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Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV, Mods Close))

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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#141 » by CraZyPraiZ » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:18 pm

AhaAha wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1TGwL2b7dg[/youtube]

don't see Ryno doing some of this stuff...except some of the 3 pointers (without the fakes)


As much as I ragged on marshmallow while he was here, I do miss the Rashard from the first few years here. Eventually Stan should have moved him back to SF where I am sure Rashard would have been great. He did sacrifice a lot by playing against bigger and stronger players every single night. With that being said I have never seen a softer player on defense but there is no way Ryan is as accomplished on offense as Rashard was.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#142 » by AhaAha » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:24 pm

pogiro wrote:
AhaAha wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1TGwL2b7dg[/youtube]

don't see Ryno doing some of this stuff...except some of the 3 pointers (without the fakes)


Yup, easy to forget. Shard could score in a lot of ways. He was fine putting the ball on the floor. I think it's because of the high expectations he had on him when he got here than people are questioning his game today. Ryan Anderson was a throw in on a deal that involved Vince Carter. Not many people here knew about him. He's developed pretty well, but he's no Rashard Lewis. I'm open to the possibility that he could match his impact on the game. But there's things he'll never do as well as Shard. Some of those things can't be taught.


This. No way he reaches Rashard offensively. but he can develop other aspects of the game to have an impact while still scoring alot of points. I believe some muscle/power would help him defend and he could box out better for the defensive rebound for example.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#143 » by I Rasharted » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:29 pm

So no real rumors at all right now? Huh. Well, it was always all about March 15th anyway.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#144 » by qbanb » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:35 pm

AhaAha wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1TGwL2b7dg[/youtube]

don't see Ryno doing some of this stuff...except some of the 3 pointers (without the fakes)


I liked Rashard alot, I was glad when the magic got him. I do think he was overpaid, but he became one my favorite magic players of all time.

I was frustrated with him during the boston series but I think he got too much criticism for that series. I was really hoping he would've been franchised and would've came back for less money.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#145 » by ChildishGambino » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:38 pm

Ryan can probably never be able to do some of the same things offensively Shard was capable of but he can certainly be an offensive force all his own....in the same respect Shard was never the rebounder Ryan is right now....I still miss Shard though....Sometimes i think what would of happened if Stan wised up and played shard at his right position.....

Nelson
Vince
Shard
Gortat
Howard

makes you think what could of been.....to be honest though...we should of never blew up the Finals team like we did....maybe make some small changes not nuke the whole thing....
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#146 » by RickB-Orlando » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:40 pm

pogiro wrote:
RickB-Orlando wrote:And yet Shard's numbers decreased as a result of the system that has supposedly elevated Ryan's numbers. I still haven't seen an explanation for that.

Yes, Ryan has more game to develop, but that's not a bad thing. The guy is 23 and averaging (basically) what Rashard did while he was here, except with twice as many RPG. The rebounds are certainly not a product of the system.


Are you using Shard's decrease in offensive production when he arrived, and Anderson's improvement as a factor to show Anderson's better? If so, that doesn't even make sense.

I didn't say Ryan was better, I simply point out that claiming his production is purely a result of the system - which almost everyone on this board says has not changed in years - seems to be at odds with the statistical evidence. I'm not knocking Shard, I maintain that without him on the team there is no finals trip.

Shard's numbers decreased here because he had more scorers around him than he did in Seattle. Here, he had to compete with Dwight, Hedo, and Jameer for baskets. He was THE GUY for the Sonics so of course his numbers came down.

Anderson is our #2 option on offense, in my eyes there's no question about that. Jameer and Turk have regressed since Shard was here. I think that's why you guys think he's better than Shard, because we need Anderson more than we needed Shard.


Except he's not. The Magic never run a play for Ryan, yet he's the second leading scorer on the team. If you watch the games, you won't see a set play run for Ryan where he's the number one option on the play; it rarely if ever happens.

And back to Ryan's improvement and Shard's decreased offensive production... Shard's came down from 20pts/g. Anderson moved from rookie minutes, to 6th man minutes, to full-time starter, of course he's going to improve.


I think it can be argued that a scorer moving to a team with a dominant big man has the potential to have more scoring opportunities than on a team where that isn't the case. Shard had many more open shots here than he ever did with Seattle, due to the doubling of Dwight.

I'd take 09 Shard over Anderson today in a heartbeat.


In a vacuum, yes, but when you compare ages and potential, I can't see it. Shard may have peaked before he got here, he in 2009 he was a good player near the top of his career; and again,without him there's no way we get to the finals. But given the age difference and potential for growth, I think it's a much closer call. People seem to skip over the fact that Anderson is only 23 as if it doesn't matter, but it does. He has room to improve, without question, but plenty of time to do so.

If you look at Shard's stats in the first few years he played starter minutes, his stats were 14/6 and 16/7, very similar to what Ryan is doing this year. A lot of folks on this board write about Ryan as if he's as good as he is going to get. I don't think there's any reason to thin that's the case.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#147 » by BelgianMagic » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:44 pm

The last 24hrs have been so boring in this thread .. We need some rumors ASAP or we'll never get this to 20 parts 8-)
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#148 » by drsd » Sun Mar 4, 2012 3:56 pm

BelgianMagic wrote:The last 24hrs have been so boring in this thread .. We need some rumors ASAP or we'll never get this to 20 parts 8-)


There is only 11 days to the trade deadline; we will all need to pick up the pace to get to 20 threads of 100 pages of 15 posts per page! (That's ~30K posts, BTW!!!).
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#149 » by pogiro » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:00 pm

RickB-Orlando wrote:I didn't say Ryan was better, I simply point out that claiming his production is purely a result of the system - which almost everyone on this board says has not changed in years - seems to be at odds with the statistical evidence. I'm not knocking Shard, I maintain that without him on the team there is no finals trip.


Can't say it doesn't have anything to do with the system tho. Van Gundy's teams do take a ton of 3s. Not to say he wouldn't be an impact player elsewhere tho.

Except he's not. The Magic never run a play for Ryan, yet he's the second leading scorer on the team. If you watch the games, you won't see a set play run for Ryan where he's the number one option on the play; it rarely if ever happens.


That's true. But Shard's role in the offense was very hard to figure out too, especially when Vince arrived. I say he was the #2 option, but really, he could have been 3rd or even 4th on some nights.

I think it can be argued that a scorer moving to a team with a dominant big man has the potential to have more scoring opportunities than on a team where that isn't the case. Shard had many more open shots here than he ever did with Seattle, due to the doubling of Dwight.


Ehhhhh. M not going to follow you there. Yea he's coming to a dominant big man, but there's only one ball. And when Shard's not used to getting the ball in the post, and us trying to develop Dwight's role in the offense, it can cause a lot of indecision and mess with Shard's game. I think going from a team where you are the only option pretty much, to a team where there's a lot more viable options will have more impact on yer scoring than Dwight giving him more open looks.

In a vacuum, yes, but when you compare ages and potential, I can't see it. Shard may have peaked before he got here, he in 2009 he was a good player near the top of his career; and again,without him there's no way we get to the finals. But given the age difference and potential for growth, I think it's a much closer call. People seem to skip over the fact that Anderson is only 23 as if it doesn't matter, but it does. He has room to improve, without question, but plenty of time to do so.

If you look at Shard's stats in the first few years he played starter minutes, his stats were 14/6 and 16/7, very similar to what Ryan is doing this year. A lot of folks on this board write about Ryan as if he's as good as he is going to get. I don't think there's any reason to thin that's the case.


Potential schmotential. How often does a player come around a reach his supposed potential? Plus, I know it wasn't you that said it, but other guy was saying Anderson is better than Shard was. Can Anderson improve? Surely. I think he coooooould make an All-Star game. I doubt it. But he could. He needs to add more to his offensive repertoire, tho. And that's not from a statistical perspective. Watching Shard and Anderson, it's obvious Shard had more tricks in his bag. Anderson can try to add those tricks, but it won't be as natural, and in crunch time and come playoffs, it'll be easier to shut down.

(Gotta study, gonna try not to come back to this discussion)
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#150 » by Nyce_1 » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:08 pm

magicfan4life05 wrote:FWIW

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/o ... 049.column

The Magic knew Howard so well that they were accustomed to deprogramming him after he returned from the summers listening to people tell him what a superstar of his stature needed. Only this time he had the power to exit.

I don't know exactly what's changed since December with Dwight, but something has.


^^ Hmm...

If that was a quote from anyone of significance, it would've raised an eyebrow and peaked my optimism radar; however, that line is just BS' observation. Nothing to see here, folks.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#151 » by AhaAha » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:13 pm

Except he's not. The Magic never run a play for Ryan, yet he's the second leading scorer on the team. If you watch the games, you won't see a set play run for Ryan where he's the number one option on the play; it rarely if ever happens.

75% of his Field Goals are assisted thats enough of a set play for me.

This pretty much sums him up:

http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=2095
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#152 » by rcklsscognition » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:35 pm

Pressure it increasing on New Jersey to acquire Dwight before D-Will loses faith in the Nets. I think we see the Nets propose their best 3-way trade for Dwight on the 9th/10th. Possibly we see a trade not involving Dwight announced before the Spurs game which is on the road after a 2 game home stand.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#153 » by Nyce_1 » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:51 pm

rcklsscognition wrote:Pressure it increasing on New Jersey to acquire Dwight before D-Will loses faith in the Nets. I think we see the Nets propose their best 3-way trade for Dwight on the 9th/10th. Possibly we see a trade not involving Dwight announced before the Spurs game which is on the road after a 2 game home stand.

I wonder if the Nets would ever consider dealing DWill to us if they know he's 100% gone to Dallas? Would teams give them serious assets in exchange if those DWill-to-Dallas rumors are true?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#154 » by DaMVP23 » Sun Mar 4, 2012 4:58 pm

I heard a rumor about Josh Smith landing in Orlando. Alex Kennedy sent a tweet out this morning. I won't believe it until I see it, but it's enticing to hear about who Otis is trying to pull here to keep Dwight.

I want Monta Ellis but he'll be pretty difficult to pry away from GSW.
I think with ATL they'd want cap relief.

Either one would have to be a three team, or four team trade.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#155 » by eyriq » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:01 pm

All the while SVG continues to show he is a top coach in the NBA... Magic now 6th according to Hollinger's automated Power Rankings, and 4th in margin of victory over the last ten games.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#156 » by Nyce_1 » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:02 pm

DaMVP23 wrote:I heard a rumor about Josh Smith landing in Orlando. Alex Kennedy sent a tweet out this morning. I won't believe it until I see it, but it's enticing to hear about who Otis is trying to pull here to keep Dwight.

I want Monta Ellis but he'll be pretty difficult to pry away from GSW.
I think with ATL they'd want cap relief.

Either one would have to be a three team, or four team trade.
did you hear a rumor from someone then saw Kennedy tweet about it, or the rumor you're speaking of IS Kennedy's tweet?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#157 » by rcklsscognition » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:07 pm

I was just reading a Ray Allen to the Clippers rumor and checked out Ray. He's 6 years older than J-Rich and is basically the exact same player. J-Rich plays a lot less minutes than Ray and has nearly identical PER. Ray is making 10 million a year, J-Rich will be making 6 mil per. J-Rich shoots slightly worse from 3 over his career (nearly identical this year) and slightly less from the field. I think J-Rich is on a great deal and he is definitely very trade able either this year or next.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#158 » by tiderulz » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:13 pm

AhaAha wrote:Except he's not. The Magic never run a play for Ryan, yet he's the second leading scorer on the team. If you watch the games, you won't see a set play run for Ryan where he's the number one option on the play; it rarely if ever happens.

75% of his Field Goals are assisted thats enough of a set play for me.

This pretty much sums him up:

http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=2095


i agree to this somewhat, except that his strength is shooting 3-ptrs. He doesnt have a real post game so there is no reason to run a play for that, and while they dont "run" a play for him, he basically has the green light to shoot a 3 whenever he wants.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#159 » by SubyWill » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:15 pm

Saw this on the Nets board. They get Dwight and Josh Smith! Seems like a fair deal! Amirite?

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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#160 » by thelead » Sun Mar 4, 2012 5:21 pm

SubyWill wrote:Saw this on the Nets board. They get Dwight and Josh Smith! Seems like a fair deal! Amirite?

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Why don't they take Ryan and Horford while they're at it :lol:
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