cgmw wrote:
I understand and empathize with fan bias toward wanting to believe the Knicks have a shot at these up-and-coming prospects, but let’s look at the objective track-record here:
• 2022: Leon keeps Burks post-deadline, late-season win streak, brags about it in letter to ticket holders, apologizes for missing playoffs, gets 11 pick, trades out of draft.
• 2021: Extends 5 veterans including Randle, brings in Fournier/Kemba as starters, trades back in first round.
• 2020: Hires coach known for not playing rookies. Takes 23 year old “backup QB” (over obvious developmental higher ceiling guard Haliburton), stocks roster with vets to play ahead of Obi + ahead of literally every young player except RJ.
Objectively, it seems highly unlikely that Leon Rose and Tom Thibs have any intention of drafting impact rookies in 2023. The track record indicates Leon will do everything in his power to leverage those picks for the veteran help that Thibs craves and Dolan demands to make the playoffs as promised in his letter to ticket holders.
This thread, like hundreds if not thousands of hours of Knick YouTube content analyzing prospects, is entertaining but a total waste of time. The purpose of threads like these is simply to make some Knick fans feel better emotionally by pretending like one of these prospects might save us.
I'm honestly not sure what to say to this.
1) I respect that you're sympathetic to unrealistic fans. I'm not able to do that. I find unrealistic viewpoints annoying.
2) . . . Keeping Burks - it depends what was offered. If somebody offered the Knicks a future first, then, yes, they should have moved him. If the offer was a 2nd round pick - no big. If we don't know what was offered, I'm not going to kill Leon for that.
3) Boasting about a win streak in a lost season is dumb, especially since fans tend to watch draft pick order.
4) Trading the 11 pick, if the Knicks didn't really believe in the guy, for 3 future firsts - is fine. The NFL has this cool chart where picks are valued so fans can look at pick trades, add up the numbers and pick winners. NBA doesn't have that, but 3 future first round picks for 1, even if the #1 is 11, That's fine. They got good return.
5) Extending 5 vets in the 2021 off season . . . with a 41-31 record, It's not what I'd have done, but I understood it. They hoped Walker had something left in the tank and he didn't.
6) Thibs plays rookies. He's playing RJ & Quickley & Mitch & Grimes and Obi got more minutes. Thibs is an odd coach, who seemed to know what he was doing in 20-21, less so 21-22. He influences the draft maybe too much though trading back cause he liked Grimes . . . not awful and trading back for McBride and adding Jokubaitis for trading back 2 spots - that was brilliant. Was that THibs or Leon or both . . . I don't know, but some of the trading back has worked out.
They turned the #19 pick into Cam Reddish - jury's still out but right now, doesn't look good.
They turned the #21 into the #25 and I think a future 2nd. If they going to draft Grimes anyway - nothing wrong with that.
- - -
I guess my point is the same. A lot of these moves aren't what I would do, but none of them scream stupidity like the Melo trade did or the Isiah moves did.
The big mistake was signing Randle, but he did kind of fool them with a career year.
The bad break was getting the #3 pick, not the #2, where they could have had Ja Morant. Part of it is bad luck.
- - -
But I'm a wait and see guy. Lets wait and see what the 22-23 season turns into. If they land Brunson. If Brunson & RJ click and turn into a dynamic duo.
Lets wait and see what happens with the 2023 first round picks - the Knicks and the Mavs and the Knicks pick could be anywhere between, say #8 and #19 . . . give or take.
The Mavs pick is top 10 protected, but could be (if they stumble) as low as #11, but I think if the Maves struggle, they'll tank, so realisitically, #16-#26 is the more likely Mavs pick range - give or take.
And maybe they have a 2nd or possibly 2, I'm not sure how the protections work.
So, lets see where the picks land, lets see what the team looks like and cross that bridge when they come to it.
- - -
I don't know. I'm not going to kill Leon for signing Randle after a career year. I think the cap space instead of holding onto the #11 pick is a very Dolan move, . . . I don't know, but they weren't well set up for a full rebuild anyway. If this team is going to rebuild, they need to trade RJ and avoid his contract when it's contract time and put a bad team out there for 2-3 years and . . . I don't know. Is that better than seeing if RJ & Brunson can win 48 games together?
I don't love Leon, but I don't blame him for Walker being awful because that strikes me as hindsight. I'm more on the fence than most.
Embiid wanted to win so badly, he deliberately injured Mitchell Robinson.
Classy.