow.
Cap Space:
the trade basically took about 7 million of cap space and moved it from 2009 to 2010. so what right?
well in 2010 there will be 15-20 teams with the ability to offer a max deal. In 2009 there will be like 3 or 4. One COULD HAVE BEEN US Before this trade. Visions of Bosh, Wade, or Lebron coming here in 2010 are unrealistic. We would have been in position to add a nice piece through FA or Trade next summer when there are very few teams with space and everyone trying to open space for lebron. I guarantee you we could've added a gerald wallace or Kaman. Look at how the clips added camby with a little bit of capspace this summer and a worthless 2nd rounder. In 2010, mark my words, there will be tumbleweeds blowing through all our precious capspace or we will end up severely overpaying an average player because there are so many teams with capspace in more attractive markets who DIDN'T trade kevin garnett away.
Al Jefferson had to be the single most disappointed person on draft night. Not because of any of the players involved, but because he knew after the trade that he was destined to play out of position at C for the next few years, and in the end that is my strongest argument against the trade.
I am hopeful fred has the patience McHale does not. It was very troubling that the day after the trade, one that fred clearly didn't want to make, that fred was forced to polish this turd to the media. I can't believe he stayed on. Months and months of scouting and then all you worked for is swept out from under you, and you are lied to by your owner and made out to be a liar to the fanbase.
Him spewing the company line on this does worry me a little, I have to admit.
If I am Taylor this is what I do:
I say fire McHale, fire Babcock, let fred hire his own scouting staff, his own coach, and run his own draft. Keep Stack, let him do the contracts and work the phones, but give fred final say.
Find an interim coach other than McHale to run out the year and tank tank tank. Play the young guys. Build up Kevin Love's trade value so we can move him for a legitimate defensive center, either this year or one in next year's draft (thabeet please). Order the coach to play guys at their natural positions only, except play Jefferson and Love together but when love goes out Collins plays next to jefferson, not smith or Gomes.
Keep it simple.
PG: Foye 34 /Telfair 14
SG: Miller 30 /McCants 18
SF: Gomes 34 /Carney 14
PF: Jefferson 36 /Smith 12
C: Love 34 /Collins 14
Then if I'm fred I keep my ears open for teams trying to dump disgruntled/overpayed young players, especially strong defensive players. Make a move for a guy like gerald wallace, kaman, raymond felton, using expirings and draft picks. Play guys big minutes to build up their trade value like gomes and smith. Scour the d-league and waiver wire for young bigs. Just cut ollie and booth already and bring back richard.
Point Guard and Center are the 2 most important defensive positions. Look at Boston. KG effectively plays center on D for them. He and Rondo are great defenders. The combination of the 2 stops penetration at the point and in the post, It's why Boston is so good.
We need to find our post defender and our defensive point man.
Wet Dream Fan Scenario:
McHale: Gone
Babcock: Gone
Hoiberg: VP Player Personnel
Stack: VP GM/Contracts
Coach: One of current assistants as interim coach instructed to play young guys and tank.
Hire new coach next summer before draft, new blood, not a retread.
Trade offer 1: (16 mil total salary this year)
Ryan Gomes (2 yr 7.3 mil)
Brian Cardinal (2 yr 13.05 mil)
Jason Collins (1 yr 6.2 mil)
Bos 09 1st
For: (14.2 mil salary this year)
Gerald Wallace (5 yrs 50 mil)
Nazr Mohammed (3 yrs 19.4 mil)
I don't think the bobcats can pass this up. It opens cap space in 2010, gives them a replacement in gomes, and Wallace is an incredible talent and exactly the kind of defensive player we need.
He's everything corey brewer wishes he was in his wettest dreams.
Mohammed is a shot-blocker unlike the stiff collins, contract only runs a year longer than the stiff cardinal at about same salary.
He'll be a valuable backup center in the future ala przybilla in portland.
Gomes/wallace are redundant so trading gomes makes most sense in a wallace deal.
I'd throw in mccants but we'd have to take more salary back, no one really would fit.
Getting a player like Wallace and a legit backup center for spare parts is a good way to use cap space in my opinion.
Next year's draft is weak, boston's (and utah's for that matter) pick will be pretty useless.
'09 draft:
Our Pick (1st or 2nd): ricky rubio PG (OKC takes Blake Griffin with the other).
Trade Miami pick (12) and Kevin Love
to Memphis for
(3rd pick) Hasheem Thabeet C
Draft shooting guard with utah pick.
PG: Rubio, Foye
SG: Miller, Foye, Utah pick
SF: Wallace, Brewer
PF: Jefferson, Smith
C: Thabeet, Mohammed.
Surrounding Jefferson with Wallace and Thabeet helps him tremendously defensively,
we're still around the cap next year and slightly under in '10.
We have scorers, shooters, and defenders on both the first and 2nd units.
Faith in Hoiberg and Stack?
I say hesitantly yes. Here's why:
Before Stack was brought on board we gave out bad contract after bad contract. Since then we've been alot better, especially last summer with Gomes, Telfair, and Smith, none of whom make more than 3 mil or last longer than 2 years. Gomes' in particular was a stroke of brilliance with the team option. If he played well this year he would be excellent trade bait because of his contract.
Stack has brought alot of experience with him in this area, and contracts is supposed to be his "area" in the "rect(um)angle" of authority. More notable are the extensions NOT given to guys like ricky davis after a half season of stat padding that used to be the norm. I think Stack in particular deserves alot of credit in this area. Also in making better trades (pre mayo, where the value was okay but the fit was not), especially the Miami one.
McHale has always hated agents and never had any aptitude for negotiation. The Joe Smith fiasco was largely his fault even if Glen screwed it up by putting it in writing because a competent GM would never have allowed the owner to involve himself in any legal wrangling whatsoever. It was McHale's distaste for negotiation that allowed glen to interject himself into wally's deal, hudson's deal, and many others. His lack of communication with agents allowed players to go straight to their very un-savvy owner to ask for a deal or for their buddy KG to do so on their behalf. Yeah sure, part of it is taylor's fault for being a micromanaging owner, but it takes a very weak man to let his boss emasculate him time after time after time.
McHale was like Milton in Office Space.
Kevin: "Glen, have you seen my stapler?"
Glen: "we're gonna move you downstairs, mmkay, Garnett says Joe Smith is good so I already signed him."
Kevin: "Have you seen my stapler? It's red?"
Fred Hoiberg:
The ONE pick hoiberg has been allowed to make (Craig Smith) was a very good pick. As a 2nd rounder in a very weak draft I don't think anyone can argue it was a pretty good pick. Foye, Brewer, Richard, Love, and Peckovic were all clearly McHale guys. (Peckovic has contract issues and I've heard lately that he is closer to 6'9 than 6'11, and watching film of him he definitely doesn't look close to 6'11). Chalmers I place the blame on taylor for.
When the draft stuff was going down last summer the rumors all said that love was mchale's guy, that his bobo babcock agreed with him, and that Hoiberg and Stack wanted Mayo. I firmly believe if it was just mchale drafting he would've just taken love at 3 after being bluffed by sea/okc or memphis.
Hoiberg had all the inside info from Tim Floyd at USC and wanted him badly.
I firmly believe when Hoiberg went downstairs at about 11 pm and told the fans "We're keeping him" he was telling the honest truth. It wasn't until later that Taylor finally buckled to McHale and made the call to Memphis owner Michael Heisley to restart negotiations. All this "they called back at the beginning of the 2nd round" is all bull. It is well-documented it was Taylor and Heisley on the phone that got it done, because the memphis GM was hesitant. The 4 decision makers were split, and rather than go with the overwhelming majority of his fanbase who desperately wanted a star, or someone we hoped could be a star, he buckled to McHale, whose 3 previous drafts had been widely lampooned.
If they had held out for another week I bet we could've gotten them to do a mayo/jaric for love/miller swap straight up (like they originally wanted). So memphis called back a couple hours later and offered a WORSE deal than the one we left on the table and all of the sudden we jumped at it? Sounds like either McHale was the desperate one or he is completely full of **** and it took two hours of heated argument to get glen to finally give in.
Mayo, Love, Miller, they may all turn out to be good players. It is the FIT that is at issue here and why I was so disheartend with the trade.
Love is undersized, has short arms and is slow. 6'7 3/4 without shoes and a 8'11 standing reach (for reference Gomes is shorter but has a 9'1 standing reach). NEXT TO AL JEFFERSON he is a HUGE defensive liability. He would have been an excellent fit next to Darko or marc gasol (legit 7-footers) in Memphis at PF. His low-post game and passing would have fit there and you could've hid him defensively. Not so here. We run the ball through Al in the post. playing Al (6'9 1/2 with shoes by the way) next to Love hurts ALL 5 Players on the court defensively.
Mayo is a go-to perimeter scorer with a deadly jumper and superstar potential. He's proved that beyond a doubt in the first month+.
He would fit prefectly here at SG right now, and take the offensive pressure off of everyone else, especially big Al. He's also a decent defender.
Miller is a great shooter, but he is not quick enough to defend opposing 2's or 3's. Championship-contending teams that wanted to trade for him were looking for that sniper to run with the 2nd unit and play 28-32 minutes, which I believe is his best role.
The biggest problem here is WHY TRADE FOR MILLER NOW?
A: Because McHale had Taylor so deluded that we could win 40 games THIS YEAR, when it took 48 to make the playoffs last year. So what, finish 10th in the conference, and send our pick to the clips. YAY MORAL VICTORY!
Q: didn't we have more than enough chips to offer memphis besides mayo? miami pick, boston pick, 12 mil in expiring deals, picks 31 & 34?
A: Yes. Mayo is better than any of those chips, but we could've (and should've) done it without him if our Front Office had shown any testicular fortitude at all.
Q: Why not sign him as a free agent in 2010, when we'd have Mayo, Jefferson, Foye, Brewer, (all having played together for 2 years) and a center in the '09 draft (OR dare to dream ricky rubio). He would've been the perfect 6th man coming in for brewer on the 2nd unit.
A: Because McHale doesn't understand the concept of building step by step. Of abstaining now to grow in the future. Of not piling up redundant assets. It's been his modus operandi as GM. Always fixing for the short term and hoping for the best. Jamming square pegs into round holes. Acquiring redundant players and stifling their growth by making them split time. Trading for Jaric, signing hudson and hassell, the Mayo trade and his ill-conceived 40-win wet dream. A smart GM would've been able to tell taylor, we might only win 30 games, but Mayo will sell tickets and give the fans hope. He would've been able to admit, we're not there yet and nothing I can do today will put us there, but If I'm patient now It'll pay off tomorrow.
Cap Space:
the trade basically took about 7 million of cap space and moved it from 2009 to 2010. so what right?
well in 2010 there will be 15-20 teams with the ability to offer a max deal. In 2009 there will be like 3 or 4. One COULD HAVE BEEN US Before this trade. Visions of Bosh, Wade, or Lebron coming here in 2010 are unrealistic. We would have been in position to add a nice piece through FA or Trade next summer when there are very few teams with space and everyone trying to open space for lebron. I guarantee you we could've added a gerald wallace or Kaman. Look at how the clips added camby with a little bit of capspace this summer and a worthless 2nd rounder. In 2010, mark my words, there will be tumbleweeds blowing through all our precious capspace or we will end up severely overpaying an average player because there are so many teams with capspace in more attractive markets who DIDN'T trade kevin garnett away.
Al Jefferson had to be the single most disappointed person on draft night. Not because of any of the players involved, but because he knew after the trade that he was destined to play out of position at C for the next few years, and in the end that is my strongest argument against the trade.
I am hopeful fred has the patience McHale does not. It was very troubling that the day after the trade, one that fred clearly didn't want to make, that fred was forced to polish this turd to the media. I can't believe he stayed on. Months and months of scouting and then all you worked for is swept out from under you, and you are lied to by your owner and made out to be a liar to the fanbase.
Him spewing the company line on this does worry me a little, I have to admit.
If I am Taylor this is what I do:
I say fire McHale, fire Babcock, let fred hire his own scouting staff, his own coach, and run his own draft. Keep Stack, let him do the contracts and work the phones, but give fred final say.
Find an interim coach other than McHale to run out the year and tank tank tank. Play the young guys. Build up Kevin Love's trade value so we can move him for a legitimate defensive center, either this year or one in next year's draft (thabeet please). Order the coach to play guys at their natural positions only, except play Jefferson and Love together but when love goes out Collins plays next to jefferson, not smith or Gomes.
Keep it simple.
PG: Foye 34 /Telfair 14
SG: Miller 30 /McCants 18
SF: Gomes 34 /Carney 14
PF: Jefferson 36 /Smith 12
C: Love 34 /Collins 14
Then if I'm fred I keep my ears open for teams trying to dump disgruntled/overpayed young players, especially strong defensive players. Make a move for a guy like gerald wallace, kaman, raymond felton, using expirings and draft picks. Play guys big minutes to build up their trade value like gomes and smith. Scour the d-league and waiver wire for young bigs. Just cut ollie and booth already and bring back richard.
Point Guard and Center are the 2 most important defensive positions. Look at Boston. KG effectively plays center on D for them. He and Rondo are great defenders. The combination of the 2 stops penetration at the point and in the post, It's why Boston is so good.
We need to find our post defender and our defensive point man.
Wet Dream Fan Scenario:
McHale: Gone
Babcock: Gone
Hoiberg: VP Player Personnel
Stack: VP GM/Contracts
Coach: One of current assistants as interim coach instructed to play young guys and tank.
Hire new coach next summer before draft, new blood, not a retread.
Trade offer 1: (16 mil total salary this year)
Ryan Gomes (2 yr 7.3 mil)
Brian Cardinal (2 yr 13.05 mil)
Jason Collins (1 yr 6.2 mil)
Bos 09 1st
For: (14.2 mil salary this year)
Gerald Wallace (5 yrs 50 mil)
Nazr Mohammed (3 yrs 19.4 mil)
I don't think the bobcats can pass this up. It opens cap space in 2010, gives them a replacement in gomes, and Wallace is an incredible talent and exactly the kind of defensive player we need.
He's everything corey brewer wishes he was in his wettest dreams.
Mohammed is a shot-blocker unlike the stiff collins, contract only runs a year longer than the stiff cardinal at about same salary.
He'll be a valuable backup center in the future ala przybilla in portland.
Gomes/wallace are redundant so trading gomes makes most sense in a wallace deal.
I'd throw in mccants but we'd have to take more salary back, no one really would fit.
Getting a player like Wallace and a legit backup center for spare parts is a good way to use cap space in my opinion.
Next year's draft is weak, boston's (and utah's for that matter) pick will be pretty useless.
'09 draft:
Our Pick (1st or 2nd): ricky rubio PG (OKC takes Blake Griffin with the other).
Trade Miami pick (12) and Kevin Love
to Memphis for
(3rd pick) Hasheem Thabeet C
Draft shooting guard with utah pick.
PG: Rubio, Foye
SG: Miller, Foye, Utah pick
SF: Wallace, Brewer
PF: Jefferson, Smith
C: Thabeet, Mohammed.
Surrounding Jefferson with Wallace and Thabeet helps him tremendously defensively,
we're still around the cap next year and slightly under in '10.
We have scorers, shooters, and defenders on both the first and 2nd units.