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OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc.

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ScienceOfLosing
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1581 » by ScienceOfLosing » Sun Jun 29, 2025 7:27 pm

br7knicks wrote:
Garbagelo wrote:As someone trying to make money from trading, you will learn that stuff like debt, trade deficits, tariffs, and whatever else is floating out there right now is just noise to get you to succumb to fear and euphoria when the narratives are all positive.

Focus on the money printer.


One person gets how it works. It all comes down to the money printer


Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1582 » by Garbagelo » Mon Jun 30, 2025 8:47 am

ScienceOfLosing wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
Garbagelo wrote:As someone trying to make money from trading, you will learn that stuff like debt, trade deficits, tariffs, and whatever else is floating out there right now is just noise to get you to succumb to fear and euphoria when the narratives are all positive.

Focus on the money printer.


One person gets how it works. It all comes down to the money printer


Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)


The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1583 » by ScienceOfLosing » Mon Jun 30, 2025 9:26 am

Garbagelo wrote:
ScienceOfLosing wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
One person gets how it works. It all comes down to the money printer


Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)


The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after


The M2 is the printing.
The Fed will cut rates this year. Very little chance they don’t.
That said, an event is coming…

I’m 95% deployed. Crypto will go on a huge run but when???
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1584 » by St Knick » Mon Jun 30, 2025 1:53 pm

Bit of broscience here, but crypto (i really should say bitcoin specifically) tends to have its big runs in the OCtober-December range. particularly every 4 years, usually the 6-18 months following a halving; the last halving was approx MAy 2024 (were 13 months past that...)

beyond that, there are actual real-world factors/narratives/events that are incredibly positive. a Pro-crypto administration in the US. Maturation of ETF's and big money establishments slowly building their stacks. and, yes, the exploding M2 money supply globally.

The volcano is ready to explode. Buy and hold.. and keep holding (HODLing?). During drawdowns, zoom out, take a deep breath, go outside, live your life, and keep stacking sats.
Rinse, repeat, do this for years (at LEAST 4 years, if not indefinitely*) , and you won't be disappointed.

* Not official financial advice.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1585 » by CharlesOakley » Mon Jun 30, 2025 2:13 pm

Garbagelo wrote:
ScienceOfLosing wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
One person gets how it works. It all comes down to the money printer


Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)


The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after


I wouldn't be too sure. I believe Powell's term is up in 2026 and Trump will pick someone who does what he wants. Real estate (which Trump kinda likes) will suffer until interest rates come down.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1586 » by RHODEY » Mon Jun 30, 2025 4:38 pm

ScienceOfLosing wrote:
Garbagelo wrote:
ScienceOfLosing wrote:
Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)


The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after


The M2 is the printing.
The Fed will cut rates this year. Very little chance they don’t.
That said, an event is coming…

I’m 95% deployed. Crypto will go on a huge run but when???


I think late next month or early Aug....then the final run sometime in Q1....or this could be an extended cycle.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1587 » by Garbagelo » Mon Jun 30, 2025 9:33 pm

RHODEY wrote:
I think late next month or early Aug....then the final run sometime in Q1....or this could be an extended cycle.


This is a major extended cycle that should last until 2030

Look at all the alts, in the top 100, most of them are basically on the 2022 floor

Most will try to trade this like previous cycles but this time it is different
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1588 » by Garbagelo » Mon Jun 30, 2025 9:37 pm

ScienceOfLosing wrote:
Garbagelo wrote:
ScienceOfLosing wrote:
Look at the (global M2) money supply. Been going up a lot for months.
BTC and crypto will follow in the coming weeks or months most likely. (Historically they always do in lagging fassion).

If the Fed would follow the world and lower interest rates, markets would explode.
I think they will but are just waiting. Most likely many cuts next year and 1 or 2 coming this year, starting is September (I hear.)


The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after


The M2 is the printing.
The Fed will cut rates this year. Very little chance they don’t.
That said, an event is coming…

I’m 95% deployed. Crypto will go on a huge run but when???


Currently fed watch has September as a rate cut

However, I kind of think that the CPI will come back hot on the next report and that chance will decline again

This likely will cause a market correction
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1589 » by RHODEY » Mon Jun 30, 2025 9:49 pm

Garbagelo wrote:
RHODEY wrote:
I think late next month or early Aug....then the final run sometime in Q1....or this could be an extended cycle.


This is a major extended cycle that should last until 2030

Look at all the alts, in the top 100, most of them are basically on the 2022 floor

Most will try to trade this like previous cycles but this time it is different

Yeah it does feel different..going to 2030 would be insane. I was thinking maybe thru 2026 but Ill take more!
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1590 » by br7knicks » Tue Jul 1, 2025 2:17 am

Garbagelo wrote:
ScienceOfLosing wrote:
Garbagelo wrote:
The Fed is not going to cut unless there is an event

However, printing is going on like crazy everywhere (including the Fed)

The "trade war" has gotten every bank to print like bananas

Hope you guys were able to smell the money and buy the great dips

I do think it might be time to take a little off the table and when the fed does cut, I'll probably take more off the table shortly after


The M2 is the printing.
The Fed will cut rates this year. Very little chance they don’t.
That said, an event is coming…

I’m 95% deployed. Crypto will go on a huge run but when???


Currently fed watch has September as a rate cut

However, I kind of think that the CPI will come back hot on the next report and that chance will decline again

This likely will cause a market correction



All more reason to throw extra in the account, but wait to buy. Usually if there's a 10% drop, I throw extra money in.

I got lucky the last 2 crypto drops and threw into BTC, eth, and XRP.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1591 » by +2number4+ » Tue Jul 1, 2025 10:24 am

...
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1592 » by Spree2Houston » Sat Jul 5, 2025 11:18 pm

How are we feeling about XA48P?
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1593 » by RHODEY » Sun Jul 6, 2025 3:14 pm

Spree2Houston wrote:How are we feeling about XA48P?

Dont know much about them except for the bot spam I see on Crypto youtube channels.

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