Post#392 » by GettinitDone » Sun Aug 5, 2012 2:40 am
HakeemKnicks, you have to understand experience means everything. You're the guy who keeps comparing rooks/ 2nd year player to established All Stars. Using your analogy, I can say:
- Hell, Eddie Jones was way better in than Kobe in 1996
- Nick Van Exel was way better than Chauncey Billups and Steve Nash in 1997-2000
- Amare only averaged 13ppg in 2002, he's not in same league as Duncan (but Stat put 38ppg against Duncan in playoffs 2 years later)
- VC was way better than Wade in 2003
- Dwight averaged only 12 & 10 in his rookie year, I'm taking Amare all day
- Hinrich is way better than Deron in 2005
Which are not wrong... but you have to understand using stats as your ONLY evaluation to compare players is lame. For example, Eddie Jones averaged twice as many points as rookie Kobe so you're absolutely taking Eddie Jones then right? Truth is the real talent evaluators could see Kobe's talent and would rather have Kobe going forward than Eddie Jones if they had to choose. Luckily for Lakers, you were not their GM because you'd have got rid of Kobe to make sure EJ got all the minutes... what the Lakers did was get rid of EJ to make sure Kobe got all minutes he needed to blossom.
All you're doing, using present stats as 100% evaluation, disregarding talent, skills, player's efficiency (in Lin's case, the athleticism, the feel for the game, the clutch gene, the natural leadership skill, the work ethic). Talent/ skills go beyond just stats, which is the whole point of evaluating talent in the first place.
You'd have chosen the players who are posting better numbers now (because that player happens to play longer and have more experience), but a few years later, found you kicking yourself for letting those true young superstars go. What you're doing now, my grandpa who has 0 knowledge of basketball can do, a caveman can do, just look at the better numbers and choose that player. But can you see talent which often has little to do with players' stats, ESPECIALLY 1st/ 2nd year players? Based on your posts so far, I don't think so.