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Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team"

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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1501 » by pepe1991 » Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:22 pm

jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
He additionally said 2021 looks the same.

This is the best freshman class in a long time.

Cade is 6'8", can pass, shoot, and play defense. His explosiveness is good enough. He has elite vision and creates angles. There was a recent Slovenian that had similar criticisms. OK State is terrible, and he may have made a mistake going there, but that doesn't mean he is any less good.

Same goes for Green in the G League, he doesn't have less talent now. Same for Ball last year going to New Zealand. Those may have been bad decisions and moved their developmental path.

Even the guys struggling in college like Boston or Zaire. They are 6'7" / 6'8" and can shoot or at least project to shoot. You can't teach that size/skill combination.


Cade commited 22 turovers 23 assists.
For guy who rides 27,5% usage rate, playing against crappy competition and racking just 18,8 ppg on 3,8 apg isn't that impressive. College, as it is, is already very bad competition as some mirror toward nba, and Cade only plays against worst among the worst. Half of the teams he faced so far are yet to win 3 games.
He isn't playmaker, he is player who gets the ball because he is best player on a team. it's such a common thing among youth competitions. Best player gets the ball the most,regardless of what "position" he should be playing.
If you look at stats, Marcus Smart averaged 18,8 ppg, 4,8 apg at college and never really was playmaker in nba.
Competition changed, it was obvious some skills with him flat out won't translate, him being bouncy, bulky guard worked at college because his huge frame shielded him, but in nba he was just chubby looking shorty.

His efficiency numbers are very good, but again, he is yet to play anybody good.


Ball is pretty awful , did you watch those preseason games? His only positive ( very, very limited sample) is that he might be able to rebound ok in rookie year(s).
He really can't shoot nor run offense, to young ,too unexperienced, too wild, lacks any control.

Luka does not belong in this conversation, that boy could retire at 18 , never play in nba, and be in conversation for basketball HOF. It's like comparing Fiat Punto and and Le Ferrari.

NBA average size is 6'7. It's impressive when you are highschool boy, in nba, being 6'7 means at average 250 players are taller than you.


I don't know how you think these guys are awful, or if someone that 6'7" and can shoot (or pass) the ball is a not commodity. I think you mentioned recently you are just coming around on Trae being a playmaker when he was one of the best in the league last year.

If you can't see skill and talent before the player is a labeled great then, yah, sure wait for it. Sounds fun.


Trae was sky high usage rate ryder. It's not THAT hard to rack up bunch of assists if literally 50 possessions a game ends up with you either shooting or holding ball until 80% of time.
Young never, and i mean never played on a team that had any benefits from him being be all-do all guy. Hawks for 2 yeras straight, were terrible offensive team with him at helm. I won't even go there and talk about defense. There is non.

This is year one of truth what Trae is. What is he? Stat chasing Kevin Martin, Stephano Marbury, Steve Francis guy who will just get his and make nobody around better, or he is actually play-maker, who understands how to set a team but also can lit up and shoot at any moment . Steve Nash type guy.
I'm also interested to see is he actually good shooter, or just good volumen shooter, because if you wrack 11 threes on given night, making 4 will make you 36% shooter and making 3 will make you 33,33% shooter, where it does't look bad for personal data, it's kind a terrible for a team, that wastes 11 FGA for 9 points.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1502 » by jonbob17 » Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:58 pm

pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
Cade commited 22 turovers 23 assists.
For guy who rides 27,5% usage rate, playing against crappy competition and racking just 18,8 ppg on 3,8 apg isn't that impressive. College, as it is, is already very bad competition as some mirror toward nba, and Cade only plays against worst among the worst. Half of the teams he faced so far are yet to win 3 games.
He isn't playmaker, he is player who gets the ball because he is best player on a team. it's such a common thing among youth competitions. Best player gets the ball the most,regardless of what "position" he should be playing.
If you look at stats, Marcus Smart averaged 18,8 ppg, 4,8 apg at college and never really was playmaker in nba.
Competition changed, it was obvious some skills with him flat out won't translate, him being bouncy, bulky guard worked at college because his huge frame shielded him, but in nba he was just chubby looking shorty.

His efficiency numbers are very good, but again, he is yet to play anybody good.


Ball is pretty awful , did you watch those preseason games? His only positive ( very, very limited sample) is that he might be able to rebound ok in rookie year(s).
He really can't shoot nor run offense, to young ,too unexperienced, too wild, lacks any control.

Luka does not belong in this conversation, that boy could retire at 18 , never play in nba, and be in conversation for basketball HOF. It's like comparing Fiat Punto and and Le Ferrari.

NBA average size is 6'7. It's impressive when you are highschool boy, in nba, being 6'7 means at average 250 players are taller than you.


I don't know how you think these guys are awful, or if someone that 6'7" and can shoot (or pass) the ball is a not commodity. I think you mentioned recently you are just coming around on Trae being a playmaker when he was one of the best in the league last year.

If you can't see skill and talent before the player is a labeled great then, yah, sure wait for it. Sounds fun.


Trae was sky high usage rate ryder. It's not THAT hard to rack up bunch of assists if literally 50 possessions a game ends up with you either shooting or holding ball until 80% of time.
Young never, and i mean never played on a team that had any benefits from him being be all-do all guy. Hawks for 2 yeras straight, were terrible offensive team with him at helm. I won't even go there and talk about defense. There is non.

This is year one of truth what Trae is. What is he? Stat chasing Kevin Martin, Stephano Marbury, Steve Francis guy who will just get his and make nobody around better, or he is actually play-maker, who understands how to set a team but also can lit up and shoot at any moment . Steve Nash type guy.
I'm also interested to see is he actually good shooter, or just good volumen shooter, because if you wrack 11 threes on given night, making 4 will make you 36% shooter and making 3 will make you 33,33% shooter, where it does't look bad for personal data, it's kind a terrible for a team, that wastes 11 FGA for 9 points.



It takes about one game of watching Young to know how good of a passer he is. Probably any game, including his games back at Oklahoma. And yes, it is that hard to get assists, regardless of usage, which is not a measure of passing, vision, or assists.

You want to bang on his shooting go ahead. That is an argument worth making. His efficiency is not that of an elite shooter. He does have an exceptional handle and is a good finisher in the paint and draws fouls.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1503 » by zaymon » Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:04 pm

jonbob17 wrote:
zaymon wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
People got waay to hyped about notion of drafting top 5 in this draft. First couple of months i entertained idea of trading for a pick, assuming somebody has to be good, but so far... eh.
Avdija had really good game vs Nets. Few others here and there ,but it's not hard look to see where most of guys are in rotation for preasons (nowhere, bench players, literally every single one of them ) to figure this draft is as bad as advertised.

This is type of season where some ROY will be 12 ppg player.

Thats why you need to know when its good to be bad. 2020 was not the year. 3/4 of the lottery screamed potential busts. 2021 doesnt seem to be much better imo. I am ok with prioritizing development and no i dont think Weltman prioritizes winning. All of his moves scream development and believing in our young core.


You believe 3/4 of the 2021 lottery screams bust? I mean, it is will be a difficult year for these freshman(pros) to further develop their skills with all the game cancellations. It may also be more difficult for scouts to get a good read on players abilities.

To suggest this class is somehow worse than an average year is absurd.


I meant 2020 and it was a hyperbole, but in reality i didnt like 7/14 players taken before us.

2021 seems better at the top, but lets be real who is that tier 1 generational talent ? They look like potential tier 2 players right now. Edwards, Wiseman were tier 3 players at most with strange hype about them.
There is nothing wrong about tier 2 players, but they wont change the future of our team, i wouldnt tank for them.
My money is on Banchero going number 1 !
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1504 » by pepe1991 » Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:48 pm

jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
I don't know how you think these guys are awful, or if someone that 6'7" and can shoot (or pass) the ball is a not commodity. I think you mentioned recently you are just coming around on Trae being a playmaker when he was one of the best in the league last year.

If you can't see skill and talent before the player is a labeled great then, yah, sure wait for it. Sounds fun.


Trae was sky high usage rate ryder. It's not THAT hard to rack up bunch of assists if literally 50 possessions a game ends up with you either shooting or holding ball until 80% of time.
Young never, and i mean never played on a team that had any benefits from him being be all-do all guy. Hawks for 2 yeras straight, were terrible offensive team with him at helm. I won't even go there and talk about defense. There is non.

This is year one of truth what Trae is. What is he? Stat chasing Kevin Martin, Stephano Marbury, Steve Francis guy who will just get his and make nobody around better, or he is actually play-maker, who understands how to set a team but also can lit up and shoot at any moment . Steve Nash type guy.
I'm also interested to see is he actually good shooter, or just good volumen shooter, because if you wrack 11 threes on given night, making 4 will make you 36% shooter and making 3 will make you 33,33% shooter, where it does't look bad for personal data, it's kind a terrible for a team, that wastes 11 FGA for 9 points.



It takes about one game of watching Young to know how good of a passer he is. Probably any game, including his games back at Oklahoma. And yes, it is that hard to get assists, regardless of usage, which is not a measure of passing, vision, or assists.

You want to bang on his shooting go ahead. That is an argument worth making. His efficiency is not that of an elite shooter. He does have an exceptional handle and is a good finisher in the paint and draws fouls.


He is, much like Westbrook, good at racking number of APGs, he ,however, is not good at menaging team offense.
Sure from time to time there is amazing flash of him passing and showing his playmaking, but more often than not, playmaking isn't really no look, behind a back highlight reel pass, it's making good, simplistic passes and moving ball around.
There is something terribly wrong when you are top 3 player in APG and you are running 4th worst offense, and your offensive rating is even worst than year prior, where your team, also lead by you, was 7th worst offense.
Main reason for it is fact that he spent 2 years doing nothing but chasing numbers.

In 32 of 60 games he played, he took at least 20 shots. In 11 of 32 games he did that, his FG percentage was below 39%.


Chris Paul, one of best seasons of his career, 2013-14, 62 games played. Do you know how many times he took 20 or more shots? Three. Do you know how many times , among that 3 games, his FG% was below 45%? Zero.

Westbrook and Harden are probably the most notorious examples of players who just drive that 9 APG numbers to the point where it's passable and acceptable for eye test and critics" but he had 9 assists" as excuse to take 20 shots in second half. Two former MVPs paired, got wracked by Lakers... Suprising? Not really. There is very little substance between most of those numbers if it's not on uberhigh volumen.

My in general and main focus and philosophy of basketball is value of possession.
if you have guys who have no issues shooting 30 times a night on night when they miss 22 of 30 shots, you are building team around wrong guys. Those guy will just brick their way out of every serious basketball, playoff game because it's clear they don't understand team concept or care about anything but own shots. For every Jordan and Kobe who did it that way, there is bunch of self proclaimed scorers that flat out aren't valuabe if high volumen bricking is only "value" they got.
Truth about basketball is that most of guys like Lou WIlliams could average 30 a night if there is some foolish team enough desparate to give them that many shots and green light.
Trae has nice floor vision, but is miles away from concept of team oriented basketball or elemental- playmaking for good offense.
Not even gonna talk about turnovers,careless passes, sucking on defense without any hope of improvment...

2 nba seasons + college only version of Young we got is self centered offense that only helps him look good, lose games and make him look better than he is.
That's why i said i'll watch lot of Hawks this year, if this team, with Collins, Galo, Bogdan , Hunter, Reddish, Capela, still has Young going 1 on 5 on 25 shots on nights he is off, won't it be obvious what he is?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1505 » by RookieStar » Wed Dec 16, 2020 9:30 pm

fendilim wrote:
drsd wrote:
RookieStar wrote:You and me both. I still remember the days where our picks were the Sassisantor, Gaines, Steven Hunter, etc etc.. if Cole would be the backup or even crack the starting 5 then that is a very good pick from where we were at.


Jeryl Sasser - #22. 82 games played on a 13 mpg average
Reece Gaines - #15. 71 games played on a 8 mpg average
Steven Hunter - #15. AN amazing 400 game career (how ????) on 15 mpg average


Look Magic fans, at #16 a "Steven Hunter" is a good pick.


p.s. some other scrub 1st rounders.

23 Stanley Roberts
26 Geert Hammink
27 Brooks Thompson
25 David Vaughn
27 Brian Evans
17 Johnny Taylor
13 Courtney Alexander
11 Fran Vázquez



If Okeke and Anthony at #16 are the Magic's next "Matt Harpring", "Keyon Dooling", or "JJ Redick", then these were good picks. (not all of Orlando's mid-range picks SUCKED).


..
Thinking about it, I think Steven Hunter would be handy in today's NBA.

I do remember he is a bit athletic for a 7'0". Like a Jordan Bell-ish best case scenario.


Serious? If Hunter was as useless then when bigs can be slow and with no 3pt shot, then he would be even more useless now.

P.S. was he the first one we nicknamed "stone-hands" for not being able to catch the passes of Tmac?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1506 » by RookieStar » Wed Dec 16, 2020 9:33 pm

drsd wrote:
RookieStar wrote:You and me both. I still remember the days where our picks were the Sassisantor, Gaines, Steven Hunter, etc etc.. if Cole would be the backup or even crack the starting 5 then that is a very good pick from where we were at.


Jeryl Sasser - #22. 82 games played on a 13 mpg average
Reece Gaines - #15. 71 games played on a 8 mpg average
Steven Hunter - #15. AN amazing 400 game career (how ????) on 15 mpg average


Look Magic fans, at #16 a "Steven Hunter" is a good pick.


p.s. some other scrub 1st rounders.

23 Stanley Roberts
26 Geert Hammink
27 Brooks Thompson
25 David Vaughn
27 Brian Evans
17 Johnny Taylor
13 Courtney Alexander
11 Fran Vázquez



If Okeke and Anthony at #16 are the Magic's next "Matt Harpring", "Keyon Dooling", or "JJ Redick", then these were good picks. (not all of Orlando's mid-range picks SUCKED).


..



Yeah.. JJ was actually the only pick I remember in the mid-range that I considered good.


Wow.. we picked all those nobodies before?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1507 » by Bensational » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:10 am

pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
I assume he though:
3/4 of 2020 picks scream busts.
"2021" was start of next sentence.

I don't know enough of 2021 class, but i'm not too hyped at all.
Cade is having some nice numbers but it's obvious he isn't playmaker he is being marketed as. He also plays against terrible, terrible competition. He also lacks explosivness or athletics where i'm too confident to belive he'll be better than some Gordon Hayward or so. Sure guy looks crafty, but how much of it is him being taller than people who guard him?
Well time will tell.

Green going to G league was kind a disaster for him.What's going on with G league nowdays anyway? They are playing some WMCA level "games" now? He could pick better competition to play against if he still plays in highschool :lol:

I know this kid Prkacin because he is from my country, if it's not that i would probably never hear for him.

Suggs is still hurt if i'm not mistaking?

Zaire Williams draft stock is crashing and burning with some pathetic performances.

Kuminga's ceiling to me seems to have OG Anunoby -ceiling - Stanley Johnson floor. :dontknow:

Generally very unimpressive first look at mocks.


He additionally said 2021 looks the same.

This is the best freshman class in a long time.

Cade is 6'8", can pass, shoot, and play defense. His explosiveness is good enough. He has elite vision and creates angles. There was a recent Slovenian that had similar criticisms. OK State is terrible, and he may have made a mistake going there, but that doesn't mean he is any less good.

Same goes for Green in the G League, he doesn't have less talent now. Same for Ball last year going to New Zealand. Those may have been bad decisions and moved their developmental path.

Even the guys struggling in college like Boston or Zaire. They are 6'7" / 6'8" and can shoot or at least project to shoot. You can't teach that size/skill combination.


Cade commited 22 turovers 23 assists.
For guy who rides 27,5% usage rate, playing against crappy competition and racking just 18,8 ppg on 3,8 apg isn't that impressive. College, as it is, is already very bad competition as some mirror toward nba, and Cade only plays against worst among the worst. Half of the teams he faced so far are yet to win 3 games.
He isn't playmaker, he is player who gets the ball because he is best player on a team. it's such a common thing among youth competitions. Best player gets the ball the most,regardless of what "position" he should be playing.
If you look at stats, Marcus Smart averaged 18,8 ppg, 4,8 apg at college and never really was playmaker in nba.
Competition changed, it was obvious some skills with him flat out won't translate, him being bouncy, bulky guard worked at college because his huge frame shielded him, but in nba he was just chubby looking shorty.

His efficiency numbers are very good, but again, he is yet to play anybody good.


Ball is pretty awful , did you watch those preseason games? His only positive ( very, very limited sample) is that he might be able to rebound ok in rookie year(s).
He really can't shoot nor run offense, to young ,too unexperienced, too wild, lacks any control.

Luka does not belong in this conversation, that boy could retire at 18 , never play in nba, and be in conversation for basketball HOF. It's like comparing Fiat Punto and and Le Ferrari.

NBA average size is 6'7. It's impressive when you are highschool boy, in nba, being 6'7 means at average 250 players are taller than you.


In terms of Cade, you're trying way too hard to find long term faults in players at the beginning of their professional career. I mean, by your standards, Luka is a failure who's yet to achieve anything as an alleged GOAT who has only made the playoffs once and hasn't been able to get out of the 2nd round - clearly he will never be better than that if he hasn't done it already, right?

Cade's game isn't Luka level, but he's looking like Tatum with better passing and playmaking. He will take time to learn how to play better and how to win, the same way Luka and Giannis are learning how to win and advance further and further. Jordan, LeBron, Durant, Curry, Kawhi - all of these guys took years to reach a level to carry a team to the finals and win it all. Trae is in the process of learning how to win. Tatum and Brown are getting their early reps up. Siakam is seeing how far he can take a team alone, etc, etc.

For the most part, the league will be dominated by just a handful of names who seem like perennial contenders, but there's always a solid half dozen players on different teams who can lead a team to an 'upset' on any given night, including in the playoffs and finals (Butler, Jokic/Murray, Lillard, Tatum/Brown, etc). I don't see much reason why Cade couldn't become a core part of one of those teams in the future with the skills he's shown so far. You don't have to buy the marketing word for word to see he's a very talented player.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1508 » by Xatticus » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:13 am

pepe1991 wrote:
Bensational wrote:I think there will be a very solid crop of decent players from this draft. I didn't see the game but Maxey's numbers look good. Vassell looks like the real deal, and Haliburton looks good.

The top of the lottery looks pretty damn terrible at this point, but it's only a handful of games. Too early to judge. Plenty good watching though.


People got waay to hyped about notion of drafting top 5 in this draft. First couple of months i entertained idea of trading for a pick, assuming somebody has to be good, but so far... eh.
Avdija had really good game vs Nets. Few others here and there ,but it's not hard look to see where most of guys are in rotation for preasons (nowhere, bench players, literally every single one of them ) to figure this draft is as bad as advertised.

This is type of season where some ROY will be 12 ppg player.


Yeah. It never made a ton of sense to move up in this draft, which is why I was questioning our desire to do as much when that was reported. That's not to say that there wasn't a lot of potential at the top of this draft. Wiseman, Ball, and Edwards are all very high-ceiling guys, but each one is pretty raw right now and they will take time to develop. I think Pokusevski should've been included in that group, but teams were scared for whatever reason. I think when you look back on this draft, one of those guys is going to end up being the prize of this draft. The boom/bust types tend to bust more than they do, but if you end up with Brandon Ingram, you are very happy.

I think this draft will prove to be just fine in the long run though. I've watched Vassell and Flynn, because those were the guys I was particularly enamored with, and both have looked really good. Vassell has played more minutes in their first two games than anyone else and he was thrown at Harden quite a bit in the last one. He just does too many of those things that coaches like for him not to get a big role for them under Popovich. I don't know how Flynn is going to fit in with Lowry and VanVleet in front of him, but I'm sure he will get consistent minutes as well. He is just too good right now to sit on the bench. I'm going to watch OKC tonight to get a look at Pokusevski.

I don't know that 12 points per game will be enough to win the ROY this year, but I think a lot of good players will come out of this draft regardless.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1509 » by Optimus_Steel » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:24 am

RookieStar wrote:
fendilim wrote:
drsd wrote:
Jeryl Sasser - #22. 82 games played on a 13 mpg average
Reece Gaines - #15. 71 games played on a 8 mpg average
Steven Hunter - #15. AN amazing 400 game career (how ????) on 15 mpg average


Look Magic fans, at #16 a "Steven Hunter" is a good pick.


p.s. some other scrub 1st rounders.

23 Stanley Roberts
26 Geert Hammink
27 Brooks Thompson
25 David Vaughn
27 Brian Evans
17 Johnny Taylor
13 Courtney Alexander
11 Fran Vázquez



If Okeke and Anthony at #16 are the Magic's next "Matt Harpring", "Keyon Dooling", or "JJ Redick", then these were good picks. (not all of Orlando's mid-range picks SUCKED).


..
Thinking about it, I think Steven Hunter would be handy in today's NBA.

I do remember he is a bit athletic for a 7'0". Like a Jordan Bell-ish best case scenario.


Serious? If Hunter was as useless then when bigs can be slow and with no 3pt shot, then he would be even more useless now.

P.S. was he the first one we nicknamed "stone-hands" for not being able to catch the passes of Tmac?
That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1510 » by Bensational » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:31 am

drsd wrote:
RookieStar wrote:You and me both. I still remember the days where our picks were the Sassisantor, Gaines, Steven Hunter, etc etc.. if Cole would be the backup or even crack the starting 5 then that is a very good pick from where we were at.


Jeryl Sasser - #22. 82 games played on a 13 mpg average
Reece Gaines - #15. 71 games played on a 8 mpg average
Steven Hunter - #15. AN amazing 400 game career (how ????) on 15 mpg average


Look Magic fans, at #16 a "Steven Hunter" is a good pick.


p.s. some other scrub 1st rounders.

23 Stanley Roberts
26 Geert Hammink
27 Brooks Thompson
25 David Vaughn
27 Brian Evans
17 Johnny Taylor
13 Courtney Alexander
11 Fran Vázquez



If Okeke and Anthony at #16 are the Magic's next "Matt Harpring", "Keyon Dooling", or "JJ Redick", then these were good picks. (not all of Orlando's mid-range picks SUCKED).


..


I think there is a wider spectrum of potential outcomes from any pick than you are presenting.

Wasted pick - The player fails to become an NBA player.
Below value - The player becomes a fringe rotation player.

These two options probably represent the majority of players picked from 15 onwards, with increasingly higher potential for players to end up in one of these the further the draft goes on. But I prefer to separate these statistical averages from all 30 teams regardless of the front office competency, so even though a bust/minor roleplayer is par for the course on most picks from 15-60, that should never be your benchmark unless you want to pray at the alter of mediocrity.

Value pick - The player becomes a rotation player. (Anunoby, Landry, Shake)
Above value pick - The player becomes a starting caliber player. (Brogdon, Levert, Dinwiddie, JJ, Van Vleet, Bogdanovic, Herro)
High value pick - The player becomes a core player, but not the best player on a contending team. (PG13, Middleton, Siakam, Gobert, Mitchell, Bam, SGA)
Jackpot - A high impact, high efficiency, lead playmaker. (Giannis, Kawhi, Butler)

But it's also a sliding scale, as the closer the pick is to the lottery, the higher the sense of expectation of a better outcome. Better run teams will also hold themselves to higher standards on expected returns as well, milking value from all picks the way Denver and Toronto have done.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1511 » by jonbob17 » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:43 am

pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
Trae was sky high usage rate ryder. It's not THAT hard to rack up bunch of assists if literally 50 possessions a game ends up with you either shooting or holding ball until 80% of time.
Young never, and i mean never played on a team that had any benefits from him being be all-do all guy. Hawks for 2 yeras straight, were terrible offensive team with him at helm. I won't even go there and talk about defense. There is non.

This is year one of truth what Trae is. What is he? Stat chasing Kevin Martin, Stephano Marbury, Steve Francis guy who will just get his and make nobody around better, or he is actually play-maker, who understands how to set a team but also can lit up and shoot at any moment . Steve Nash type guy.
I'm also interested to see is he actually good shooter, or just good volumen shooter, because if you wrack 11 threes on given night, making 4 will make you 36% shooter and making 3 will make you 33,33% shooter, where it does't look bad for personal data, it's kind a terrible for a team, that wastes 11 FGA for 9 points.



It takes about one game of watching Young to know how good of a passer he is. Probably any game, including his games back at Oklahoma. And yes, it is that hard to get assists, regardless of usage, which is not a measure of passing, vision, or assists.

You want to bang on his shooting go ahead. That is an argument worth making. His efficiency is not that of an elite shooter. He does have an exceptional handle and is a good finisher in the paint and draws fouls.


He is, much like Westbrook, good at racking number of APGs, he ,however, is not good at menaging team offense.
Sure from time to time there is amazing flash of him passing and showing his playmaking, but more often than not, playmaking isn't really no look, behind a back highlight reel pass, it's making good, simplistic passes and moving ball around.
There is something terribly wrong when you are top 3 player in APG and you are running 4th worst offense, and your offensive rating is even worst than year prior, where your team, also lead by you, was 7th worst offense.
Main reason for it is fact that he spent 2 years doing nothing but chasing numbers.

In 32 of 60 games he played, he took at least 20 shots. In 11 of 32 games he did that, his FG percentage was below 39%.


Chris Paul, one of best seasons of his career, 2013-14, 62 games played. Do you know how many times he took 20 or more shots? Three. Do you know how many times , among that 3 games, his FG% was below 45%? Zero.

Westbrook and Harden are probably the most notorious examples of players who just drive that 9 APG numbers to the point where it's passable and acceptable for eye test and critics" but he had 9 assists" as excuse to take 20 shots in second half. Two former MVPs paired, got wracked by Lakers... Suprising? Not really. There is very little substance between most of those numbers if it's not on uberhigh volumen.

My in general and main focus and philosophy of basketball is value of possession.
if you have guys who have no issues shooting 30 times a night on night when they miss 22 of 30 shots, you are building team around wrong guys. Those guy will just brick their way out of every serious basketball, playoff game because it's clear they don't understand team concept or care about anything but own shots. For every Jordan and Kobe who did it that way, there is bunch of self proclaimed scorers that flat out aren't valuabe if high volumen bricking is only "value" they got.
Truth about basketball is that most of guys like Lou WIlliams could average 30 a night if there is some foolish team enough desparate to give them that many shots and green light.
Trae has nice floor vision, but is miles away from concept of team oriented basketball or elemental- playmaking for good offense.
Not even gonna talk about turnovers,careless passes, sucking on defense without any hope of improvment...

2 nba seasons + college only version of Young we got is self centered offense that only helps him look good, lose games and make him look better than he is.
That's why i said i'll watch lot of Hawks this year, if this team, with Collins, Galo, Bogdan , Hunter, Reddish, Capela, still has Young going 1 on 5 on 25 shots on nights he is off, won't it be obvious what he is?



I guess by your measure Frank Vogel was the best coach in the NBA last year, and Lebron was just awful in 2018 when his Lakers finished 12 games under .500.

The point is Trae Young is already one of the most elite playmakers in the league. If you can't see that fine, but it kind of makes your takes on Cade or anyone else about as important as...um, Frank Vogel was to the Lakers' success last year.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: 

Post#1512 » by RookieStar » Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:59 am

Optimus_Steel wrote:
RookieStar wrote:
fendilim wrote:Thinking about it, I think Steven Hunter would be handy in today's NBA.

I do remember he is a bit athletic for a 7'0". Like a Jordan Bell-ish best case scenario.


Serious? If Hunter was as useless then when bigs can be slow and with no 3pt shot, then he would be even more useless now.

P.S. was he the first one we nicknamed "stone-hands" for not being able to catch the passes of Tmac?
That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

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Don't you dare talk.about the WHITE HAMMER like that!

Seriously though he was one of the reason i became a magic fan lol
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: 

Post#1513 » by basketballRob » Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:03 am

RookieStar wrote:
Optimus_Steel wrote:
RookieStar wrote:
Serious? If Hunter was as useless then when bigs can be slow and with no 3pt shot, then he would be even more useless now.

P.S. was he the first one we nicknamed "stone-hands" for not being able to catch the passes of Tmac?
That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

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Don't you dare talk.about the WHITE HAMMER like that!

Seriously though he was one of the reason i became a magic fan lol
Declerq of the courts.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1514 » by nicnac215 » Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:46 am

Interesting he presented for the Magic. I wonder if they are thinking about JI and keeping him healthy
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1515 » by zaymon » Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:13 am

Bensational wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
He additionally said 2021 looks the same.

This is the best freshman class in a long time.

Cade is 6'8", can pass, shoot, and play defense. His explosiveness is good enough. He has elite vision and creates angles. There was a recent Slovenian that had similar criticisms. OK State is terrible, and he may have made a mistake going there, but that doesn't mean he is any less good.

Same goes for Green in the G League, he doesn't have less talent now. Same for Ball last year going to New Zealand. Those may have been bad decisions and moved their developmental path.

Even the guys struggling in college like Boston or Zaire. They are 6'7" / 6'8" and can shoot or at least project to shoot. You can't teach that size/skill combination.


Cade commited 22 turovers 23 assists.
For guy who rides 27,5% usage rate, playing against crappy competition and racking just 18,8 ppg on 3,8 apg isn't that impressive. College, as it is, is already very bad competition as some mirror toward nba, and Cade only plays against worst among the worst. Half of the teams he faced so far are yet to win 3 games.
He isn't playmaker, he is player who gets the ball because he is best player on a team. it's such a common thing among youth competitions. Best player gets the ball the most,regardless of what "position" he should be playing.
If you look at stats, Marcus Smart averaged 18,8 ppg, 4,8 apg at college and never really was playmaker in nba.
Competition changed, it was obvious some skills with him flat out won't translate, him being bouncy, bulky guard worked at college because his huge frame shielded him, but in nba he was just chubby looking shorty.

His efficiency numbers are very good, but again, he is yet to play anybody good.


Ball is pretty awful , did you watch those preseason games? His only positive ( very, very limited sample) is that he might be able to rebound ok in rookie year(s).
He really can't shoot nor run offense, to young ,too unexperienced, too wild, lacks any control.

Luka does not belong in this conversation, that boy could retire at 18 , never play in nba, and be in conversation for basketball HOF. It's like comparing Fiat Punto and and Le Ferrari.

NBA average size is 6'7. It's impressive when you are highschool boy, in nba, being 6'7 means at average 250 players are taller than you.


In terms of Cade, you're trying way too hard to find long term faults in players at the beginning of their professional career. I mean, by your standards, Luka is a failure who's yet to achieve anything as an alleged GOAT who has only made the playoffs once and hasn't been able to get out of the 2nd round - clearly he will never be better than that if he hasn't done it already, right?

Cade's game isn't Luka level, but he's looking like Tatum with better passing and playmaking. He will take time to learn how to play better and how to win, the same way Luka and Giannis are learning how to win and advance further and further. Jordan, LeBron, Durant, Curry, Kawhi - all of these guys took years to reach a level to carry a team to the finals and win it all. Trae is in the process of learning how to win. Tatum and Brown are getting their early reps up. Siakam is seeing how far he can take a team alone, etc, etc.

For the most part, the league will be dominated by just a handful of names who seem like perennial contenders, but there's always a solid half dozen players on different teams who can lead a team to an 'upset' on any given night, including in the playoffs and finals (Butler, Jokic/Murray, Lillard, Tatum/Brown, etc). I don't see much reason why Cade couldn't become a core part of one of those teams in the future with the skills he's shown so far. You don't have to buy the marketing word for word to see he's a very talented player.


Yes, right now Cunningham looks like less athletic version of Tatum without the midrange game but with better passing. Possibly tier 2 player. Great to have but doesnt change dramatically outlook of your team. Butler and Lillard are in another league athletically and Jokic is 7 foot genius with the ball.
My money is on Banchero going number 1 !
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1516 » by pepe1991 » Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:22 am

jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:

It takes about one game of watching Young to know how good of a passer he is. Probably any game, including his games back at Oklahoma. And yes, it is that hard to get assists, regardless of usage, which is not a measure of passing, vision, or assists.

You want to bang on his shooting go ahead. That is an argument worth making. His efficiency is not that of an elite shooter. He does have an exceptional handle and is a good finisher in the paint and draws fouls.


He is, much like Westbrook, good at racking number of APGs, he ,however, is not good at menaging team offense.
Sure from time to time there is amazing flash of him passing and showing his playmaking, but more often than not, playmaking isn't really no look, behind a back highlight reel pass, it's making good, simplistic passes and moving ball around.
There is something terribly wrong when you are top 3 player in APG and you are running 4th worst offense, and your offensive rating is even worst than year prior, where your team, also lead by you, was 7th worst offense.
Main reason for it is fact that he spent 2 years doing nothing but chasing numbers.

In 32 of 60 games he played, he took at least 20 shots. In 11 of 32 games he did that, his FG percentage was below 39%.


Chris Paul, one of best seasons of his career, 2013-14, 62 games played. Do you know how many times he took 20 or more shots? Three. Do you know how many times , among that 3 games, his FG% was below 45%? Zero.

Westbrook and Harden are probably the most notorious examples of players who just drive that 9 APG numbers to the point where it's passable and acceptable for eye test and critics" but he had 9 assists" as excuse to take 20 shots in second half. Two former MVPs paired, got wracked by Lakers... Suprising? Not really. There is very little substance between most of those numbers if it's not on uberhigh volumen.

My in general and main focus and philosophy of basketball is value of possession.
if you have guys who have no issues shooting 30 times a night on night when they miss 22 of 30 shots, you are building team around wrong guys. Those guy will just brick their way out of every serious basketball, playoff game because it's clear they don't understand team concept or care about anything but own shots. For every Jordan and Kobe who did it that way, there is bunch of self proclaimed scorers that flat out aren't valuabe if high volumen bricking is only "value" they got.
Truth about basketball is that most of guys like Lou WIlliams could average 30 a night if there is some foolish team enough desparate to give them that many shots and green light.
Trae has nice floor vision, but is miles away from concept of team oriented basketball or elemental- playmaking for good offense.
Not even gonna talk about turnovers,careless passes, sucking on defense without any hope of improvment...

2 nba seasons + college only version of Young we got is self centered offense that only helps him look good, lose games and make him look better than he is.
That's why i said i'll watch lot of Hawks this year, if this team, with Collins, Galo, Bogdan , Hunter, Reddish, Capela, still has Young going 1 on 5 on 25 shots on nights he is off, won't it be obvious what he is?



I guess by your measure Frank Vogel was the best coach in the NBA last year, and Lebron was just awful in 2018 when his Lakers finished 12 games under .500.

The point is Trae Young is already one of the most elite playmakers in the league. If you can't see that fine, but it kind of makes your takes on Cade or anyone else about as important as...um, Frank Vogel was to the Lakers' success last year.


What a hell Vogel has to do with discussion?
If you try to piggy-bank "Lebron lead team toward bad offense in 2018-19" as some excuse for Young and his inability to lead offense to anything better than top 10 worst offense every year so far, you are missing the point.
Lakers lost 18 out of 27 games when Lebron didn't play. ( 9-18 record without him). With him, they were still very solid offensive team and one that was poised to make playoffs. Also Lebron won 3 rings prior, so we all knew what Lebron brings, before that season even started.

Young? Below average college team that should not make to march madness, still got whooped there . 2 nba season with 49-100 record. That's pretty much it.

Cade is and will never be lead point guard in nba.
Ben compared him with " Tatum with better vision" , Tatum is out there dunking on Lebron, Cade has post broken leg Hayward athletics today. Guy is so slow off the dribble that it's painful. He looks like Andre Miller out there trying to "outveteran" guys.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: "I like this team" 

Post#1517 » by tiderulz » Thu Dec 17, 2020 1:52 pm

pepe1991 wrote:
jonbob17 wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
He is, much like Westbrook, good at racking number of APGs, he ,however, is not good at menaging team offense.
Sure from time to time there is amazing flash of him passing and showing his playmaking, but more often than not, playmaking isn't really no look, behind a back highlight reel pass, it's making good, simplistic passes and moving ball around.
There is something terribly wrong when you are top 3 player in APG and you are running 4th worst offense, and your offensive rating is even worst than year prior, where your team, also lead by you, was 7th worst offense.
Main reason for it is fact that he spent 2 years doing nothing but chasing numbers.

In 32 of 60 games he played, he took at least 20 shots. In 11 of 32 games he did that, his FG percentage was below 39%.


Chris Paul, one of best seasons of his career, 2013-14, 62 games played. Do you know how many times he took 20 or more shots? Three. Do you know how many times , among that 3 games, his FG% was below 45%? Zero.

Westbrook and Harden are probably the most notorious examples of players who just drive that 9 APG numbers to the point where it's passable and acceptable for eye test and critics" but he had 9 assists" as excuse to take 20 shots in second half. Two former MVPs paired, got wracked by Lakers... Suprising? Not really. There is very little substance between most of those numbers if it's not on uberhigh volumen.

My in general and main focus and philosophy of basketball is value of possession.
if you have guys who have no issues shooting 30 times a night on night when they miss 22 of 30 shots, you are building team around wrong guys. Those guy will just brick their way out of every serious basketball, playoff game because it's clear they don't understand team concept or care about anything but own shots. For every Jordan and Kobe who did it that way, there is bunch of self proclaimed scorers that flat out aren't valuabe if high volumen bricking is only "value" they got.
Truth about basketball is that most of guys like Lou WIlliams could average 30 a night if there is some foolish team enough desparate to give them that many shots and green light.
Trae has nice floor vision, but is miles away from concept of team oriented basketball or elemental- playmaking for good offense.
Not even gonna talk about turnovers,careless passes, sucking on defense without any hope of improvment...

2 nba seasons + college only version of Young we got is self centered offense that only helps him look good, lose games and make him look better than he is.
That's why i said i'll watch lot of Hawks this year, if this team, with Collins, Galo, Bogdan , Hunter, Reddish, Capela, still has Young going 1 on 5 on 25 shots on nights he is off, won't it be obvious what he is?



I guess by your measure Frank Vogel was the best coach in the NBA last year, and Lebron was just awful in 2018 when his Lakers finished 12 games under .500.

The point is Trae Young is already one of the most elite playmakers in the league. If you can't see that fine, but it kind of makes your takes on Cade or anyone else about as important as...um, Frank Vogel was to the Lakers' success last year.


What a hell Vogel has to do with discussion?
If you try to piggy-bank "Lebron lead team toward bad offense in 2018-19" as some excuse for Young and his inability to lead offense to anything better than top 10 worst offense every year so far, you are missing the point.
Lakers lost 18 out of 27 games when Lebron didn't play. ( 9-18 record without him). With him, they were still very solid offensive team and one that was poised to make playoffs. Also Lebron won 3 rings prior, so we all knew what Lebron brings, before that season even started.

Young? Below average college team that should not make to march madness, still got whooped there . 2 nba season with 49-100 record. That's pretty much it.

Cade is and will never be lead point guard in nba.
Ben compared him with " Tatum with better vision" , Tatum is out there dunking on Lebron, Cade has post broken leg Hayward athletics today. Guy is so slow off the dribble that it's painful. He looks like Andre Miller out there trying to "outveteran" guys.

well, Durant was 43-121 his first 2 years in the league. and got whooped by an underdog in march madness by 19 pts.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: 

Post#1518 » by Optimus_Steel » Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:36 pm

basketballRob wrote:
RookieStar wrote:
Optimus_Steel wrote:That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

Sent from my Pixel 5 using RealGM mobile app


Don't you dare talk.about the WHITE HAMMER like that!

Seriously though he was one of the reason i became a magic fan lol
Declerq of the courts.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM mobile app


He had almost no NBA skill other than his size but he played really freaking hard, I always respected that.
aka: prorl
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: 

Post#1519 » by JBSouthpaw » Thu Dec 17, 2020 7:31 pm

Optimus_Steel wrote:That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

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Nobody stepped out as much as Peaches.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread '20-'21 VI: 

Post#1520 » by Optimus_Steel » Thu Dec 17, 2020 7:35 pm

JBSouthpaw wrote:
Optimus_Steel wrote:That was Andrew DeClerq but Hunter had that issue too. It was a given he would step out of bounds once a game.

Sent from my Pixel 5 using RealGM mobile app


Nobody stepped out as much as Peaches.
It was either travel or out of bounds lol. But man was he cold blooded, hit big shots.

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