Zmill wrote:I understand now. I'm not sure if I think Beal will be elite, but I can see him slipping into an ASG or two. What's with the hate for Lilliard?
Not hating, I just don't rate him as highly as he's been touted. I don't think he's athletic enough to be as dominant in the NBA. He plays smaller than his size, and when he jumps it's like he gets no real benefit from it (kind of like Jameer). His biggest advantage inside is his wingspan, but I think that will be nullified by playing against bigger, faster competition. His shooting is what will keep him in the league - I can't deny that the kid can shoot the lights out.
I think he'll have a dominant rookie campaign, and maybe average up to 17ppg. But I think he goes downhill from there, a bit like Aaron Brooks. He won't be a prolific enough scorer like Monta or Jennings to warrant keeping him as a starter, and within a couple years Portland will have drafted another PG with more of a true PG game.
He could easily prove me wrong. Jameer has managed to have success as a scorer in this league, and I see Lillard as a taller, slightly slower version of him. But I think there are guys in the league who are already much better than him and they still struggle (ie, Augustin).