Stannis wrote:stuporman wrote:All it will take is for some 'news' for people to rush back into the crypto market and there will be an inevitable bounce. It's just a matter how how patient the trader will be in sitting in a floating loss position if need be until that bounce comes.
If they get scared and bail out in a loss position whenever that bounce comes, whether it be in two weeks or two months down the road they will be one of the masses rushing back in after much of the rise has already occurred.
I'm currently under water in my present positions but still am 'up' on the account in what I started with so I'm content to hold on until it bounces. Although, the past month has been rather kind to me in the forex account because I added about 10% in that time.
I sold all my Crypto on Sunday.
I just think this tanks with the general markets. Rising interest rates environment. War. Joe Biden. Companies are starting to report layoffs. Inflation and supply chain issues are still rampant.
Bear rally has some sprinkles of "the worst is over" sentiment.
I've only been following crypto markets pretty closely for about 6 months after kinda keeping it my peripheral for a couple years. It's only the past year that I've seen some semblance of technical cohesiveness for me to be able to use technical analysis for some signals but it still is pretty chaotic in many regards.
There's definitely some concerns for the US economy that haven't just come about from this administration and have been building for many years, even decades with some of them. Republicans are more responsible than democrats for national debt and responsible for more infrastructure and production issues but it's not just as simple as that either.
Politicians in both parties have allowed corporations to run our country, write the laws and regulations to benefit them at the expense of citizens and the courts have ruled in the favor of business over citizens, communities and the environment. Both parties are guilty of it but the gop doesn't even pretend to care about the people...unless you aren't even born yet. There's no hint of this corporate rule changing as the politicians are content to hype up culture war propaganda.
Again, I'm still learning the crypto markets but it seems to me that it doesn't take much 'news' to influence big swings either way. It won't take much for the buyers to come rushing back in but I couldn't even venture a guess as to what type of fundamental analysis would create that surge. Crypto market is even more emotionally fickle than the stock market so it wouldn't have to be real 'news', even 'fake news' could do it.
If I had years of stable technical analysis so get some insight into the crypto market I'd feel more confident in making any speculation with what could be happening but at the moment I'm just working off basic principles of market dynamics to make my decisions. I surely don't claim to have any special insight into this market so take my opinions with a huge chunk of glowing Himalayan pink salt.
If you'd rather see your team fail so you can be right
...you are a fan of your opinion not the team.
?Knowledge is just information stuffed into a mental bag
Wisdom is knowing what to pull out of the bag to do the job