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2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome)

Moderators: Deeeez Knicks, mpharris36, j4remi, NoLayupRule, HerSports85, GONYK, Jeff Van Gully, dakomish23

Who are you voting for?

Donald Trump
29
28%
Joe Biden
63
60%
Howie Hawkins
4
4%
Jo Jorgensen
3
3%
Kanye West
6
6%
 
Total votes: 105

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#221 » by mpharris36 » Sun Aug 30, 2020 4:59 am

Stannis wrote:I'll say it again, if I'm a Republican, and I put myself Donald's shoes. This is what he is doing right now:

1) He's telling himself and everyone that "Democratic run" cities are burning to the ground because of their poor democratic leaders.
2) He is acknowledging that their businesses and people are suffering
3) He still decides to do nothing but blame them for it and leave them hanging. There is no working relationship between these cities and Trump.

I gotta say, if he thinks there are people who need help and he doesn't want to do anything about it because they have a democratic leader, he's a real POS. That's not Presidential material.

Trump IS in power. He's in the White House. All the stuff he's saying he will do when re-elected is stuff he can do now. I see little to no progress or results. So I find it hard to believe.


I swear, it's like Biden is running as the incumbent and Trump is running to beat him. Really makes no sense to me.

If I had to venture a guess... Trump's plan to "fix" this is some sort of Martial Law and labeling BLM a terrorist group. My guess is he doesn't want to do that now because that will kill his re-election. So he's hoping to win then do it. Hopefully people understand that, and vote him out November. At the very least, hopefully dems win the senate where they can impeach him if he tries such a thing.


Just regarding this point. When Chicago, a democrate run city for like forever, finally asked for federal help. Trump sent in federal agents to help with the crime/riots. I believe its part of Operation LeGend. Lets see how that plays out over time.

Now you can have an issue with how he handles that in terms of how they help. That absolutely is a fair topic of discussion. But I haven't seen any evidence he has simply turned away from helping if he is asked. Even in the RNC speech he said the national guard is on hand if they want the help. We can also go back and forth on who it helps take office if cities continue to burn. I guess that is up to each our interpretation and will be found out on election day as I think that could be one of the major swing factors. I don't think you can continue to preach law and order and cities continue to burn, thats just me personally. So I think he would like to help. But some may not consider that actually helping :dontknow:
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#222 » by dakomish23 » Sun Aug 30, 2020 5:04 am

Last time, the fear mongering was using xenophobia.

This time, they’re trying to put Americans against each other.

Read on Twitter



It’s no coincidence that so many QAnonsense party shills are lying about the state of big cities. They want to portray urban areas as some huge chaotic **** show, in hopes that they’ll scare enough suburban folks into voting for them. They know their only chance is by barely winning some battleground states.

Some examples

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Vote how you want, but see through the propaganda
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#223 » by Oscirus » Sun Aug 30, 2020 5:47 am

mpharris36 wrote:
Stannis wrote:I'll say it again, if I'm a Republican, and I put myself Donald's shoes. This is what he is doing right now:

1) He's telling himself and everyone that "Democratic run" cities are burning to the ground because of their poor democratic leaders.
2) He is acknowledging that their businesses and people are suffering
3) He still decides to do nothing but blame them for it and leave them hanging. There is no working relationship between these cities and Trump.

I gotta say, if he thinks there are people who need help and he doesn't want to do anything about it because they have a democratic leader, he's a real POS. That's not Presidential material.

Trump IS in power. He's in the White House. All the stuff he's saying he will do when re-elected is stuff he can do now. I see little to no progress or results. So I find it hard to believe.


I swear, it's like Biden is running as the incumbent and Trump is running to beat him. Really makes no sense to me.

If I had to venture a guess... Trump's plan to "fix" this is some sort of Martial Law and labeling BLM a terrorist group. My guess is he doesn't want to do that now because that will kill his re-election. So he's hoping to win then do it. Hopefully people understand that, and vote him out November. At the very least, hopefully dems win the senate where they can impeach him if he tries such a thing.


Just regarding this point. When Chicago, a democrate run city for like forever, finally asked for federal help. Trump sent in federal agents to help with the crime/riots. I believe its part of Operation LeGend. Lets see how that plays out over time.

Now you can have an issue with how he handles that in terms of how they help. That absolutely is a fair topic of discussion. But I haven't seen any evidence he has simply turned away from helping if he is asked. Even in the RNC speech he said the national guard is on hand if they want the help. We can also go back and forth on who it helps take office if cities continue to burn. I guess that is up to each our interpretation and will be found out on election day as I think that could be one of the major swing factors. I don't think you can continue to preach law and order and cities continue to burn, thats just me personally. So I think he would like to help. But some may not consider that actually helping :dontknow:

There's plenty of examples of Trump **** with democrat run cities, especially with the pandemic where he's threatened to not do anything if they didn't treat him nicer.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#224 » by Pointgod » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:18 am

mpharris36 wrote:
Stannis wrote:I'll say it again, if I'm a Republican, and I put myself Donald's shoes. This is what he is doing right now:

1) He's telling himself and everyone that "Democratic run" cities are burning to the ground because of their poor democratic leaders.
2) He is acknowledging that their businesses and people are suffering
3) He still decides to do nothing but blame them for it and leave them hanging. There is no working relationship between these cities and Trump.

I gotta say, if he thinks there are people who need help and he doesn't want to do anything about it because they have a democratic leader, he's a real POS. That's not Presidential material.

Trump IS in power. He's in the White House. All the stuff he's saying he will do when re-elected is stuff he can do now. I see little to no progress or results. So I find it hard to believe.


I swear, it's like Biden is running as the incumbent and Trump is running to beat him. Really makes no sense to me.

If I had to venture a guess... Trump's plan to "fix" this is some sort of Martial Law and labeling BLM a terrorist group. My guess is he doesn't want to do that now because that will kill his re-election. So he's hoping to win then do it. Hopefully people understand that, and vote him out November. At the very least, hopefully dems win the senate where they can impeach him if he tries such a thing.


Just regarding this point. When Chicago, a democrate run city for like forever, finally asked for federal help. Trump sent in federal agents to help with the crime/riots. I believe its part of Operation LeGend. Lets see how that plays out over time.

Now you can have an issue with how he handles that in terms of how they help. That absolutely is a fair topic of discussion. But I haven't seen any evidence he has simply turned away from helping if he is asked. Even in the RNC speech he said the national guard is on hand if they want the help. We can also go back and forth on who it helps take office if cities continue to burn. I guess that is up to each our interpretation and will be found out on election day as I think that could be one of the major swing factors. I don't think you can continue to preach law and order and cities continue to burn, thats just me personally. So I think he would like to help. But some may not consider that actually helping :dontknow:


Counterpoint. Trump sent Federal troops to Portland when they absolutely didn’t ask for his help and made things look worse for a photo op.

Plus there’s the whole fact that they scrapped a national testing coronavirus because they thought it would help Democratic run states and they didn’t want to give them the political win. It doesn’t get more clear than that. He’s willing to let Americans die for political reasons. And if you support him you are condoning the same thing. It’s not hyperbole and there are numerous reports on the story if you want to fact check.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#225 » by Capn'O » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:28 am

dakomish23 wrote:
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Big lines at UHaul is particularly funny. It's New York City at the turn of a month. People are moving. What's next? Outgoing traffic jams at the GWB prior to Labor Day. Can you imagine?
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#226 » by Pointgod » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:50 am

bishnykfan wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
bishnykfan wrote:I'm not sure what the racial breakdown of the city has to do with riots. Portland is 81% white and is obviously not a republican city. It's being used as one of the main cities of Trump's law and order campaign. But I guess it's easy to blame all of the white nationalist and Nazi police officers in the inner city police departments rather then put any blame on the leaders of those cities that keep hiring these Nazi's year after year. Never mind the policies that those leaders put in place. If the people in charge never have to take any responsibility and can always use the scapegoat of the person below them as the problem, then things will never get fixed, no matter which party leads. Most big cities even in red states do not lean left, they are left. Philadelphia is blue since 1952, Chicago since 1931, why do the leaders of these places allow so many white supremacists on their police force? Even Houston, the biggest city in the biggest red state hasn't had a Republican mayor in almost 40 years. Are the white supremacists that intelligent that they can continually get past all of the screenings to get onto the police force in these cities? Or is it possible that there are some that are just not very good at their job? Maybe some that are poorly trained? Maybe some that have been beaten down by the job? Of course there are some racist police officers, just like there are racist teachers, racist politicians, racist athletes, racist doctors and whatever other profession you want to use. All bad police should be taken off the job. There absolutely needs to be reform. Racism is a real thing. But to say you want to fix the problem of police racism without looking at the people who are in charge of the police...seems disingenuous to me.

Crime, especially violent crime, in the cities is going up. And the "quality of life" crimes are also going up even if they aren't reported as often as they once were for various reasons. There are a lot of reasons for that. The pandemic and the lockdowns for sure is one. The racial tension is another. The media is a big one. And one is absolutely that the police are pulling back in their responsibilities. But, that shouldn't be surprising. Crime will continue to rise if there are no consequences. It's unfortunate and it will get worse before it gets better if local leaders (left or right) don't protect their people.


If I show you proof that White Supremacists have infiltrated law enforcement will you just dismiss the source or will you take in the information? I’m not going to bother finding the research if it’s going to fall on deaf ears. The biggest problem with your logic is that police unions are very powerful and are sometimes openly hostile to the mayor. Look at the police turning their backs on De Blasio for example. Sometimes this is a good thing because you don’t want to centralize power in the hands of a corrupt mayor, but it also leads to out of control police unions that fight any reform and at worst instruct their officers to not do their jobs (you know want the tax payers pay them for)

And show me the stats that support the bolded across the country. 2020 is an outlier but overall crime is down across the country continuing a trend that had started since the 90’s. If you want to talk about specific cities let’s get into it but the American carnage narrative is completely false.



Like I said, I'm sure that there are white supremacists in the police departments. I'm sure that there are racist people in all walks of life and white supremacists who are all about "power" would naturally be drawn to policing as an occupation. I am not questioning that statement and I concede that to be true. Racist police are the worst part of our society because they are supposed to be the ultimate in public service to all regardless of race.

I also understand that police unions are incredibly powerful. Probably too powerful in our biggest cities. Unions in general are powerful in certain places and occupations. I also said that there needs to be true reform in policing. I don't think you'd find an argument among most people when it comes to that statement.

However, when everyone says they want to look deeper into the "systematic racism" that is prevalent throughout society but then not look at the leaders of that society it feels a little weak. These big cities are all run by democratic mayors mostly in democratic states. They have the power and just as importantly, they've had the time to change things. Has Baltimore improved in the past 68 years? Has Philadelphia gotten better in the past 89? That is an awfully long time to weed out the bad police and change the way that unions operate.

As someone who is independent I look at the job that mayors in NYC, Chicago and Seattle especially are doing and can understand why crime is up. NYC with its bail reform, Chicago with a hypocritical mayor who will let her city burn and citizens get shot by the hundreds each week but not even allow peaceful protests on her own street and Seattle who will allow a portion of her city to be walled off for her "summer of love" experiment are all examples of poor leadership which has hurt their constituents. Not all democratic leadership is bad. Detroit seems to be handling things very well with a democratic mayor and a competent police force. But the majority of the crime people are seeing on their televisions when they turn on their local news each night is happening in liberally run cities. Someone asked how Trump can run on law and order. Like it or not, too many people in the suburbs and many independents, that's the reason.

Crime is down across the country over the past 40 years. I'm only talking about today and what is happening right now in our cities. Crime, especially violent crime is up this year for many reasons. I don't think there is carnage across America and if I implied that I did think that then I apologize. But I do think that violence is an issue. A suburban town councilman actually issued a travel advisory to NYC last month because of the violence. That will have an effect on people.

http://westchester.news12.com/story/42380729/east-fishkill-councilman-issues-travel-advisory-to-nyc-due-to-uptick-in-crime-new-nypd-policies

My main point is that there is no arguing that police reform needs to happen. But can we also look at the leadership of these places that keep hiring and then failing to train these police officers? Many American cities are burning and more important than the actual physical damage being done, the people are suffering. At some point leadership needs to lead.


Hold on. You can’t just brush off the fact that white supremacists have infiltrated police departments and that police unions are powerful. The whole point is that these two factors undermine Mayors and are part of the cause of the problems. The fact that white supremacists have infiltrated law enforcement is throws out everything we believe about crime and the justice system. It’s completely broken and will never be fixed until these scumbags are rooted out and prosecuted and police unions lose their power. Camden New Jersey is an example of a city that disbanded its police force and rebuilt it from the ground up. Crime rates were cut significantly.

And I still need some sources about crime going up. You can’t just point to this year because it could be an outlier in the middle of a pandemic. This article does a good job of explaining the trends in big cities. Crime is down from last year. Violent crime is down and murder is up. But it’s completely false that Democratic Mayors and Governors are to blame.

But it’s not right to blame this exclusively on Democratic-run cities. Murders are also up in Jacksonville and Miami, both of which are overseen by Republican mayors and a Republican governor. And this is all happening under Trump’s presidency. The trend doesn’t appear to be partisan.


https://www.vox.com/2020/8/3/21334149/murders-crime-shootings-2020-coronavirus-pandemic

Read on Twitter


Just based on demographics it would makes sense that more big cities have Democratic Mayors. If there are a 100 Democratic Mayors of big cities, it would be misleading to point to the 3 cities that are currently experiencing riots as an indicator that Democrats have lost control. But that’s exactly what Trump is doing because he’s trying to scare white people into voting for him. There was no violence in Kenosha on Thursday or Friday night that I’m aware of. Soon this will fade from the media but the protests will continue. Will you still claim they need law and order after weeks and months of peaceful protests?

Remember Wisconsin has a Republican state legislature and Republican State Congress. They could pass state laws for police reform. Trying to blame all of this on Democrats is completely laughable and not factual. Trump has failed on this. Republicans in the Senate have failed on this as well. Only Democrats in Congress have passed police reform. And that’s the only thing that’s going to calm down the protests. Actual change. If the local governments and police unions won’t cooperate it has to come from the state and Federal level. And the only way that will happen is to elect Biden. Ironically if you want peace and law and order giving Democrats power is the only way to do it because the Republicans actively stand in the way of reform. There’s your answer. It’s not simple but substantive solutions rarely are.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#227 » by Stannis » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:50 am

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#228 » by HarthorneWingo » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:51 am

Pointgod wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Stannis wrote:I'll say it again, if I'm a Republican, and I put myself Donald's shoes. This is what he is doing right now:

1) He's telling himself and everyone that "Democratic run" cities are burning to the ground because of their poor democratic leaders.
2) He is acknowledging that their businesses and people are suffering
3) He still decides to do nothing but blame them for it and leave them hanging. There is no working relationship between these cities and Trump.

I gotta say, if he thinks there are people who need help and he doesn't want to do anything about it because they have a democratic leader, he's a real POS. That's not Presidential material.

Trump IS in power. He's in the White House. All the stuff he's saying he will do when re-elected is stuff he can do now. I see little to no progress or results. So I find it hard to believe.


I swear, it's like Biden is running as the incumbent and Trump is running to beat him. Really makes no sense to me.

If I had to venture a guess... Trump's plan to "fix" this is some sort of Martial Law and labeling BLM a terrorist group. My guess is he doesn't want to do that now because that will kill his re-election. So he's hoping to win then do it. Hopefully people understand that, and vote him out November. At the very least, hopefully dems win the senate where they can impeach him if he tries such a thing.


Just regarding this point. When Chicago, a democrate run city for like forever, finally asked for federal help. Trump sent in federal agents to help with the crime/riots. I believe its part of Operation LeGend. Lets see how that plays out over time.

Now you can have an issue with how he handles that in terms of how they help. That absolutely is a fair topic of discussion. But I haven't seen any evidence he has simply turned away from helping if he is asked. Even in the RNC speech he said the national guard is on hand if they want the help. We can also go back and forth on who it helps take office if cities continue to burn. I guess that is up to each our interpretation and will be found out on election day as I think that could be one of the major swing factors. I don't think you can continue to preach law and order and cities continue to burn, thats just me personally. So I think he would like to help. But some may not consider that actually helping :dontknow:


Counterpoint. Trump sent Federal troops to Portland when they absolutely didn’t ask for his help and made things look worse for a photo op.

Plus there’s the whole fact that they scrapped a national testing coronavirus because they thought it would help Democratic run states and they didn’t want to give them the political win. It doesn’t get more clear than that. He’s willing to let Americans die for political reasons. And if you support him you are condoning the same thing. It’s not hyperbole and there are numerous reports on the story if you want to fact check.


Trump didn't help out the people of Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria unless you count this:

Image

He didn't help NY or the states that needed it during the initial stages of the virus. This is just off the top of my head at 2:50 a.m. This pretty significant.

Trump doesn't have a compassionate bone in his body. Just ask his sister the former Federal Court appeals judge or Donald's niece who has a Ph.D in psychology, not that it's necessary. He wears it proudly on his sleeve.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#229 » by HarthorneWingo » Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:55 am

Stannis wrote:"Many New Yorkers are going to Flordia for vacation. Some shopping for a vacation home...."


My idiot cousin just bought a house down there last year. Every time someone from his family moved down there something bad happened and they moved back to NY. :lol:
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#230 » by GONYK » Sun Aug 30, 2020 7:08 am

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#231 » by Pointgod » Sun Aug 30, 2020 7:14 am

HarthorneWingo wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Just regarding this point. When Chicago, a democrate run city for like forever, finally asked for federal help. Trump sent in federal agents to help with the crime/riots. I believe its part of Operation LeGend. Lets see how that plays out over time.

Now you can have an issue with how he handles that in terms of how they help. That absolutely is a fair topic of discussion. But I haven't seen any evidence he has simply turned away from helping if he is asked. Even in the RNC speech he said the national guard is on hand if they want the help. We can also go back and forth on who it helps take office if cities continue to burn. I guess that is up to each our interpretation and will be found out on election day as I think that could be one of the major swing factors. I don't think you can continue to preach law and order and cities continue to burn, thats just me personally. So I think he would like to help. But some may not consider that actually helping :dontknow:


Counterpoint. Trump sent Federal troops to Portland when they absolutely didn’t ask for his help and made things look worse for a photo op.

Plus there’s the whole fact that they scrapped a national testing coronavirus because they thought it would help Democratic run states and they didn’t want to give them the political win. It doesn’t get more clear than that. He’s willing to let Americans die for political reasons. And if you support him you are condoning the same thing. It’s not hyperbole and there are numerous reports on the story if you want to fact check.


Trump didn't help out the people of Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. He didn't help NY or the states that needed it during the initial stages of the virus. This is just off the top of my head at 2:50 a.m. This pretty significant.

Trump doesn't have a compassionate bone in his body. Just ask his sister the former Federal Court appeals judge or Donald's niece who has a Ph.D in psychology, not that it's necessary. He wears it proudly on his sleeve.


It goes beyond that. Trump is a sadistic psychopath that wants to inflict harm on people that he feels have slighted him. Biden needs to go scorched earth on the mother ****. Hammer home how Trump let 200000 Americans die under his leadership. Remember Republicans lost their mind that Benghazi was politics? Well hammer home the point that Trump was let people in states with Democratic governors die because he didn’t see a political advantage (Guess who has Democratic governors. Wisconsin, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan). Hammer home that the economy has seen historic job losses and unemployment under Trump. He’s trying to get rid of the ACA in the middle of a pandemic which will kill people.

You don’t get voters to vote against Trump by calling him an authoritarian, rattle him by making him look weak. Hammer home that he hugged Putin while Russians murdered US servicemen, Trump claimed to be a war time President when the coronavirus hit, well he waved a white flag and retreated to let people die. He praised President Xi for his response to the coronavirus and lied it would disappear in Spring. He claims Democrats have lost control of cities, he’s lost control of a whole country. Pick the top 5 most concerning topics for voters and hammer the **** out of Trump on them. Fear is a two way street and Biden can propose how his policies will save the mess Trump has created.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#232 » by HarthorneWingo » Sun Aug 30, 2020 7:22 am

Pointgod wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
Counterpoint. Trump sent Federal troops to Portland when they absolutely didn’t ask for his help and made things look worse for a photo op.

Plus there’s the whole fact that they scrapped a national testing coronavirus because they thought it would help Democratic run states and they didn’t want to give them the political win. It doesn’t get more clear than that. He’s willing to let Americans die for political reasons. And if you support him you are condoning the same thing. It’s not hyperbole and there are numerous reports on the story if you want to fact check.


Trump didn't help out the people of Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. He didn't help NY or the states that needed it during the initial stages of the virus. This is just off the top of my head at 2:50 a.m. This pretty significant.

Trump doesn't have a compassionate bone in his body. Just ask his sister the former Federal Court appeals judge or Donald's niece who has a Ph.D in psychology, not that it's necessary. He wears it proudly on his sleeve.


It goes beyond that. Trump is a sadistic psychopath that wants to inflict harm on people that he feels have slighted him. Biden needs to go scorched earth on the mother ****. Hammer home how Trump let 200000 Americans die under his leadership. Remember Republicans lost their mind that Benghazi was politics? Well hammer home the point that Trump was let people in states with Democratic governors die because he didn’t see a political advantage (Guess who has Democratic governors. Wisconsin, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan). Hammer home that the economy has seen historic job losses and unemployment under Trump. He’s trying to get rid of the ACA in the middle of a pandemic which will kill people.

You don’t get voters to vote against Trump by calling him an authoritarian, rattle him by making him look weak. Hammer home that he hugged Putin while Russians murdered US servicemen, Trump claimed to be a war time President when the coronavirus hit, well he waved a white flag and retreated to let people die. He praised President Xi for his response to the coronavirus and lied it would disappear in Spring. He claims Democrats have lost control of cities, he’s lost control of a whole country. Pick the top 5 most concerning topics for voters and hammer the **** out of Trump on them. Fear is a two way street and Biden can propose how his policies will save the mess Trump has created.


That was meant for MP, sorry. I know what you think of him. :lol:
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#233 » by Rasho Brezec » Sun Aug 30, 2020 7:32 am

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dakomish23 wrote:
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Big lines at UHaul is particularly funny. It's New York City at the turn of a month. People are moving. What's next? Outgoing traffic jams at the GWB prior to Labor Day. Can you imagine?

So does this blog post have any merit?

https://jamesaltucher.com/blog/nyc-is-dead-forever-heres-why/
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#234 » by Rasho Brezec » Sun Aug 30, 2020 7:52 am

Stannis wrote:I think we might see a 269-269

https://www.270towin.com/maps/yGOm3

Luckily, dems have the house. I see Trump flipping Nevada, Minnesota with his recent democrat endorsements, New Hampshire, and 1 vote from Maine.

I see AZ flipping blue. Georgia and Texas going blue is just unrealistic, especially since they are notorious for voter suppression.

Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will be scary.

I can see Trump winning if he keeps AZ:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/NnAV0

In this scenario, he won't need NH, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Penn

This was my prediction on November 6th 2016, two days before the election. Colorado was the only one I got wrong.

Rasho Brezec wrote:Trump 315
Clinton 223

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Colorado.


My prediction this time is 283 for Trump. He loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, but gets Minnesota.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#235 » by Stannis » Sun Aug 30, 2020 8:07 am

Rasho Brezec wrote:
Stannis wrote:I think we might see a 269-269

https://www.270towin.com/maps/yGOm3

Luckily, dems have the house. I see Trump flipping Nevada, Minnesota with his recent democrat endorsements, New Hampshire, and 1 vote from Maine.

I see AZ flipping blue. Georgia and Texas going blue is just unrealistic, especially since they are notorious for voter suppression.

Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will be scary.

I can see Trump winning if he keeps AZ:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/NnAV0

In this scenario, he won't need NH, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Penn

This was my prediction on November 6th 2016, two days before the election. Colorado was the only one I got wrong.

Rasho Brezec wrote:Trump 315
Clinton 223

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Colorado.


My prediction this time is 283 for Trump. He loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, but gets Minnesota.

You got the old thread link on hand?
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#236 » by Rasho Brezec » Sun Aug 30, 2020 8:25 am

Stannis wrote:
Rasho Brezec wrote:
Stannis wrote:I think we might see a 269-269

https://www.270towin.com/maps/yGOm3

Luckily, dems have the house. I see Trump flipping Nevada, Minnesota with his recent democrat endorsements, New Hampshire, and 1 vote from Maine.

I see AZ flipping blue. Georgia and Texas going blue is just unrealistic, especially since they are notorious for voter suppression.

Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will be scary.

I can see Trump winning if he keeps AZ:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/NnAV0

In this scenario, he won't need NH, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Penn

This was my prediction on November 6th 2016, two days before the election. Colorado was the only one I got wrong.

Rasho Brezec wrote:Trump 315
Clinton 223

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Colorado.


My prediction this time is 283 for Trump. He loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, but gets Minnesota.

You got the old thread link on hand?


viewtopic.php?f=69&t=1489164
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#237 » by Stannis » Sun Aug 30, 2020 8:54 am

Rasho Brezec wrote:
Stannis wrote:
Rasho Brezec wrote:This was my prediction on November 6th 2016, two days before the election. Colorado was the only one I got wrong.



My prediction this time is 283 for Trump. He loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, but gets Minnesota.

You got the old thread link on hand?


viewtopic.php?f=69&t=1489164

lmao at the people thinking Hillary was getting over 300+ so easy.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#238 » by Clyde_Style » Sun Aug 30, 2020 11:52 am

Capn'O wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:
Read on Twitter


Big lines at UHaul is particularly funny. It's New York City at the turn of a month. People are moving. What's next? Outgoing traffic jams at the GWB prior to Labor Day. Can you imagine?


Chaos at the bagel counter on Sunday morning!
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#239 » by Clyde_Style » Sun Aug 30, 2020 12:00 pm

Stannis wrote:I'll say it again, if I'm a Republican, and I put myself Donald's shoes. This is what he is doing right now:

1) He's telling himself and everyone that "Democratic run" cities are burning to the ground because of their poor democratic leaders.
2) He is acknowledging that their businesses and people are suffering
3) He still decides to do nothing but blame them for it and leave them hanging. There is no working relationship between these cities and Trump.

I gotta say, if he thinks there are people who need help and he doesn't want to do anything about it because they have a democratic leader, he's a real POS. That's not Presidential material.

Trump IS in power. He's in the White House. All the stuff he's saying he will do when re-elected is stuff he can do now. I see little to no progress or results. So I find it hard to believe.

I swear, it's like Biden is running as the incumbent and Trump is running to beat him. Really makes no sense to me.

If I had to venture a guess... Trump's plan to "fix" this is some sort of Martial Law and labeling BLM a terrorist group. My guess is he doesn't want to do that now because that will kill his re-election. So he's hoping to win then do it. Hopefully people understand that, and vote him out November. At the very least, hopefully dems win the senate where they can impeach him if he tries such a thing.


With this post, your now daily doomsaying and your election predictions it feels less like you're calling it like you see it and more like you're campaigning for Trump now. The spirit of your posts have turned into pure gloom about the inevitability of Trump's re-election.

You are not providing analysis if you are tailoring your interpretation of data to fit your paranoid biases. Enough with the fear mongering.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election (All Serious POVs Welcome) 

Post#240 » by Clyde_Style » Sun Aug 30, 2020 12:54 pm

It would be dereliction on the part of any poster if they don't first read the following article before they post another word claiming Trump's re-election is certain because is he's winning the law and order debate or that democratic mayors are the reason.

Nobody could possibly look me in the eye and smoke me with the assertion that yeah maybe there are racist cops in the ranks, but that's not really the issue. Oh really?

Trump is stoking the flames of chaos, not offering a restoration of peace and calm, so deflecting the core issues of why the unrest is happening in the first place by turning this forum into a betting parlor on why Trump is going to win because of unrest is disingenuous at best.

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