god shammgod wrote:Deeeez Knicks wrote:The good well run teams don’t rely on luck. They make their own luck. They make good decisions and build something sustainable, and eventually good things will happen. They put themselves in a position to get lucky.
When you are a poorly run team, luck won’t matter much. You can draft a superstar, and if you are not doing things right they will be out.
It all comes down to the Knicks have made bad decisions, and Dolan put the wrong people in charge. All the good luck in the world was not going to help us. We made our own bad luck.
Now, hopefully things have changed with Mills/Perry. If they make good decisions, it can help change our luck fast. If they make bad decisions, it will be more of the same. Its also possible they could make good decisions and things still dont work out. But I think we should be able to tell and see a difference. There should still be positive results.
and that will be because, they were unlucky. that's my whole point. if zion is the next big star in the nba and rj aint, was that a lack of planning ? if the celtics got duncan that year and the spurs got billups, they're probably still just the 3rd franchise in texas that nobody really cares about and the celtics have more than the 1 title since 86. the spurs fire popovich and he never becomes a big time coach.
and even with the wrong people in charge, had the knicks ended up with curry instead of jordan hill things would have been very different for those 2 franchises i imagine. do you need to put yourself in a position to get lucky ? it certainly helps but it doesn't make you lucky. it doesn't create luck. it just gives you an extra spin or two of the wheel. it's still up to chance mostly.
If that happens and we have bad luck, but make the best of it with good management decisions we will still see a difference. There have been plenty of teams that have built good teams without getting crazy lucky in the draft. What the Knicks have had is bad luck and bad management. I do think the bad management has brought bad luck or even negated the times we have gotten lucky. For example, we got lucky with KP and it still didn’t work out. I def agree luck plays a part, but you also need good management. The good management is the one you can control and more important though.
For example, we have seen a lot of teams get lucky in the draft and it not work out. The Pelicans drafted a superstar in AD and still messed it up. Zion can be a superstar, but if they make bad decisions they wont go far and he will eventually leave like AD. Griffin looks like he’s on the right track so far though. OKC drafted 3 MVPs and didn’t win anything. The Raptors are a team that made their own luck, and didn’t need to luck out into a superstar in the draft. They made good decisions to build there team over many years and cashed out at the perfect time for Kawhi. It was luck how it worked out, but it was mostly great management that put them in that position.
GS got lucky with Curry, but they made the pick and built a great team along with a style of play. If the Knicks drafted Curry, they probably would have screwed that one up too. We see how other players and coaches like Melo, Marbury, D’Antoni, Larry Brown, etc worked out here. Its been an endless era of dysfunction here that has been the biggest issue.
Spurs got lucky with Duncan, but it was more then luck to build so many different great teams in different eras. The Spurs know what they are doing and that is the key to their success. The Knicks have been clueless and that has been there demise. Luck can only take you so far and at some point you need to build a team that works and make good decisions. If we can finally put together a good, solid team that fits while not painting ourselves in a corner then I think the luck will follow. Even if we don’t find superstar in the draft, we can keep putting pieces together and start from somehwere. We can’t worry too much about luck, and just need to focus on making good decisions. It remains to be seen if the Knicks can do that.