FrozenEnvelope wrote:Oscirus wrote:Saying grimes is better than rj is one of the dumbest takes that ive seen on this board and thats saying something.
Im pretty much rooting for rj to be traded at this point so I can reverse jimnit every single poster with such stupid takes.
People who use efficiency and as their main factor in determining how good a player is and will be do not know basketball.
Well I mean, of course it matters
But it's not the sole factor. Like, I know that Darius Garland is better than Randle because while both have the same Usage and are both the de facto #1 on their teams, Garland has a significantly higher TS. That doesn't take playmaking or defense into account, just scoring, but the overall point still stands
It's useful to compare how guys are at this moment with other players in similar roles. Like RJ and Middleton being in similar roles, essentially the #2 on their teams, but Middleton is significantly more efficient, making him better
It also doesn't give you an accurate depiction of potential though. Advanced stats are not predictive by nature, if you want to project how good a player will be, you need a lot more than just TS, and even those projections are very difficult to do well, the closest you get is something like 538, which takes into account the prior 3 seasons to try and form a trend line, but even that's not great
Grimes is very good, but he's yet to show anything more than flashes of shot creation at the NBA level. He compares pretty favorably to Courtney Lee as a rookie, though he took 80% of his shots from 3 compared to 38% for Lee his rookie year. Other than that, they're very similar, but this is also a good example of how TS works. Grimes had a slash line of 40/38/68 compared to 45/40/83 for Lee, which makes it look like Lee is better, but Grimes had a better TS at .565 compared to .556 for Lee. Because Grimes took more than double the 3s Lee took, his raw percentages look worse, but his overall efficiency was slightly better
I think we're seeing Grimes showing a lot of potential as a shot creator in SL, and he did have it in high school, but whether he didn't show it last year was due to him not really having it or him being stuck in his role is up for debate. He only took 35 3s off the dribble last year, only hit 9 of them, meaning over 81% of his 3 point attempts were off the catch, which was around 2/3rds of his total shots were catch and shoot 3s
Regardless, the kid is good and we should try and keep him, but I think his upside is more of a role player who's good enough to start. Maybe he has potential to grow into a Fournier type role on offense where he can create his own 3s off the dribble too, but that's a ways off.