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Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal

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JoshuaPotter
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#21 » by JoshuaPotter » Wed Dec 27, 2023 3:20 pm

drsd wrote:If the Magic plays 50% ball the rest of the season, this team finishes with a 44-38 record. If the Magic continues to play at their current rate, then the team finishes 50-32.

It has got to be every fans expectation that the 44 wins to 50 wins is the window the Magic land within. Correct?
That has Orlando from the 4-seed to the 7-seed. Meaning the direct-playoffs are more likely than the play-ins.


50 is still possible. I was one of the earliest to call it and I am ride or die. (But I am not going to die if they dont lol)

MagicFan101 wrote:
drsd wrote:If the Magic plays 50% ball the rest of the season, this team finishes with a 44-38 record. If the Magic continues to play at their current rate, then the team finishes 50-32.

It has got to be every fans expectation that the 44 wins to 50 wins is the window the Magic land within. Correct?
That has Orlando from the 4-seed to the 7-seed. Meaning the direct-playoffs are more likely than the play-ins.


The X-Factor is whether or not Orlando makes a play for another guard with reliable shooting / scoring (Tyus Jones, Anfernee Simons, so on) by trading away Fultz, Picks and others. A deal like that throws all of this analysis out the window.


I like this idea as much as the next guy. I also 100% do not see it happening now. If anything we are trading expiring for assets or simply letting them walk. This idea, or even notion that we are window shopping has just never really been our forte as a team.

At the start of the year, the expectation was play-ins I would assume. Now we are talking playoffs. Some of us. Myself included are talking a 50 win team. I do not see the Magic trading for a player with who will take away significant playing time from a player that has thus far put us on pace to win 46 and doing it relatively young.

In conclusion. All this is fantasy NBA trade simulator. It ain't happening. IMHO.
The-Stallion70
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#22 » by The-Stallion70 » Wed Dec 27, 2023 7:42 pm

drsd wrote:If the Magic plays 50% ball the rest of the season, this team finishes with a 44-38 record. If the Magic continues to play at their current rate, then the team finishes 50-32.

.


Appears possible, the Magic's remaining schedule SOS is 26th.

https://www.tankathon.com/remaining_schedule_strength
California Gold wrote:This is extra because people hate the Lakers and their brand so much.

This trade wasn't some conspiracy - it was just a GM wanting AD bad enough where in most people's eyes he overpaid by a long shot to get him.
MagicFan101
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#23 » by MagicFan101 » Thu Dec 28, 2023 2:17 am

JoshuaPotter wrote:
MagicFan101 wrote:
The X-Factor is whether or not Orlando makes a play for another guard with reliable shooting / scoring (Tyus Jones, Anfernee Simons, so on) by trading away Fultz, Picks and others. A deal like that throws all of this analysis out the window.


I like this idea as much as the next guy. I also 100% do not see it happening now. If anything we are trading expiring for assets or simply letting them walk. This idea, or even notion that we are window shopping has just never really been our forte as a team.

At the start of the year, the expectation was play-ins I would assume. Now we are talking playoffs. Some of us. Myself included are talking a 50 win team. I do not see the Magic trading for a player with who will take away significant playing time from a player that has thus far put us on pace to win 46 and doing it relatively young.

In conclusion. All this is fantasy NBA trade simulator. It ain't happening. IMHO.



I understand that what you are saying is the norm for the current management group. However, this season is different. Unlike seasons past with Vuc, we have a LEGIT young franchise super star we are building around. We are a franchise plagued by super stars demanding their way out. Staying ahead of that is important.

We can’t keep pointing to next season.

Yes, making the playoffs will be a big leap forward this season but we are seeing how much this team struggles against better teams when shots aren’t falling.

Our best chance at getting “our guy” might be to leverage the expiring contracts we have at the deadline rather than go into the offseason and use our cap space.
JBSouthpaw
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Re: Look ahead and stay the course 

Post#24 » by JBSouthpaw » Mon Jan 8, 2024 1:32 pm

UCFJayBird wrote:
MasterGMer wrote:Our January schedule is going to be brutal. If we can not stay the course, we can possibly lose 8 or 9 games in a row. Lots of road games against Playoff teams and home games against contenders. I am just waiting to see when Markelle comes back. Hope he can give us a boost, but not so much. He has been disappointing this season and I am sure his clock is tickling.

This team proved we can hang on with anybody. But it is not going to be easy.

What is your guys prediction of January schedule?


January schedule

at Golden State - W
at Sacramento - L
at Denver - L
vs Atlanta - W
vs Minnesota - W
at Miami - L
at OKC - L
at New York - L
at Atlanta - W
vs Philadelphia - L
vs Miami - W
vs Cleveland - W
at Memphis - W
vs Phoenix - W
at Dallas - L
at San Antonio - W

9-7 overall for January. But could easily see that be 7-9.
10 Road Games makes it really difficult. Not too many B2Bs, not sure how our opponent's schedules play out that way. A lot of the games above I could see being toss ups.

The question really becomes can the team get healthier and be a bit more consistent from distance. If so, they can easily go 10-6 in this stretch. I think it's an easier stretch than the last two weeks of December, but still fairly tough.


On pace with your W/L total. 2-4.

1 more win, and we tie our win total from just 2 seasons ago.
With 21 wins currently, we go .500 (23-23) the rest of the way we'll be at 44-38, which would be a 10 game improvement.
We go 21-25, we still finish the season at .500.
TheChaser
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#25 » by TheChaser » Mon Jan 8, 2024 1:44 pm

I keep hearing this same sentiment: our schedule to start the year is brutal! December is gonna be rough! Or now it’s the January schedule that will get us. How about it’s the nba and all the games are tough. We have a pretty good team, we just need to get healthy.
maginno wrote:There is nothing wrong with this team that putting a few unloaded guns in Carter's gym bag will not solve.
ORLMagicGirl15
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#26 » by ORLMagicGirl15 » Mon Jan 8, 2024 3:14 pm

TheChaser wrote:I keep hearing this same sentiment: our schedule to start the year is brutal! December is gonna be rough! Or now it’s the January schedule that will get us. How about it’s the nba and all the games are tough. We have a pretty good team, we just need to get healthy.

That is due to the dynamics of each team and road trip. The start of our schedule was very road game heavy and an early west coach trip to boot. Then comes December where we played all the good eastern conference teams and January we have a ton of west coast games with tons of ascending teams. Yeah, it is the NBA and the games are tough but some are tougher than others.
For God so loved the world that He gave His only begotten Son, that whoever believes in Him should not perish but have everlasting life.-John 3:16

Go Magic, Go Dwight, Go Vuc, Go Paolo, Go Keegan :)
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tooler
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Re: Look ahead and our January schedule is going to be brutal 

Post#27 » by tooler » Mon Jan 8, 2024 6:30 pm

I don't know how much stock to put into strength of schedule numbers, but Orlando's is currently dead last -- in a good way.

https://www.tankathon.com/remaining_schedule_strength

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