NyCeEvO wrote: However, I see Melo seeing this situation though:
1) Billups is great but can only be as good or on the decline from here on out. Also, he's got 2yrs left with the final year being a team option at $14 million. Do I want to stay with an older Billups and/or will Denver pay him to stay?
2) KMart is great when he's healthy but the problem is that he's no longer ever healthy.
3) JR Smith is a free agent in 2011 and Nene could be too if he doesn't pick up his player option.
4) Will George Karl stay especially with the health concerns? He's only got one year left. There was problems with the team and the asst. coach Adrian Dantley when he took over at the end of the season and the playoffs. What will they do with the coach?
http://hoopshype.com/salaries/denver.htm
Yeah...but there is another side to that though that SUPPORTS what I am saying. These things are the very reason NOT to sign an extension. They arent always reasons to actually LEAVE. They give you leverage. Denver has 83mil in payroll this year. They have trimmed the fat in recent seasons by dumping Camby, letting Keliza walk as examples. But...
But...they have only 11mil in guaranteed salary for next season. 11 of 77. Kmart at 16.5 isnt about his health or his age....its about his expring contract. One reason not to sign is to say hey...MAYBE YOU guys should be offering to take Okafor with Paul and bring them HERE. And what other TALENT driven lopsided deals will you make at the deadline? Will you send out our expring deals for BETTER talent on worse contracts? LEVERAGE BABY!
Ditto Chauncey Billups. 13.1mil this year, and a team option the next. Thats as good as an expring contract...and his is a save face contract. Think...Ray Allen dumped to the Sonics for Gary Payton. Looks like value for value...but with no intention of keeping. Saves face for now if you dump and acquire him...but gives you an out later when you say..well...didnt work out or we opted to go in another direction.
JR Smith is a role playing chucker. If someone wants him as part of a deal to get you REAL talent...great throw him in.
And the coach? That has no bearing. NONE. You like your coach or you dont. You dont stay or leave because of him as that most are gone every 3-5 yeara anyway. No telling if you will like the guy in the next town anyway.
Basically, they could go from a contender to a lottery team in one season...OR everything could sort itself out. He waits to accept but that in itself puts pressure on Denver. Denver knows its good enough to make the playoffs and they make even show flashes of being a contender during the season but if they don't win, they are in the exact same spot that Cleveland was in with LeBron. So until Carmelo signs the extension or they win, Denver inevitably becomes much more nervous. With an uncertain future and with the sight of seeing 3 of his friends get together to try to win, now I can see Carmelo saying "screw the money (even though it's a ton to give up), I want to do the same thing that the other guys got a chance to do". Signing Al Harrington only helps the chances that they don't win LOL.
Absolutely. But the stall may not result in free agency. THe stall may be to push them to make more moves....NOT to dump...not to be stuck in a rebuild...but to get them to keep going. And if they do...he signs. If they dont...he may get traded. But coming back to what you asked...I dont see it to the Nets. I dont see him wanting to be part of THIS team as we are built. SO that answers your original question.
The thing that people don't see is that star players tend to love free agency. They love being told that they are the best player in the league and how they are perfectly suited for this team and yada yada yada. Now, I see current batch of stars saying "I'll be a millionaire regardless of where I play". As most people say, "Money can't buy you happiness." So would you rather be filthy stinking rich and unhappy with your situation or just filthy (but not stinking) rich and happy? The opportunity to put yourself in the best position to win AND make money is an opportunity that I think all of the '03 class sees and relishes.
Yes that's true...but some things to make not of:
1- MOST of the time...after looking around...players stay put.
2- Melo has been quoted saying he never cared about that process and in fact prefered NOT to go through it and that is a big part of why he signed the LAST big extension.
3- EVERY SINGLE time with the exception the Heat big 3 (and people are still scoffing at it being a sacrifice) players have taken the most money anyway and the "a millionaire regardless" speech that fans make...amounts to squat.
4- Who says best possible team to go to makes him happier than the market he has been in. Fans like to define happy as ONLY winning titles. Be the believe you can compete for a title and LIVE WHERE YOU LOVE is pretty damn good definition of HAPPY.
5- Even with Paul...with the Heat big three formed...the landscape and expectation for winning titles has clearly changed. There are a lot of teams out there better than we are. Why would he covet US as a free agent or in an S&T? Why for example wouldnt you push to go to the Lakers if winning was your absolutely tp priority? He could go there, get paid MAX bucks...and be much better off than anything we could offer him.
With all that being said, the Nets need Paul more than they need Melo. And the only way to get Melo (IMO) is to get Paul first. There's absolutely no doubt in my mind that if CP3 is a Net, we're going after Melo. You can put that in stone. Prokhorov already knows of and likes Paul. He was using Paul as a chip to pull in LeBron during the summer so we already know that he wants him. We get CP3 now or later this season and (if he stays healthy) Melo is going to follow in the offseason. He'll have the chance to play with the best PG in the league and they're already good friends. Give up Favors, picks, and whatever wing player(s) you want, bring CP3 here even with Okacrap's contract if need be. We will have a young team regardless and the only thing we'd be missing is the that scorer to playing alongside the PG/C combo of CP3 and Lopez.
That all had little to do with Proky and more to do with Rod Thorn. But I am sure we will continue to montor the Paul situation just as the rest of the NBA will. But your thoughts on in stone...and Melo will follow? Under your sceanrio, impossible. If we acquire Paul by trade...absolutely VC was right...we are taking Okafor. Thus..NO FREE AGENT cap space. We have to get Melo by trade. And that only happens if THIS is where he wants to go. And again I put it to you. WHY? Why us? There are so many better options out there for him. Amare has a good year...why not the Nix who are set up to have the cap space if they do a few small things. LA can trade Bynum for him. Hell, the Heat can trade Bosh for him if they really wanted to have a laugh. Portland can put together a very nice package and they have an owner just as wealthy.
I know this can seem pretty detailed but I'm seeing this as the best opportunity for the Nets to get closed to winning and stick with Proky's plan of succeeding within 5 years. We haven't even started those 5 years yet and yes, that is along time. However, I think the chance to get the best PG in the league rarely comes up. We did it once but that sure doesn't mean we'll be able to do it again. This time EVERYONE knows this guy can and most likely will want out and the packages for Paul will be coming. We've got the potential, youth, and contracts to get Paul and I really don't think you let this opportunity slip. Proky has mentioned Paul, King has said that we will do our "due diligence" regarding CP3, and if you google search "chris paul nets", we all can see that with that many links to possible trades and reports that we were/are/will pursue, there is indeed 'blood in the water' there.
Listen...dont drink the koolaid. I LOVED Proky's bravado too. But that isnt a PLAN...its a bold statement. Its designed to make a statement that costs you nothing. But as for Paul...yes, due dilligence is just that. When or even IF they opt to deal him we will be in the mix. But...the asking price will depend on the market. What will others give up?
Trading for a proven player is much better than drafting a guy and hoping that he will match his potential years down the road. If the Nets want to succeed soon, the time to make changes is very very soon.
Not always. When you factor in what you have to give up to get him...and that he will take on close to a third of your cap space and climbing each season....it isnt a given. And lets ask the obvious question. Melo has played with a batch of more proven players than he would play with here. A far better supporting cast after we gut the team to get him and in your sceanrio Paul. What makes it easier to win here for HIM than it is in Denver these last few years? Kobe is finally getting up there in years. The Heat in the east are just getting started. So? You make us capped out, take us out of the lottery...and dont forget you gave up plenty to get these guys. I would certainly do the deals to get these two....but its not as much of a slam dunk as you are letting yourself think it is.
My Outline for what the Nets should/will do:
1) Get Paul
2) Let Melo come to us
The core is CP3/Melo/Lopez + good young bench. To me, THAT is a championship-caliber team.
Again, the good young bench we have would be playing for NO and Denver. You would have a quality 5 of Paul/Morrow/Melo/Okafor/Brook. Is that better than the Denver teams of the last few years who couldnt beat LA? Now they have to face Orlando, Miami, Atlanta, Chicaco, Boston for a little while longer...Amare and whatever second guy the Knicks get (if you are going to put so much stock into Paul/Melo).
I am all for making the move for Paul and whatever second star we can get. I dont think it will be Melo primarily because of his contract. And if we did somehow get Melo...I think trade is the only way it goes down. We wouldnt have enough cap space to make it happen after a Paul deal...and we wouldnt be atractive to him without. Hell, we might not even be atratice to him with Paul. We are still in NJ for another year after this so even if somehow we didnt have to take on Okafor, there could be better option for signing or an S&T if you are Melo.
The expression I use...blood in the water has a lot to do with trading from a weak position...or a NEEED to make a deal. I dont see that with Denver right now. I COULD see it in 6 months. Either way, they will WANT trade assets. Melo will WANT his extension once he got here...and that will be about 20-25% more than what Paul costs your cap. And it only happens if Melo says YES I want to be with your team. if he doesnt...we wont even look to make the trade.
And you know...as I am thinking about it...not sure if VC was thinking the same thing based on his comments but....the cap space? It would be atractive to Denver too should they make an inseason move simply beacuase they are over the LTT. So a chance to save big dollar for dollar would be of interest. We deal it for Okafor takes away a key chip. Deal Favors takes away a key chip. I could see them opting to offer Billups a lower contract for a couple of years rather than give him that ballon final year....so I dont think Devin would be high on their asset list either.
Nah....I just dont see us with Melo the more I look at it. Too costly for us, too many options for him. Granger while not as good a player...on a losing team, with a much better contract per talent value...is more realistic if Paul is also a target.