Fortune Teller wrote:I'm not so sure the best way to characterize this season for JI is a regression. He's barely played over the course of his 8 years here so it's impossible to really expect anything specific from him. So while it may technically be a statistical regression from last season it's certainly not a surprising one.
Last summer most people on this board were saying it was a no-brainer to re-sign him because even in limited minutes his production was worth his salary. The flaw in that logic, as I pointed out then, is that there was zero evidence to suggest he would even be able to repeat last season's performance, as mid as it was.
Last season was an anomaly health-wise because he actually made it through the whole season, but he looked spent in the playoffs and was completely ineffective against the Cavs when it mattered most. His numbers were better last season and he looked more mobile but he was playing a paltry 15.8 mpg and still missed 24 games. If you take off your Orlando Magic glasses what he's doing this year isn't surprising at all and that's why no team in the NBA would still be paying this guy what the Magic are in his 8th year of sporadic, inconsistent production and health.
Cue the "but they had to spend the $26 million somewhere so we might as well keep re-signing these same broken players" posts.
The main issue I have with JI isn’t just availability. Even though that’s obviously been his biggest issue for his career.
My issue with him is his role on this team relative to his overall value as a player.
Now, if you were to tell me Orlando was built like say… Cleveland… and a huge portion of their cap was tied up in two A+ to B+ back court players, who they rely on for scoring output, then I can absolutely see paying a player like JI a good chunk of money to be your defensive pillar.
That’s just not the case here.
JI will never have a big role on this roster. He’s playing behind two 6’10 forwards that by all clear indications are absolutely required to be on the floor for the offense to work even on a basic level. That is all just factually true even before we factor in the notion of his health and how they treat his minutes.
A secondary unit with Moe Wagner getting a million touches is really the only reason JI is worth anything right now. Wagners abysmal defense for a big keeps JI slightly relevant. Still, he’s not irreplaceable. The minutes just don’t exist.
I do believe he’s still overpaid for what he’s actually providing. Why? Because I’d rather the second unit actually have those resources spent elsewhere. His value as an asset is better served in a trade and not some random 12-14 mpg defending against the bench units of opposing teams when Paolo happens to not be in the game.
Discussing JI as anything other than that is just pure homerism Vin Diesel family meme crap. And I wouldn’t be surprised if ownership just loves him for every other reason outside of basketball, which shouldn’t really be how they make decisions. Then again, they’d have the entire graduating Michigan basketball team in Osceola if they could.