Papi_swav wrote:Man all these picks getting traded around I just hope Rockets don't think we're trading 5 1sts. We have all the leverage anyway so i doubt Marks give up that much. Harden wants to come here and here only so we should only be giving up 3 picks TOPS. I would make try to make it 2 though.
if it takes 5 picks we are trading 5 picks.
James harden is a generational talent who has demonstrated his stats lead to wins/on-court impact.
The picks in a pessemistic scenario would likely be:
2020 - #19
2021 (SWAP) - No pick swap since were better then them (year 1 of Harden/Kd/Kyrie)
2022 - 15-25 or later (year 2 of Harden/Kd/Kyrie)
2023 (SWAP) - if houston is good by then maybe a pick 5-15
2024 - pick 1-10
Houston is gutting their team. there is no way they will be better then us this season. which instantly turns the 5 picks into 4 since the swap would not convey if we are better. Next year even if the wheels fall off there is still enough talent to get 35-40+ wins. look at boston in their "disasterous" second year with kyrie. they were a 4 seed.
2023 - houston may still suck. if we also suck but suck less we keep the pick. If we suck worse its still a swap and we would get there pick, which realistically would be in the 10-19 range which doesnt leave us completely bare. 2024 is most likely to give a major asset. lets say they get a top 3 pick.
i think that would be well worth harden, in his prime, and give us a legit title shot. in 2012 even with Pierce/KG we never expected to win a title. Kyrie/Harden/KD would.