HarthorneWingo wrote:
One the one hand, there could be a roster overhaul given the present contractual status of a number of players and then, on the other hand, Sandy is a relatively conservative player. I would feel better about things if we, at least, had a manager in place which then could attract players/agents.
I think we need to bring Stroman back on a multi-year deal because he's going to be solid. He's athletic, he stays in shape, he keeps the ball down in the zone and gets ground balls. At worst, he's a great number 3 starter.
I think we bring Thor back on a one-year deal and hope for the best.
The big questions for me are:
1. The outfield? I wouldn't be surprised if we end up with an entirely new OF next season. Chris Taylor and Castolanos are high on my list for LF and RF, respectively. I really like Nimmo but more as a 4th OF. I still thing we need an upgrade in CF
2. Catcher? I don't like McCann, the player (he may be a great guy in which case I feel really bad about this) but I'm not a fan of McCann, the catcher. Maybe it's time to bring up blueNorange's boy Alvarez and give him the starting catcher's job. I'm not sure how deGrom is going to feel about that. Maybe Nido will catch Jake?
3. The Bullpen? The big question is whether we'll replace Diaz as our closer? Loup deserves a contract extension. We have Trevor May coming back. Familia's contract has expired. So, I can see where a new regime, if one were put in place, could make changes in this department ... like most MLB teams.
4. What do we do with JD Davis, Villar, Dom Smith, Jeff McNeil, and Javy Baez? If there's a DH in the NL this coming season (assuming there is an upcoming season), then we could keep Dom at 1B and move Pete (for all intents and purposes) to DH. We'd also have the flexibility of moving Dom to LF and Pete to 1B on occasion.
5. What do we do with Robinson Cano?
Stroman is a good player to try to keep but it could turn into a bidding war. We're not the only team that will be interested. On paper, the starting rotation for 2022 is deGrom, Thor, Walker, Carrasco with Peterson & MeGill as 40 man roster players with options. They should add one major league ready starting pitcher for sure.
Alvarez is NOT going to make the starting team. He finished the year in A+ and will probably start in AA next year. Mid season callup at the earliest, maybe a September callup. Time will tell. They need to see how he does against AA and AAA pitching first.
The Bullpen is kind of interesting because they do have it mostly full at least by numbers. Diaz won't be cheap as arbitration could get him 9-10 million, but he's probably worth a 1 year 9-10 million offer and possibly a QO next year . . . if he has a strong 2022. Diaz, May, Castro, Drew Smith, SRF (might still have an option) and Trevor Williams (spot starter/long man type, I think they find a spot for him), they will all likely be back (that's 6) and if resigned, Loup is 7. Luchessi is also, maybe someone worth giving another look at in 2022, but he's probably out of options, so it gets a little crowded and I could see them trading an SRF or Luchessi to create a bit more space on their 26 man roster. Similar situation for Dom or JD Davis, where a trade could be done to create space for a free agent signing or two.
I don't know what Szapucki's option situation is, he probably has some left. He was bad in 2021 but there's some upside. Gsellman could be back, but the roster is getting kind of full so I think he gets cut or traded. I may be overlooking one or two, but by that count, that leaves only one guaranteed roster spot for the bullpen, but with Diaz, Loup, May, hopefully a healthy Drew Smith and 1 free agent, that might not be bad.
Villar & Baez are free agents. I could see the Mets signing one of them, not both. Time will tell. Villar had a nice year in 2021 and could command a multi-year deal somewhere.
Smith isn't a good fit, unless the DH is added and the whole player/owner negotiation period could be ugly. There could be a strike, possibly a long one. McNeil is a lefty bat who can play several spots reasonably well, so I think he works on the roster at least as a utility/bench bat, though there may be questions that he didn't get along with Lindor. And Cano, also a lefty bat, reportedly learning to play 3rd base and he should be willing to accept a bench role at this point, so I could see them getting rid of one of Cano/McNeil, but not both. Lefty guys who can hit a little bit off the bench are useful.
Finally, Chris Taylor & Castellanos were both offered the QO, so I think the Mets should steer clear. They'd lose the #14 pick if they sign one of those guys. The #14 and their 2nd rounder if they sign both. That's too high a cost to pay. Maybe the new bargain agreement softens that blow but for now - I don't want either guy. Neither is worth the #14 pick on top of a contract.
Marte is a little older, but wouldn't come with a penalty. I'm also curious about the Japanese player who's probably coming over, Seiya Suzuki. Japanese bats can be risks, but he's a special tallent. Probably not Ichiro or Ohtani good, but still worth bidding on.
And yes, Sandy is conservative and old-school. Cohen is not. We don't know who they're going to hire to run the show, since Sandy seems to have one foot out the door - it's an unclear situation and their hiring process has been somewhat public and embarrassing so far.
That was probably a little long, but it will be an interesting off-season to watch I think, both for the Mets and for the very good chance that there's a strike soon that could extend into the Spring, possibly into the season.
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A final note. Keep an eye on who the Mets add to their roster prior to rule 5. Vientos & Mauricio are locks. Pitchers Butto, Oller, Josh Walker, and potential utility player Carlos Cortes and long shot, AA catcher Hayden Senger could all be rule 5 protection candidates.
I think they'll protect the pitchers, maybe risk the decent bat, but challenged defensively Carlos Cortes and I don't see them protecting Senger. I don't think he stands out enough defensively and there's questions on his hitting.
Butto, Oller, Walker, if on the 40, would add some pitching depth, which is never a bad thing. Eric Orze is close and could see majors next year too, but he doesn't need to be protected, so he'll be waiting for an oportunity.
None of these players look like studs, but there is a bit of depth knocking on the door. Vientos should see some MLB action in 2022 as well. Looks to have a high homer/high strikeout profile which doesn't always work, but it can work.
Baty (AA) is a bit further away and not being on the 40 man roster yet, there's no reason to rush him and they should call him up when he's ready or if a big hole appears at 3rd base. A September callup seems perfect for him. Maurico probably has to wait for 2023 for his first taste of majors. He needs to start hitting minor league pitching a bit better first anyway, so September callups will probably be Baty and a pitcher . . . Sept 2022. But I'm probably getting ahead of myself.
Potential stud pitcher Matt Allen will miss a chunk of, possibly most or all of 2022, so he's a wait and see. There's some help coming from the system, but not a lot of help.