2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch... Still

robillionaire · Post #381 » by **robillionaire** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:46 pm

HarthorneWingo wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I definitely do not believe this :lol:

A+ rated poll on 538 has trump +4

Pointgod · Post #382 » by **Pointgod** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:47 pm

Read on Twitter

Pointgod · Post #383 » by **Pointgod** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:48 pm

robillionaire wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I definitely do not believe this

A+ rated poll on 538 has trump +4

Yeah toss this one in the trash.

MavCarter · Post #384 » by **MavCarter** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:33 pm

Economy going down was definitely 100% trump but i would also argue that the slight recovery thus far is due to obama.Obamas economy.

Post #385 » by **dakomish23** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:36 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:Tucker Carlson, what a frigging dork. Yeah, we lost the super secret data in a package and nobody backed it up or made copies. FOH you dweeb

I can't watch Fox news for more than 10-15 seconds, tops.

Even worse are the idiots who claim Fox has the same amount of journalistic integrity as CNN or MSNBC or that Maddow is equally lacking in professionalism when compared to sub-humans like Carlson or Hannity

You know who doesn’t say that?

Fox News lawyers

https://www.npr.org/2020/09/29/917747123/you-literally-cant-believe-the-facts-tucker-carlson-tells-you-so-say-fox-s-lawye

Post #386 » by **dakomish23** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:37 pm

MavCarter wrote:Economy going down was definitely 100% trump but i would also argue that the slight recovery thus far is due to obama.Obamas economy.

Only I can fix it!!!

Read on Twitter

Post #387 » by **dakomish23** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:39 pm

Pointgod wrote:
robillionaire wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I definitely do not believe this

A+ rated poll on 538 has trump +4

Yeah toss this one in the trash.

Yeah I won’t believe Texas went blue till I see it happen.

But I know a 1000% what will happen if it does - Republicans will start crying that we shouldn’t use the electoral college anymore :lol:

BKlutch · Post #388 » by **BKlutch** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:42 pm

From the NY Times today, 10/29:

The polls are here, and they tell a clear story. Not a good day for Trump.
For a couple of days now, I’ve been telling you to wait — that the polls are coming. Today they came. And they told a very clear story.

The big picture. There were a lot of polls Wednesday, and I could go on about this poll or that one. But let’s frame it this way: Was there a single state poll that qualified as good news for the president? Maybe the Ipsos poll showing him down only a point in Arizona? Otherwise, I don’t think so.

In the right-hand column of our table, only one state poll showed him within three points of his election result in a state in 2016 (it’s blue numbers all the way down). I don’t see anything suggesting any tightening, and a lot of today’s polls were conducted entirely after the final debate.

There’s just no good news for the president here, unless you want to count the Rasmussen poll — which we’ve talked about before.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/presidential-polls-trump-biden?campaign_id=177

BKlutch · Post #389 » by **BKlutch** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:54 pm

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

FiveThirtyEight.com predicts:

Biden 89% chance of winning. Trump 11%

Senate: Democrats favored to win, with a range of 48 - 56 (80% likely) with the average 51.8 seats (no, they'r not counting any of the Senators as less than one person)

House: Democrats favored to win between 227 and 256 seats (80% likely) with the average 241.3

Pointgod · Post #390 » by **Pointgod** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:57 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
robillionaire wrote:
I definitely do not believe this

A+ rated poll on 538 has trump +4

Yeah toss this one in the trash.

Yeah I won’t believe Texas went blue till I see it happen.

But I know a 1000% what will happen if it does - Republicans will start crying that we shouldn’t use the electoral college anymore

Good

stuporman · Post #391 » by **stuporman** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:30 pm

I can't believe any polls, nor exit polls because methodology changes the results and at this point I'm not sure I can even believe ballot counts in any state the Reps have any control over the state's election process. They have proven to be cheaters and liars in every way possible.

Clyde_Style · Post #392 » by **Clyde_Style** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:31 pm

I watched Borat 2 last night

Yeah, Rudy was about to whip it out

She untucked his shirt and Rudy was very pleased

Clyde_Style · Post #393 » by **Clyde_Style** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:41 pm

stuporman wrote:I can't believe any polls, nor exit polls because methodology changes the results and at this point I'm not sure I can even believe ballot counts in any state the Reps have any control over the state's election process. They have proven to be cheaters and liars in every way possible.

Your concerns aside, the massive increase in early voting turn-out is not conjectural though, it's a fact. That turn-out is not randomly favorable to either party. It is decisively a wave of blue voters. Not saying there can't be complications due to procedure, but the implications of the turn-out are pretty clear

stuporman · Post #394 » by **stuporman** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:46 pm

I don't think there is a more clear example of Trump's mindset in repeated declarations to multiple different places at rallies in battleground states that if he doesn't win there he won't ever be back is a perfect revelation of how he only cares about people for as much as they do for him or screw them.

stuporman · Post #395 » by **stuporman** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:51 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
stuporman wrote:I can't believe any polls, nor exit polls because methodology changes the results and at this point I'm not sure I can even believe ballot counts in any state the Reps have any control over the state's election process. They have proven to be cheaters and liars in every way possible.

Your concerns aside, the massive increase in early voting turn-out is not conjectural though, it's a fact. That turn-out is not randomly favorable to either party. It is decisively a wave of blue voters. Not saying there can't be complications due to procedure, but the implications of the turn-out are pretty clear

I'm definitely encouraged that voters have chosen to vote early at such a high rate not leaving it up to last minute voting that can be more easily thwarted by the Reps consistent efforts to suppress it.

I still don't trust the states that have Rep controlled processes because it's not how many or who votes, it's how many get counted and who does the counting.

Pointgod · Post #396 » by **Pointgod** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:03 pm

Read on Twitter

BKlutch · Post #397 » by **BKlutch** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:07 pm

Pointgod wrote:

Read on Twitter

So damning. This guy talks like Pete Butiegieg - very effective communicator.

Pointgod · Post #398 » by **Pointgod** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:09 pm

Pathetic. Seriously what’s wrong with the people of the South if they don’t vote enmass to get losers like Lindsey Graham and Mitch McConnell out of the government.

BKlutch · Post #399 » by **BKlutch** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:09 pm

Although I am still anxious because of 2016 and I have no insider knowledge, it seems that the early voting is unexpectely high in terms of numbers of voters and the percentage of Democrats. That should give us all a reason to ask if the polls were able to factor that in, or if this will actually push the tallies higher towards the Dems.

BallSacBounce · Post #400 » by **BallSacBounce** » Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:09 pm

Pointgod wrote:
robillionaire wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I definitely do not believe this

A+ rated poll on 538 has trump +4

Yeah toss this one in the trash.

Wingo is not giving that one up till he's done masturbating. You'll have to fight him for it. He'll only be using one hand to defend himself so it should be easy.