aq_ua wrote:HarthorneWingo wrote:Thugger HBC wrote:Stephn A said nothing, but it's true.
If Bosh left Miami, that certainly would change the scope of things.
Miami has a very interesting situation there. A conundrum of sorts. LeBron won't sign until he's convinced that Riley is bringing in the other necessary parts but the other necessary parts won't sign until they know LeBron is on board.
It's pretty easy math - if LeBron knows that all other necessary parts will sign if LeBron signs, then all LeBron has to do is agree to sign.
Since LeBron has not agreed to sign, we must therefore conclude that all other necessary parts have not agreed to sign if LeBron signs.
LeBron knows bringing back basically the same team as last year, less Battier, couldn't beat the Spurs. Therefore, he needs to see not only Wade and Bosh come back, but more talent on top of that, plus the ability to a max type contract. Lowry is gone, so Melo and Lance Stephenson represent all that remain of game changing talent in the free agent pool (since Miami does not have the necessary assets to make a trade for a meaningful player).
Therefore, I think the equation is LeBron is waiting for Wade and Bosh to come to the realization they need to take a heavier pay cut to allow Miami to give LeBron a bigger contract and still sign Stephenson (more likely than Melo), while Bosh in particular isn't crazy about the idea and therefore exploring other scenarios.
Therefore, I think it's right that the Miami puzzle is largely about Bosh accepting a big discount to return, but I don't see that as a likely outcome. Without Bosh coming back, LeBron might as well go team with a guy like Wiggins on a rookie contract and Kyrie than stick around and watch Wade continue to fade.