ImageImageImageImage

Race for Ping Pong Balls

Moderators: UCF, Knightro, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, Howard Mass, ChosenSavior

User avatar
Knightro
Forum Mod - Magic
Forum Mod - Magic
Posts: 28,717
And1: 29,778
Joined: Dec 18, 2010
Location: Jersey
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#141 » by Knightro » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:22 am

basketballRob wrote:Hawks up 8 on the Bulls.


Read on Twitter
User avatar
RookieStar
RealGM
Posts: 28,010
And1: 8,159
Joined: Jul 01, 2009
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#142 » by RookieStar » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:24 am

So good day? Bulls and us lost. Too bad about MIN i thought they were gonna do a miracle.
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,976
And1: 30,521
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#143 » by thelead » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:33 am

Knightro wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Hawks up 8 on the Bulls.


Read on Twitter

I’ve been watching a lot of the bulls games because I’m intrigued by the Zach+Vuc’s combo (I wanted us to trade AG for Zach a few years ago before he blew up). And I haven’t posted about it because the Vuc fans would come out to bash me but... Vuc is an empty stat player. He isn’t a ‘loser’ but he isn’t a winner either. The amount of points he gives up in the paint is crazy. Billy Donovan doesn’t do them any favors either. That team is poorly constructed and coached. They have two good pieces but need a lot of work.
Image
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#144 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 3:07 am

Knightro wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Hawks up 8 on the Bulls.


Read on Twitter
Capela always gives Vuc a hard time.

Washington up 7 at the half, they should be up 20, they just blew so many shots.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#145 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:20 am

Wizards up 3 with 1.2 seconds left.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#146 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:22 am

Wizards win, we're up 2 games on the 4th place.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
User avatar
Anti Chalmers
Analyst
Posts: 3,111
And1: 2,910
Joined: Jul 25, 2009
Location: :)
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#147 » by Anti Chalmers » Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:22 am

Only 1 game behind DET for #3 pick.
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,976
And1: 30,521
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#148 » by thelead » Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:25 am

basketballRob wrote:Wizards win, we're up 2 games on the 4th place.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app

Huge win for them. They’re terrible though. I wish they were better coached. I would actually believe they could catch the Bulls if they were better coached.
Image
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#149 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:27 am

thelead wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Wizards win, we're up 2 games on the 4th place.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app

Huge win for them. They’re terrible though. I wish they were better coached. I would actually believe they could catch the Bulls if they were better coached.
I'm just happy they're up 2 on us. No way they catch the Bulls.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
User avatar
drsd
RealGM
Posts: 39,269
And1: 8,977
Joined: Mar 16, 2003
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#150 » by drsd » Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:09 am

basketballRob wrote:Wizards win, we're up 2 games on the 4th place.

Anti Chalmers wrote:Only 1 game behind DET for #3 pick.


After yesterday's games:
Orlando is 2 1/2 games worse that #5 Washington
Orlando is 1 game better than #3 Detroit

Chicago has slid to the 10th worst team.
User avatar
drsd
RealGM
Posts: 39,269
And1: 8,977
Joined: Mar 16, 2003
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#151 » by drsd » Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:13 am

With the Bulls loss to the Hawks:

As the 10-seed in the East, if the Bulls were to win two play-in games, the Magic would get the 15th pick in the draft. If they were not two win those two games, the pick would be conveyed at a 86.12% chance (that is, there is a 13.88% chance the pick would not convey).



Right now, the Bulls would first play the Pacers then the loser of the Knicks and the Celts. If we assume the Bulls has a 45% chance to win either game, then winning both is at a 20.25% chance.

Taken together, I thus estimate that the Bulls pick would convey at a 20.25% + 68.68% = 88.93% . And that would either be at the #15-selection or the #10-selection, with respective odds shown. (( the 10th pick would slide if a team worse than Chicago goes top-4 in the lottery )).


(( 68.68% is the probability the Bulls pick is not the 15th pick - but does convey as the 10th selection. This is 86.12% * 79.75%. ))
The 79.75% is the probability of Chicago missing the playoffs; i.e. not winning two play-in games.
Nyce_1
RealGM
Posts: 12,969
And1: 6,114
Joined: Jun 29, 2009
Location: Tampa
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#152 » by Nyce_1 » Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:25 pm

Tonight, I expect everyone to lose, but 1 silver lining, Raptors @ Cavs is a win/win. Cavs win and we separate more; Raptors win and they keep up with Bulls for play-in spot.

7:30p Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
9:00p Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
10:00p Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
10:00p Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns
10:00p Detroit Pistons @ Portland Trail Blazers
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#153 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:13 pm

Nyce_1 wrote:Tonight, I expect everyone to lose, but 1 silver lining, Raptors @ Cavs is a win/win. Cavs win and we separate more; Raptors win and they keep up with Bulls for play-in spot.

7:30p Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
9:00p Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
10:00p Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
10:00p Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns
10:00p Detroit Pistons @ Portland Trail Blazers
Golden State and Philadelphia are on B2B and Embiid will likely rest.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
GelbeWand09
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,750
And1: 2,085
Joined: Apr 17, 2018
       

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#154 » by GelbeWand09 » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:37 pm

basketballRob wrote:
Nyce_1 wrote:Tonight, I expect everyone to lose, but 1 silver lining, Raptors @ Cavs is a win/win. Cavs win and we separate more; Raptors win and they keep up with Bulls for play-in spot.

7:30p Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
9:00p Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
10:00p Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
10:00p Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns
10:00p Detroit Pistons @ Portland Trail Blazers
Golden State and Philadelphia are on B2B and Embiid will likely rest.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app


If Embiid, Simmons, Harris, Thybulle, Dwight & Green miss that game, than this OKC team got maybe a 50/50 chance to win :lol:
pepe1991
RealGM
Posts: 23,405
And1: 19,505
Joined: Jan 10, 2016
   

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#155 » by pepe1991 » Sat Apr 10, 2021 2:51 pm

OKC current rotation:
Moses Brown- 21 years old -undrafted
Kendrich Williams- 26- undrafted
Aleks Pokuševski- 19 years old, 180 pounds boy ( very talented tho)
Theo Maledon- 19 years old boy, 170 pounds
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk- 23 years old - closest thing to rotation player


Yea... this is 76ers -MCW -ROY- level sucking
Life is what happens when you're busy making other plans. -John Lennon
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#156 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 3:15 pm

GelbeWand09 wrote:
basketballRob wrote:
Nyce_1 wrote:Tonight, I expect everyone to lose, but 1 silver lining, Raptors @ Cavs is a win/win. Cavs win and we separate more; Raptors win and they keep up with Bulls for play-in spot.

7:30p Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
9:00p Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
10:00p Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
10:00p Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns
10:00p Detroit Pistons @ Portland Trail Blazers
Golden State and Philadelphia are on B2B and Embiid will likely rest.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app


If Embiid, Simmons, Harris, Thybulle, Dwight & Green miss that game, than this OKC team got maybe a 50/50 chance to win
Hopefully they get Dort back.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
zaymon
Head Coach
Posts: 6,143
And1: 3,444
Joined: Jul 01, 2015
   

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#157 » by zaymon » Sat Apr 10, 2021 7:06 pm

pepe1991 wrote:OKC current rotation:
Moses Brown- 21 years old -undrafted
Kendrich Williams- 26- undrafted
Aleks Pokuševski- 19 years old, 180 pounds boy ( very talented tho)
Theo Maledon- 19 years old boy, 170 pounds
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk- 23 years old - closest thing to rotation player


Yea... this is 76ers -MCW -ROY- level sucking

I hope they fall outside top 5. Disgusting tankers.
My money is on Banchero going number 1 !
basketballRob
RealGM
Posts: 37,561
And1: 14,990
Joined: May 05, 2014
     

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#158 » by basketballRob » Sat Apr 10, 2021 11:08 pm

If the Bucks rest all the starters, we'll likely win tomorrow.

https://www.nba.com/news/bucks-could-be-missing-all-5-starters-against-hornets

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,976
And1: 30,521
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#159 » by thelead » Sun Apr 11, 2021 12:16 am

The amount of tanking going on is just crazy. Some of these teams have literally g-league players playing major minutes while starters are not even suited up.
Image
User avatar
PrimeThyme
RealGM
Posts: 10,626
And1: 14,565
Joined: May 25, 2016
Location: Doak Campbell
 

Re: Race for Ping Pong Balls 

Post#160 » by PrimeThyme » Sun Apr 11, 2021 12:29 am

thelead wrote:The amount of tanking going on is just crazy. Some of these teams have literally g-league players playing major minutes while starters are not even suited up.

&& this is despite the new lottery odds which without a doubt reduce the incentive to tank. All you have to do is look at the results from the previous 2 drafts or go over to tankathon, sim a few times, && see how often we, even with the 4th best odds, finish with the 6th-8th pick in the draft.

That's why I'm personally not too excited about high odds one way or the other. I'd like to have the best odds, to ensure a top 5 pick, but that doesn't seem likely at all at this point.
Image

Return to Orlando Magic