Donovan Mitchell Discussion 4
Posted: Sat Jul 16, 2022 5:11 pm
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NoDopeOnSundays wrote:thebuzzardman wrote:robillionaire wrote:
If grimes is the player everyone here imagines (he isn’t) then surely execs around the league also understand his incredible potential and value so we might as well go ahead and sell high and cash that in now
Yeah, it's getting a little thick in here.
And I like both Grimes and IQ
And, Knicks need to retain some youth, as much as possible, for quality of bench and for some semblance of future flexibility.
There are scenarios where letting IQ go makes sense, there are others where it's Grimes.
I mean, common sense ones, not which player someone likes more.
Right now, with zero trade, /Rose/IQ/Grimes/Cam/McBride represent some level of glut behind Brunson, Fournier, RJ and even Obi.
If somehow just Fournier goes (impossibly) for Mitchell, same glut remains, broadly. Even pretending Mitchell can't see time at PG, which he can.
Start putting in who matches salary with Fournier, try to hold onto a player with some PG skills (maybe) and then there are choices between IQ or Grimes, Grimes or Cam, Cam or Obi, all of which have conditions on if Rose is the other player with Fournier, or Obi, etc.
TL/DR - If Mitchell comes in, Knicks can pretty easily send 3 players out.
It's the combination of picks and players that's the problem for me, if it were one or the other fine, but it's both which makes it hard to restock the cabinet.
That is the point of these kind of trades for the team giving up the star, they want both because it makes it much more difficult to put together a coherent roster the longer the team is together which in turn improves the future picks they traded for. Just look at all the playoffs teams, they had depth that consisted of a lot of guys found later in the draft, it's rare to put together a great team now with these kind of trades. Even the Clippers have found it difficult and they've got two vastly superior players to what we have.
My issue with the Mitchell trade is the redundancy of Brunson and Mitchell, we just saw the Nets fail trying to put together a team simply based on talent, regardless of fit. I like Grimes, he has two way potential, people only think about the scoring someone like Mitchell will bring, and not what he's going to give up on the other end, and what happens in the event some team we're playing has a guy that can go toe to toe with him scoring wise (amplified by his bad defense), but will also negatively impact his efficiency on the other end. The Hawks just made a trade to get bigger & more defensive in their backcourt, at a time teams are upsizing on the perimeter and downsizing in the frontcourt, we're going the opposite direction
bearadonisdna wrote:Chanel Bomber wrote:bearadonisdna wrote:
Burks is yesterdays news.
Yes I’m aware he was positive as a starter but that has really no bearing on Mitchs weaknesses now or in the future.
Not sure why you think the team ideal spacing . Last years team was DOA so they were behind the 8ball from the get go.
The regression from the center position was Noel having positive play and then now negative play from Mitch so there is every bit of a regression from the position .
You mentioned the line-up as a whole from last season, which Burks was a part of.
I brought him up along with Mitch because you seemed to suggest that Randle and RJ could be excused for their inefficiency because they were part of a "historically bad lineup". Yet both Randle and RJ performed worse than their fellow starters (Fournier, Burks, Mitch) according to the best available impact metrics.
The play of Randle and RJ was the primary reason why the line-up was historically bad to begin with.
The same metrics show that Mitch played better this past season than Noel did the year before. They are both rim protectors/rim-runners, so the change didn't affect the structure of the team or the way they played. The reasons behind the Knicks' regression are found elsewhere: the injury to our best player (Derrick Rose), the team's spectacular regression to the mean in 3-point shooting and the defensive regression (Randle's regression, RJ's regression, the regression from Bullock to Fournier). Those things demonstrably happened. There's no statistical evidence backing your stance that Mitch's play was negative or that there was a regression from the 5 spot that would explain the team's regression.
This stat is going to hurt you.
post allstar break.
julius: positive play
rj: positive play
fournier: positive play
burks even: positive play
Mitch : Negative play
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/r/randlju01/splits/2022
the well o mitch is never ending my guy. The impact metics got you championing the least effective players on the team and you confusing and disguising efficiency for impact or total value.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/r/robinmi01.html
Capn'O wrote:If Huerter played solid defense he'd be one of the more sought after players in the league.
Congratulations, you played yourselves.
Capn'O wrote:If Donovan played solid defense he'd be one of the more sought after players in the league.
Congratulations, you played yourselves.
Guano wrote:Capn'O wrote:If RJ played solid defense he'd be one of the more sought after players in the league.
Congratulations, you played yourselves.
Fury wrote:Guano wrote:Capn'O wrote:If RJ played solid offense he'd be one of the more sought after players in the league.
Congratulations, you played yourselves.
thebuzzardman wrote:Capn'O wrote:If Huerter played solid defense he'd be one of the more sought after players in the league.
Congratulations, you played yourselves.
It was a joke - an attempt to find an "ok" player, but is that player, as a whole, that great? With the current version of Huerter proven to be better than Grimes - at the moment, just based on the body of work.
Grimes could wind up better as soon as this season.
Point is, we like the young guys, the good news is they are actually decent, but also not get carried away.
And every one of my posts is about how in one trade it might make sense to retain IQ, but in another Grimes.
Generally, I think Grimes staying makes sense in more scenarios, but not all. Not specifically.
Again, it's pretty nice that outside each players hater contingent, most of the board likes Obi or IQ or Grimes or even Cam.
I mean, imagine it's Tony Douglas in these scenarios. There might be like the one weird guy wanting to hold on to him in the trade.