Let's Make a Deal!
Posted: Fri Jun 11, 2010 4:08 pm
I'd like to re-open the discussion on what to do with our '10 capspace. Rich Rane, I know I created a similar thread a few weeks ago, but enough has changed since the draft lottery that I felt it merited revisiting in a separate thread.
AFTER signing a max FA who shall remain nameless (rhymes with DeBron...), we should still be around $10mil under, with plenty of potential suitors licking their chops to get some cap relief. The chance to add another bigtime player to our core is available, and our front office has made it clear that they are willing to "spend to contend". Our possibilities fall in 3 main categories:
The simplest answer is to sign a 2nd FA to partner with whatever max guy we get. Of course, this would also depend on the draft, which obviously occurs before the start of free agency. If we draft Cousins (bigger upside) or Favors (more Avery-friendly) at #3, we would look at a swingman with our capspace. If Turner falls to us, it makes more sense to go after a PF in free agency. 2nd-tier guys like Carlos Boozer and David Lee will receive higher offers for first-year salary than this, so they would have to be willing to take less money to come here. Rudy Gay could land in this price range, but he's a RFA, and I believe the Grizzlies will match any offer sheet that starts at less than $12mil. SO, that leaves us with 3rd-tier options such as John Salmons, Josh Howard (Avery would love that...
), Luis Scola and Udonis Haslem. Call me crazy, but I don't think any of these guys are worth $10mil to us; we have younger guys currently under contract that can fill this level of contribution by committee.
The second solution is to work a sign-and-trade deal for a higher-echelon player. Our capspace plus Terrence Williams and Yi Jianlian would give us the ability to S&T for a 2nd max FA like Dwyane Wade, Joe Johnson, Dirk Nowitzki, Chris Bosh or Amar'e Stoudemire. But is the opportunity cost of trading away promising youth too steep?
Finally, the third option is to directly acquire a player or players already under contract with our capspace via a TPE trade. Usually, these sorts of trade are either intrinsically rewarding (i.e. the player is good, but the team doesn't need him), or come with added incentive for shouldering the burden of an onerous contract. Some of our bigger contracts (Devin, Yi, Dooling) would have to be included to allow some deals to work, with max capspace to spare. This 3-Way with the Grizzlies and Sixers would net us Elton Brand, Jrue Holiday and the #2 pick. Another possible deal, with the Grizzlies and Jazz, would only happen after July 1st, and would give us Mike Conley, Andrei Kirilenko, and the #9 and #12 picks. In a different July 1st deal, the Heat could send us Michael Beasley, James Jones, Daequan Cook, and the #18 pick for essentially nothing (a swap of conditional 2nd-rounders or something). The upside to this deal over the other two is that we get all youth assets, and don't have to trade Devin. The Heat's outgoing contracts constitute $13mil altogether, but Jones' contract is partially unguaranteed. We could buy him out and maintain max capspace. Keep in mind though, that this deal would add capspace for a team that wants the exact same elite FAs that we do. We'd have to be sure we weren't slitting out own throat, so to speak.
Obviously, our prospects are bright right now. But which way do we go? YOU decide!
AFTER signing a max FA who shall remain nameless (rhymes with DeBron...), we should still be around $10mil under, with plenty of potential suitors licking their chops to get some cap relief. The chance to add another bigtime player to our core is available, and our front office has made it clear that they are willing to "spend to contend". Our possibilities fall in 3 main categories:
The simplest answer is to sign a 2nd FA to partner with whatever max guy we get. Of course, this would also depend on the draft, which obviously occurs before the start of free agency. If we draft Cousins (bigger upside) or Favors (more Avery-friendly) at #3, we would look at a swingman with our capspace. If Turner falls to us, it makes more sense to go after a PF in free agency. 2nd-tier guys like Carlos Boozer and David Lee will receive higher offers for first-year salary than this, so they would have to be willing to take less money to come here. Rudy Gay could land in this price range, but he's a RFA, and I believe the Grizzlies will match any offer sheet that starts at less than $12mil. SO, that leaves us with 3rd-tier options such as John Salmons, Josh Howard (Avery would love that...

The second solution is to work a sign-and-trade deal for a higher-echelon player. Our capspace plus Terrence Williams and Yi Jianlian would give us the ability to S&T for a 2nd max FA like Dwyane Wade, Joe Johnson, Dirk Nowitzki, Chris Bosh or Amar'e Stoudemire. But is the opportunity cost of trading away promising youth too steep?
Finally, the third option is to directly acquire a player or players already under contract with our capspace via a TPE trade. Usually, these sorts of trade are either intrinsically rewarding (i.e. the player is good, but the team doesn't need him), or come with added incentive for shouldering the burden of an onerous contract. Some of our bigger contracts (Devin, Yi, Dooling) would have to be included to allow some deals to work, with max capspace to spare. This 3-Way with the Grizzlies and Sixers would net us Elton Brand, Jrue Holiday and the #2 pick. Another possible deal, with the Grizzlies and Jazz, would only happen after July 1st, and would give us Mike Conley, Andrei Kirilenko, and the #9 and #12 picks. In a different July 1st deal, the Heat could send us Michael Beasley, James Jones, Daequan Cook, and the #18 pick for essentially nothing (a swap of conditional 2nd-rounders or something). The upside to this deal over the other two is that we get all youth assets, and don't have to trade Devin. The Heat's outgoing contracts constitute $13mil altogether, but Jones' contract is partially unguaranteed. We could buy him out and maintain max capspace. Keep in mind though, that this deal would add capspace for a team that wants the exact same elite FAs that we do. We'd have to be sure we weren't slitting out own throat, so to speak.
Obviously, our prospects are bright right now. But which way do we go? YOU decide!