KnicksGadfly wrote:moocow007 wrote:RHODEY wrote:You have to think we made out well, when we were able to pick the player we wanted at 8. We probably pick that same player with the 4th pick...
At 8 it was the right pick. At 4? Not so much. Folks that hate this pick at 8, need to look at the other players that were left at 8. It's not exactly a rogues gallery of greatness. You had a unproven high upside Euro that averaged 4ppg last season and a high floor low ceiling "point guard" that can't create his own shots and has choppy handles (the double kiss of death in the NBA for a starting PG). Those were your 2 main competing options. The Knicks were screwed the minute they dropped in the lottery selection process. They needed a top 3 slot, they ended up getting up rammed up the butthole. For a butthole pick, Toppin was excellent. Hate the basketball gods, but not this pick. They made the best choice of a bad situation.
BPA, to me, is definitely not defined that easily. For example, maybe the Bulls FO would actually argue that they drafted BPA, based on long-term projections about Patrick Williams' potential and their own plans. Maybe Toppin is BPA based on your definition, but I like to factor in defense and 2-way play and I like to factor in projections about championship contribution. Toppin is more proven, a better scorer, yes, and actually, compare him to LaMelo or Edwards...he can even argue that his in-college contributions were better than theirs. But if we gave some of the guys in the draft a few extra years, could they not have gotten to his level or put up gaudy statistics as well?
I don't see the case for Toppin as that cut and dry, like a no brainer. You bring up that picking Toppin at the 4th pick would have been a mistake, so I'm assuming that Hayes or Okungwu or Okoro caught your eye, but to me, I think the fact that the Knicks were willing to pick at 5 to secure him means a lot. To me, it means that the Knicks identified him as at least the 5th best. At the very least, that should bring you concern. Why did that happen? What metrics?
I guess the biggest thing I'm willing to concede is that Toppin might be BPA for the Knicks' win-now strategy. It's clear that reports about Thibs advocating for win-now are accurate. Clear we want a vet PG and that there are options on the market. The thing is, even Toppin needs to develop, and on defense...it's not that easy to do. I think it's also fair to say that in a few years, we might be looking at this pick with regret. BPA is so subjective...a few of the studs in our league probably were not considered BPA in their drafts...now that they're all stars, should they have been counted as BPA? And if they shouldn't be, what does that say about BPA? And if they are, what does that say about our Toppin pick?
Maybe Toppin proves me wrong (and I have to hope he does), but I think this is not as easy as saying, "He's BPA. Right pick." There should be room to say, we might have screwed up. I like him, but there were other options, too.