MrDollarBills wrote:NyCeEvO wrote:MrDollarBills wrote:
This list makes me wonder why people want to trade our young guys for picks outside of the top 5 to ten.
Draft picks have their highest value before the draft because teams much prefer to have the choice to draft whomever is available they want. Every team thinks they're draft pick was a sleeper or their player will end up being more valuable than the draft pick spot they were selected at.
A top 5 will always have high value because draft pick slots correlate (to a degree) with the success of a player's career.
No team is giving up a top 5 for a non-star player because they don't want to give up the freedom/eligibility to select a top player with high potential who's guaranteed to be on their team for 7+ years if they so choose.
While there's no guarantee that your pick will become a star, the best players from previous drafts still tend to correlate with higher draft slots. It's still exceedingly rare to draft a superstar from the teens; that's not the case for a top 5 pick.
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This is my point. Why would we give up young players with upside for picks in a range where the pick might not be even better than the player you're giving up?
Right.
Even though I've talked about the ramifications of trading some of our guys, I'm somewhat content with who we have with the exception that we have to upgrade the PF with a big, mobile athlete who will be able to stretch the floor at some point in his career.
I don't want to trade Dinwiddie because unless you're drafting top 7 in the lotto, you're almost assuredly not getting a PG with the physical tools and skills he has, which are now being complemented by the confidence he needed to succeed at this level. I need to see an elite skill from a potential PG we'd end up drafting to replace Dinwiddie in order for me to entertain trading him.
For me, the only reasons why I'm open to trading RHJ are: 1) our need at PF is greater than SF IMO and 2) his contract situation will force us to commit to him being a part of the core of the future before I'm comfortable with settling on this set of players. In other words, it has nothing to do with RHJ the player/talent and everything to do with him possibly being a victim of circumstances.
We have to remember (IIRC) that RHJ was an end of lottery pick on a number of mock drafts. A lot of people saw the defense and we're just debating how much he'd develop on offense. Now in he interim period, individual half court defense has decreased in value but RHJ has also beat expectations for his offensive ceiling. In the end, he's right about where (or maybe a tad higher) a number of people expected him to be at a few years removed from his draft.
If Marks can find a bigger and at least as athletic 4 with end of lotto talent, maybe you pull the trigger. But you still have to ask who said player is, what is their temperament, are they injury prone, etc.
Trading RHJ isn't an easy decision and it shouldn't be considering how much he's improved.
It'll be interesting to see if any leaks come out regarding how much his camp wants. If they look at Crabbe as a starting point, we're in BIG trouble with negotiations lol.
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