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RealGM NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition "Beat the Commish" - (first game tonight!)

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:13 pm
by bwgood77
Hey all, once again we will be having the NFL Picks against the spread competition for all of RealGM forum members.

It only takes a couple minutes to join and also to make your picks each week, and you can see how you do against fellow forum members as well as experts. It adds an extra interest to the games on Sunday, so hopefully people join in and participate to make things fun. Your worst week will be dropped, so no worries if you completely forget one week, you are not out of it, that will just end up being your week dropped.

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Image
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Group Info:
Link:
https://fantasy.espn.com/games/nfl-pigskin-pickem-2021/group?id=a2598a46-e5c8-4fc7-9009-23490361ddfb&joining=true&joinKey=d159f441-f395-3955-a918-dbdfb0dc2d65


Password is realgm

Please use RealGM username for name of entry (or espn account or both)
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When does it start?
Register and submit your entry no later than the first game of the NFL season - Thursday, September 9th, at 8:00 pm ET, but preferably sooner. If you forget to do it by Thursday, it's only 1 game, half of which people will miss the pick anyway, so just make sure you get your picks in by Sunday, September 12th. And as mentioned above, if you completely miss week one, no big deal because each participant's worst week is dropped.
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How to Play?
1. Join group. Pick an entry name that matches your RealGM username. If you don't already have an account, you can click on "Play Now for Free" and it will ask you to log in or create an account and you can create account there. Many participants use their realgm username for their espn account and their contest entry name.
2. Check your user settings here. Enable Group email and Reminder Email, so you don't miss picks any week.
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Rules
[*] Each Tuesday, spreads will be posted on ESPN for the the upcoming week.

[*] Lock-time. All entries will use a rolling lock which allows a player to pick any game that has yet to kick off. Selections submitted after the deadlines are considered invalid, and no points will be received. It is good to make preliminary picks a few days before the games and adjust your picks leading up to the games as you see fit to eliminate the chance of forgetting to make any picks that week at all.

[*] Overall tie-breaker - higher number of points scored for Week 17.
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Competition
Beat the Commish Champion
The player with the highest number of correct picks throughout the season wins the title.

Each correct winning pick will receive one (1) point. Points are not lost for incorrect picks. Picking every game, every week is essential.

However, to ensure people don't drop out if they forget a week or have a terrible week, each entry will have their lowest scoring week dropped from their score.

Big thanks to Dirk for the layout.

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:36 pm
by Froob
Link isn't working, what's the group called on there?

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:41 pm
by bwgood77

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:42 pm
by Froob

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:43 pm
by bwgood77


Both or just top one? I updated the OP with the top one.

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 4:48 pm
by Froob
bwgood77 wrote:


Both or just top one? I updated the OP with the top one.

Both

Re: NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - First game tomorrow

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 6:25 pm
by bwgood77
makubesu wrote:What kind of strategies do you guys use when the spread is under three points? Suppose you like team A slightly more than B, but they’re -2.5. Do you stick with your instinct about the winner? Or take the points because if it’s the incredibly rare 2 point loss you’re still good.


I stick to the instinct of the winner. If it's a toss up, I will take the underdog, especially if they are at home. A lot of people like to take home underdogs anyway, especially if the spread is over 7 for the road team as a favorite, because often even if there is a discrepancy between teams, it is close. Of course there are blowouts too. I do wonder if blowouts are less common in week one though with more healthy players and every team confident going into the season. I also hesitate taking rookie QBs, especially if the other team has a good pass rush, and even moreso in week one, because the field and open receivers won't look anything like in college and they will be under far more pressure. Especially the QBs who came from great colleges who likely had a huge advantage in overall talent in pass protection and receivers. I think I took Jax but perhaps should rethink that one especially as a road favorite, though they are playing Houston. Tyrod is a ball control QB though so they may just try to run it and do short passes to eat up the clock and move down the field.

Re: "Beat the Commish" - NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - (pick by tomorrow 8PM EST)

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 6:39 pm
by Dirk
My strategy is to pick randomly and I always finish ahead of Howard and Froob. So feel pretty happy.

Extending the invite to former players.

Wo1verine wrote:

Scooby Snax wrote:i've signed up again this year

Stromile12 wrote:in

El Turco wrote:

RIPskaterdude wrote:

hermes wrote:[

xNewYorkMadex wrote:


ATL Boy wrote:

Mamba Mentality wrote:


SD2042 wrote:

NyCeEvO wrote:

Geoffrey P wrote:

Mr. E wrote:


Ralnor wrote:

LLcoleJ wrote:

kdawg32086 wrote:

ElectricMayhem wrote:

Slot Machine wrote:

TheKingofSting wrote:

WVU wrote:

Greatness wrote:

Re: "Beat the Commish" - NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - (pick by tomorrow 8PM EST)

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 7:20 pm
by bwgood77
Here are all from last year...I can't find the prior year..


DerekHunter
Howard_Mass
Hopper15
wackbone
karkinos
Dirk40plus1
memorex
arambling1
brentgoat
TheKingofSting
Realgm
El Turco
RapsFanInVA
hermes
Onus
froob
blue jersey jinx
Perna31
SD2042
HAHA2184 2
KenStradamus
WisteriaWildmanOsiris84 Spread
Dr_Heat
TyCobb
Spike This
threrf23
JermsKnicks
Ranior
Wo1verineRGM
Goober
HerroBalls
HornetMania
dream34
_tijo_
da ThRONe
Wahoo Charlie
Jake0890
Tiderulz
durden_tyler
JimmyTheGreek
Naggy
Ruzious
Kyler Murray
Goudelock
Coxy
PrimoBargnani
stitches1
VCfor3
Rshahnyc
KGdaBom


The Penguin wrote:.

Re: "Beat the Commish" - NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - (pick by tomorrow 8PM EST)

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 10:40 pm
by hermes
in and picks are in

Re: "Beat the Commish" - NFL Picks Against the Spread Competition - (pick by tomorrow 8PM EST)

Posted: Wed Sep 8, 2021 11:43 pm
by Greatness
I'm in, thanks for the invite!