EricAnderson wrote:Guano wrote:Well damn never would have guessed that NDoS is kuz
Ehh I feel like whoever wins the title people act like that is the template and only way to win all of a sudden. Did the same thing with the Bucks.
Here’s what’s a constant throughout the history of the NBA that 99 percent of the teams that won titles had.
A very top of the league player.
You're right that generational talent is the predominant factor behind winning championships.
But there have been fundamental changes in the game over time - whether driven by rule changes or the statistical revolution - that shapes the skill set of the players at large and impacts the archetypes that are most valuable.
Having great post defenders was largely essential until the illegal defense rules were changed and zone defense was allowed in the NBA. The rules have changed, making post play less efficient and post defense less important than they used to be (outside of two-three match-ups). You couldn't survive without it in the 70s and 80s.
The analytics revolution is likely not going to go backwards or be undone. The efficiency of the 3 has incentivized players to develop a pull-up 3. The best defense against that is to switch. The best archetype to switch and cover both bigs and smalls is a wing.
Until the next rule change, or a sudden new wave of dominant post-up bigs, switchable wings will likely be the most valuable defensive commodity for the foreseeable future. It's driven by defense. But it could definitely change in the future.
It will be interesting to see how the league adjusts to Zion, if he can stay healthy. Or Wembayama. The league adjust to its best players, because they are hardest to stop. Guys like Grant Williams could be the next generation defensive archetype who can switch but also not be overwhelmed by the physicality of a Zion. But that is dependent on Zion realizing his potential as well.
Most talented players now have a pull-up, and it needs to be accounted for defensively.
Sorry for rambling.