Chanel Bomber wrote:cgmw wrote:Luv those Knicks wrote:
I just want to point out, with the 11th spot, the odds of moving down 2 in the draft is about 1 in 900. Teams 12 and 13 would both need to get top 4 picks. That's unlikely.
Teams when they land around, you know 1-6 or 7 or even 8, odds of falling back 1 spot or even 2 or 3 is pretty high. The Knicks aren't the only team to slip in the draft, the way the lottery is set up, it's pretty common to slip backwards. One team wins a top 4 pick and moves forward, every team that picked before that team moves back one. Moving back is more common than moving up.
I wonder what the Parlay odds would be on:
1) Knicks move up to top 4 pick;
2) Knicks trade top 4 pick;
3) Knicks receive Zion
Bet it's better than 1 in 900. If we do move up top 4, I think there’s like a 90% chance Leon would trade it.
Quick question:
Would you trade for Zion, say if it cost you RJ, Obi, Cam, the Dallas pick, and 2 or 3 firsts?
He fits the criterion of a generational talent, he's young, but he also comes with major question marks.
I'm interested in your perspective since you're against most star trades (Mitchell etc.) because they don't present 1A on a championship team upside in your eyes.
Personally, in my hypothetical world of total control, no. No, I wouldn’t.
1) Zion has proven to be a big medically compromised risk reminiscent of the mistakes made on Amare and McDyess. He also is a weight/morale risk reminiscent of Eddy Cuddy.
At the very least I’d want a full medical work up from insurance companies as well as a man-to-man talk about his weight and why he decided to sit out so many games.
2) Draining the asset pool for a player not on his rookie contract would be a fatal mistake considering we are nowhere near championship caliber and would have very few remaining assets to get there.
Zion would be a marketing boon for MSG, but it’s hard to see how that would translate to wins without running mates, cap space, or draft picks. Absolute best case scenario would be Jokic without Murray or Porter, or Giannis without Middleton and Holiday. Second round exit ceiling.
That said, no IRL human working for Dolan would have the balls to turn down a Zion trade. They’d trade the kitchen sink for him and live with the risk for nothing more than the ticket sales and media frenzy.
"Sell the team. Sell the team. Sell the team."