2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch

[Knick4Real]

Trump’s latest video is sad man. His family needs to help him.

It came off like an aged Hollywood has-been who hasn't yet realized they're only 5 minutes away from irrelevancy.

[Clyde_Style]

Quinnipiac University poll today shows Biden busting open a big 11 point margin in Florida

They're B+ rated pollsters according to 538

They're basically showing significant moves in multiple states with +5 in both AZ and IA, +13 PA

If those numbers hold up, it's not surprising. All it took was for 1-2% of the voters to dump Trump and switch while the previously undecided are obviously choosing Biden. That can produce 2-5 point increases for Biden in most swing state races. The poll percentages are going to inch closer to 100% of choices made soon vs. the 92-95% total confirmed positions of before.

[Clyde_Style]

TX is now a swing state folks. It's in play. Even Cornyn's Senate seat is at risk

A bullish Biden campaign invades Trump territory
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/07/joe-biden-trump-territory-426802

In a move that would have been far-fetched even a few months ago, Joe Biden is set to spend $6.2 million on ads in the state over the next month — attempting to put the state in play for the first time in decades. The latest polling averages show President Donald Trump leading by only 2 to 3 points in Texas, and Biden’s push there illustrates both how much the state has changed and how much the political environment is tilting against Trump less than a month from the Election Day.

Perhaps even more astounding: Trump doesn’t have the money to counter the cash-flush Biden on TV.

Over the past two weeks, Biden had the airwaves to himself in Iowa, Ohio, Texas and New Hampshire, while Trump went dark, according to Advertising Analytics, a TV tracking firm. This week, Trump isn’t airing any ads in Nebraska, where both campaigns are competing for the lone Electoral College vote out of the Omaha-based congressional district, while Biden is dropping just under $500,000.

The spending disparity isn't limited to Democratic "reach" states. Biden and his allies are also racking up ad advantages in the core battlegrounds that put Trump in the White House in 2016. Biden is out-advertising Trump in 72 out of 83 media markets where the campaigns are spending this week, including dozens of places that played a critical role in deciding the last election, like Philadelphia and Wilkes-Barre in Pennsylvania and Milwaukee and Green Bay in Wisconsin.

[Clyde_Style]

A wave of polls paints a dire picture for Trump
The new surveys fall into two buckets: those that are bad for the president, and those that are horrible.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/07/trump-polls-dire-picture-427416

Between his widely panned debate performance and his Covid-19 infection after flouting his own administration's coronavirus guidelines, Trump isn't helping himself lately. He is behind former Vice President Joe Biden by eye-popping margins: 16 and 14 points in national CNN/SSRS and NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls, respectively; 9 points in a New York Times/Siena College poll in Arizona and 13 points in a Pennsylvania survey from Quinnipiac University.

Even the president’s favorite pollster — Rasmussen Reports, whose methodology doesn’t meet POLITICO’s standards — has the president behind Biden by more than 10 points.

Trump managed to rebound from a similar deficit in 2016. But he had a few things going for him then that he does not now: Hillary Clinton was unpopular, and voters were more likely to say they were undecided or preferred third party candidates. And unlike four years ago, Trump has a record in office to defend.

The wave of bad poll numbers continued crashing down on Trump on Wednesday, 27 days before voting concludes on Nov. 3. The new surveys fall into two buckets: those that are bad for Trump, and those that are horrible.

The first group contains polls that show Trump trailing, though the numbers aren’t as shocking. It includes a Marquette Law School poll showing Biden leading Trump by 5 points in Wisconsin and New York Times/Siena College polls showing Biden ahead by 6 points in Nevada and neck-and-neck with Trump in Republican-leaning Ohio.

In this scenario, Trump is a significant underdog, though he maintains a very narrow path to reelection: closing the single-digit gap in states like Wisconsin, while inching ahead in Ohio and other red-tinted states that are effectively tied today.

But the second grouping shows an incumbent president on the verge of a historic, landslide defeat. Adding to those national surveys and the New York Times/Siena poll in Arizona were three Quinnipiac University polls out Wednesday afternoon. They show Biden ahead by double digits in Florida and Pennsylvania, and by 5 points in Iowa.

Flipping Florida and Pennsylvania alone would place Biden on the doorstep of an Electoral College majority, with Wisconsin or Michigan — where a Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll this week showed Biden ahead by 9 points — potentially putting the Democrat over the top.

"In varying degrees, three critical states in three very different parts of the country come to the same ominous conclusion,” Quinnipiac’s Tim Malloy said in a release accompanying the polls. “The president's hopes for reelection are growing dimmer by the day.”

[Clyde_Style]

Trump’s latest video is sad man. His family needs to help him.

It came off like an aged Hollywood has-been who hasn't yet realized they're only 5 minutes away from irrelevancy.

Good analogy.

He's Orange Norma Desmond from Sunset Boulevard

[HarthorneWingo]

VP debate game thread?

[WargamesX]

I can’t wait to vote. I got a early ballot in case there is a surge of Corona and it’s not reasonably safe to vote In person, but I would prefer to just early vote in person.

[HarthorneWingo]

I can’t wait to vote. I got a early ballot in case their is a surge of Corona and it’s not reasonably safe to vote In person, but I would prefer to just early vote in person.

It’s safe enough to vote in person. Especially for someone with the name “Wargames”

[WargamesX]

I can’t wait to vote. I got a early ballot in case their is a surge of Corona and it’s not reasonably safe to vote In person, but I would prefer to just early vote in person.

It’s safe enough to vote in person. Especially for someone with the name “Wargames”

I mean it would have to be pretty bad.

[Oscirus]

34 cases in the white house. trump = new typhoid mary?

[Clyde_Style]

I can’t wait to vote. I got a early ballot in case there is a surge of Corona and it’s not reasonably safe to vote In person, but I would prefer to just early vote in person.

I'm voting early in person. Best solution IMO

[Clyde_Style]

[Clyde_Style]

chewing on a head of raw cabbage instead of a bowl of buttery popcorn to have something to gnaw on

[Capn'O]

even with trump cutting off the rest of the quote, what does trump hope to accomplish with this?

Read on Twitter

That's actually kinda funny but not damaging at all

[HarthorneWingo]

She blinded him with numbers

[Oscirus]

sacrificial lambs not workers, kamala, points deducted

[stuporman]

RT isn't an arm of the Russian govt and gets no editorial input from it. It's very independent and has become the home of most of the anti-imperial voices of Americans who MSM including the conservative outlets won't platform because they like the money from the corporate overlords.

The MSM either run cover for or have full throated support for the bloodthirsty war mongering, international meddling, political corruption, environmental catastrophe, corporate criminality and anything else their sponsors want because they getting rich and don't care about people other than the eyeballs they get from them.

They are story tellers spinning establishment narratives on events that happen not actually truth tellers providing the facts and reality of what's going on. Unfortunately the alt-media is also filled with just as many grifters hoping to cash in from bubble feeding.

It's very hard to find real organic information without it covered in processed bias spin.

Yet in your conception of life and media existence, you can accept that the "MSM is completely biased" yet can see no way in which RT might be playing a different, but equally biased game?

Sorry, but this comes across like a russian mail order bride who discovered some unpleasant fact about how certain things can work in the USA, but then completely ignores what the dynamic might be in her own land.

The bias is anti-imperial...I said it right in the post, did you miss that or just ignoring it?

[Clyde_Style]

Off to a roaring start. Pencebot takes 10 seconds to utter its first lie

Pencebot offers no plan for covid, just ego stroking of his owner

[Oscirus]

nice one pence, shots fired!

[Clyde_Style]

Pencebot congratulates Americans on sacrificing themselves