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Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon

Moderators: UCF, Knightro, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, Howard Mass, ChosenSavior

Should we resign Vuc/Ross

Yes
43
34%
Yes, but just Vuc
9
7%
Yes, but just Ross
51
40%
No
23
18%
 
Total votes: 126

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#181 » by Knightro » Thu Apr 25, 2019 11:43 pm

MagicMatic wrote:Yeah, Milwaukee, Houston, Boston, and Toronto all have foundational allstar/superstar level players. Orlando isn’t attracting free agents like Irving, Harden, Giannis, and Kawhi with this current roster. That’s the issue. You bring back players that will win enough to have us picking further back in the lottery, but also tie up cap and force us to run an archaic offense. All while we lose years from valuable rookie scale contracts. It’s a lose lose either way in the grand scheme of things.


For what it's worth, none of the teams you mentioned actually attracted the players you mentioned as free agents either.

Irving - Acquired via trade (8th overall pick given up)
Harden - Acquired via trade (12th overall pick given up)
Kawhi - Acquired via trade (29th overall pick given up)

Obviously Giannis is a total outlier as a superstar picked 15th, but I feel like the Magic's long-term plan is absolutely to continue to be as competitive as possible while at the same time developing enough young talent to eventually cash in accumulated chips (draft picks, young talent, desirable veterans) for a superstar player like Boston, Houston and Toronto did.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#182 » by VFX » Fri Apr 26, 2019 12:00 am

Knightro wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:Yeah, Milwaukee, Houston, Boston, and Toronto all have foundational allstar/superstar level players. Orlando isn’t attracting free agents like Irving, Harden, Giannis, and Kawhi with this current roster. That’s the issue. You bring back players that will win enough to have us picking further back in the lottery, but also tie up cap and force us to run an archaic offense. All while we lose years from valuable rookie scale contracts. It’s a lose lose either way in the grand scheme of things.


For what it's worth, none of the teams you mentioned actually attracted the players you mentioned as free agents either.

Irving - Acquired via trade (8th overall pick given up)
Harden - Acquired via trade (12th overall pick given up)
Kawhi - Acquired via trade (29th overall pick given up)

Obviously Giannis is a total outlier as a superstar picked 15th, but I feel like the Magic's long-term plan is absolutely to continue to be as competitive as possible while at the same time developing enough young talent to eventually cash in accumulated chips (draft picks, young talent, desirable veterans) for a superstar player like Boston, Houston and Toronto did.


Either way you phrase it - who then is an asset that lands us a player of that quality via trade. Throw in the 2019 #16 pick as well. That’s right. No one.

Also I said “attracting”. That counts for trades as well. If you haven’t noticed, players decide these days where they will and won’t resign via trade- especially superstars on 1-2 year expiring deals. Interesting most of those players you listed were vocal about it too. Also, don’t take my quote out of context to the original poster i was replying to.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#183 » by bargnanimvp » Fri Apr 26, 2019 1:11 am

These polls are silly without prices. I'd resign both but it's heavily dependent on the contract offers they are getting from elsewhere and what we'd have to pay and for how long.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#184 » by Audi » Fri Apr 26, 2019 1:45 am

pepe1991 wrote:DJ is career backup that starts game, it's not his fault that team has no PG better than him. Nobody in right mind makes argument that DJ should be starting.
I don't blame Isaac for not being capable of being starter, i blame his fanboys who can't understand that he can't start right now.


Pepe...surely you see the flaw in this logic. If you don’t blame DJ for being a starter because the team has no better PG, then you must also extend that to Isaac who starts because the team has no better defensive presence.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#185 » by jayrehme » Fri Apr 26, 2019 1:53 am

Audi wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:DJ is career backup that starts game, it's not his fault that team has no PG better than him. Nobody in right mind makes argument that DJ should be starting.
I don't blame Isaac for not being capable of being starter, i blame his fanboys who can't understand that he can't start right now.


Pepe...surely you see the flaw in this logic. If you don’t blame DJ for being a starter because the team has no better PG, then you must also extend that to Isaac who starts because the team has no better defensive presence.


Isaac is a capable starter, he's already a game changer on defense... needs to keep getting the shooting reps in this summer though, he's so tall his shot will be very difficult to defend.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#186 » by ezzzp » Fri Apr 26, 2019 6:45 am

BAMBAEXPRESS wrote:For every one of the teams you just posted, there is Atlanta, Charlotte, New Orleans, Sacramento... teams whose ceiling wasnt very high to begin with. If the goal is to just get into the playoffs, sell some tickets and some t shirts for the casual fan to get excited about, then bring back this squad, add a mid tier first round pick, maybe a mid level veteran.


Atlanta made the playoffs for a decade straight, that includes four 2nd rounds and a conference finals. The Magic's tank strategy produced a 7 year playoff drought with six +50 loss seasons...you seriously think that's more exciting?

NOLA tanked for 2 years to get Anthony Davis...so that example of tread milling includes a team who tanked for a top 5 NBA player who is forcing his way out + that roster also has all-star Jrue Holiday in his peak prime. You think that a team with AD/Holiday has a low ceiling?

Sacramento tanked for 6 years with nothing to show for it until they stumbled into Cousins, a player who was the best big in NBA for a few seasons but still produced not a single playoff game.

Tanking is a treadmill without the playoffs...in fact, prolonged tanking has never ever produced a champion
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#187 » by pepe1991 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 6:52 am

Audi wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:DJ is career backup that starts game, it's not his fault that team has no PG better than him. Nobody in right mind makes argument that DJ should be starting.
I don't blame Isaac for not being capable of being starter,
i blame his fanboys who can't understand that he can't start right now.


Pepe...surely you see the flaw in this logic. If you don’t blame DJ for being a starter because the team has no better PG, then you must also extend that to Isaac who starts because the team has no better defensive presence.


I actually wrote (and now put bold on it ) where i don't blame Isaac for not being capable of being starter, but i will never understand how somebody can cry about Evan and DJ because they are "bad" ( and DJ as i said above, and now also put bold on it , should not be starting if there is better alternative) ,yet they turn blind eye when somebody who got exposed as much as them in playoffs should. Just because somebody is young it doesn't mean he can't be criticized. Especially because they are players around his age who are held by MUCH greater standards than him.

Jamal Murray is just few months older and got critized during regular season by Nuggets fans.
Ben Simmons is on year older than Isaac, already allstar and topic of many debates is he elite or not. People call him overrated.
SGA from Clippers is actually year younger than Isaac and is averaging 12 ppg in playoffs on 43% FG.

I just don't get how it's a taboo to say that if team wants to make it to second round, they need better PG and SF and SG if Evan can't reach his level of playing from 2 or 3 years ago.
That's complete no brainer.
Or alternative can always be to let Gordon go via trade and bet on isaac and his development at PF. Him being SF simply doesn't cut it in todays nba where he is far away from even 3 and D guy ,because, frankly, nobody ever guards his 3.

IF team has superstar(s) level player, they could get away with not so great starters ( Mo Harkless for example ) , but with Magic , Raptors shut down Vučević, who couldn't handle pressure (because he is not superstar ), and in same time others , Isaac , in particular, simply couldn't make them pay. As i said few days ago, 17 out of 20 threes he took were not contested and he doesn't have skills to put ball on the floor and drive when his shot is off.
I want him in offseason to bulk up to 230-240 pounds and embrace role of a full time PF on both ends. Will it happen? Maybe?!
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#188 » by ezzzp » Fri Apr 26, 2019 7:03 am

MagicMatic wrote:Yeah, Milwaukee, Houston, Boston, and Toronto all have foundational allstar/superstar level players. Orlando isn’t attracting free agents like Irving, Harden, Giannis, and Kawhi with this current roster. That’s the issue. You bring back players that will win enough to have us picking further back in the lottery, but also tie up cap and force us to run an archaic offense. All while we lose years from valuable rookie scale contracts. It’s a lose lose either way in the grand scheme of things.


Milwaukee never tanked and they drafted their foundational player with a 16th pick + traded for Middleton and Bledsoe. They are the smallest market and least desirable free agency destination in the NBA.

Toronto acquired their franchise player via trade. They did that by retaining their assets, drafting well regardless of where they picked, and staying competitive. That maximized their assets value and provided the best developmental context for their players.

Boston also acquired their key assets by trade and remaining competitive.

The Magic need to retain the assets that they've developed and use them to flip up when the opportunity arises. That's how those teams got their foundational players.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#189 » by VFX » Fri Apr 26, 2019 7:26 am

ezzzp wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:Yeah, Milwaukee, Houston, Boston, and Toronto all have foundational allstar/superstar level players. Orlando isn’t attracting free agents like Irving, Harden, Giannis, and Kawhi with this current roster. That’s the issue. You bring back players that will win enough to have us picking further back in the lottery, but also tie up cap and force us to run an archaic offense. All while we lose years from valuable rookie scale contracts. It’s a lose lose either way in the grand scheme of things.


Milwaukee never tanked and they drafted their foundational player with a 16th pick + traded for Middleton and Bledsoe. They are the smallest market and least desirable free agency destination in the NBA.

Toronto acquired their franchise player via trade. They did that by retaining their assets, drafting well regardless of where they picked, and staying competitive. That maximized their assets value and provided the best developmental context for their players.

Boston also acquired their key assets by trade and remaining competitive.

The Magic need to retain the assets that they've developed and use them to flip up when the opportunity arises. That's how those teams got their foundational players.


Vuc is 28. He isn’t going to return value once he signs this next contract. Are you suggesting Isaac or Gordon then? Those are really the only two players that we have “developed” that would return said star.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#190 » by SOUL » Fri Apr 26, 2019 7:29 am

Warning: long post below.

I don't think he's not getting criticized as much because he's young (which actually IS a good reason not to criticize someone - why would you expect a rookie to have same impact of a veteran, or somebody getting paid way more money than them? Makes no sense in any work environment for any new person to immediately come in and start doing better than people already there unless they were a "prodigy" which comes around once every 5-10 years like Doncic or LeBron.

IMO you hold too much weight with box score numbers, pepe. Looking at somebody's 20/8 game a year later, you can't tell me off the top of your head whether they got those stats when the game was already over or if those stats had actual impact was when it mattered or not. Actually reading through the threads WHEN things happen is a much more better way to see how players are playing because numbers lie but effort doesn't. Isaac is a rare player whose stats don't always tell the whole story. Just like a football defensive safety not getting interceptions because the quarterback isn't throwing his way, there are games where Isaac is just doing his job on defense, ending with like 2-5 or 3-7 shots and maybe like 6 rebounds and he plays solid. It turns out later on in the year we actually started to share the ball more (as well as him feeling more comfortable) and his offense started to pick up.

And those players got criticized more because 1. They were veterans expected to pick their offensive games up and 2. They failed at their individual roles more so than Isaac did at his.

DJ got criticized after game one because he did not run the team very well. The PG's job is to get people involved and he did way too much dribbling and played zero defense most of the series. I blame a lot of Vuc's struggles on him because while Vuc had the benefit of the doubt of being doubled, DJ just let Green take him out of games and couldn't even shoot enough to keep the Raptors honest.

Fournier as we know has been off all year and it continued in the playoffs. Just didn't get enough consistent scoring out of our shooting guard which was what we needed from him. To spread the floor and get to the line and get easy buckets when others were struggling. Didn't happen enough.

Vuc we already know what happened.

"But they focused on these guys and dared everybody else to beat them." Well, yes? Duh. That's what all teams do in the playoffs. People who play OKC are going to want Jerian Grant and Steven Adams and Schroder to beat them. People who play Blazers are going to want Moe Harkless and Aminu and Seth Curry to beat them. People who play Spurs are going to want Forbes and Gay to beat them. All teams are going to want to play great defense on the #1, #2 options and dare young/inexperienced/role players to do their work.. but the difference is, other people's fans aren't going to make excuses for Vuc/Fournier/etc and then point at people like Isaac or like, MCW and act like because they struggled some games was the reason we lost. The great players/coaches find a way for their best players to score despite all of that.. some of them deliver, some of them don't. If Isaac, Gordon, Fultz, whoever in the future is #1 and #2 option and are the team's "best offensive weapons", you'll be damn sure I'll be just as disappointed if they don't deliver in those areas.

I was extremely content with Isaac's playoffs, although I do wish he had shot better on open threes. But I am happy he improved a lot during the latter half of the season. I thought that there were a lot of missed pass opportunities (as there has been all year) with him flashing open, only to not receive the ball for an easy layup or for the pass to come a second late and it be a turnover.

....

Game 1, Isaac hit some clutch buckets and defended his ass off on Siakam. 24 points on 24 shots is not great, and many of those points were not on Isaac. I'd say a "good" game from him.

Game 2, Isaac had a pretty poor game offensively, was just average defensively. Not his best. "Below average" game.

Game 3, was the only reason we were in the game early. 2nd half didn't do as much, but should've been in the game for Fournier. 14/7 with 2 steals and 2 blocks. And like I made post in the thread, only 9 of Siakam's 30 was on him. Made him work. Got switched onto Kawhi quite a few times too who was 5-19 from him and Gordon's defense. "Good" game from Isaac.

Game 4, fouls sort of just took him out. I thought his defense was very good this game actually and played hard. Was +2 or 3 somehow where he didn't score and where we lost by like 20-30. "Average" game just for his defense, offense was N/A and most of his misses were just missed tip ins from offensive boards/1 bad shot.

Game 5, I think this game was the worst defense he played. Had some okay possessions, but Siakam worked him more one on one this game than any other game, shot badly, wasn't really a factor. Below average.

So I look back, NOT AT THE BOX SCORES, but what I saw on TV. 2 "good" games, 1 "average/eh game", 2 "below average games" and I say to myself, well, that's kind of what I expected from him this series. Him hitting 1 or 2 more open corner threes in those below average games wouldn't have made those better for me, it's just wishful thinking.

But yeah.. for most of the games besides 1 or 2, I think he played hard, made the offensive players work extremely hard on 1on1/switches, and provided that much needed selfless guy in the starting lineup. I would've liked ONE more better offensive game from him to be super pumped about his future on that end.. but I've always thought he will be a top tier role player who will get on an all-defense team.. showed me no differently here.

But that's why he gets less criticism from me than other guys. He's young, he pretty much played his role (besides hitting shots for a few games), and I saw him really affecting the game in certain moments. Read the GB/Toronto threads and you can see their comments on Isaac when he had it going.. really didn't see that for any other player besides Gordon G4 and DJ's G1.

I can't in good faith criticize certain players because I expected them to do the same thing as our first options. I'm mad at DJ this series because I didn't think he did much "point guarding" besides saving us in G1, not because he didn't play defense.. we know he isn't the best there, it's just sort of the "cherry on top" in a bad way when the rest of the stuff isn't happening.

Anyway, that's my two cents.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#191 » by pepe1991 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 8:27 am

He averaged 6,6 points on 27% FG, 20% for 3 and on 8 FGA .
His defensive impact didn't translate because Magid defensive rating, with and without him was flat out terrible.

We use same basic principles to judge everybody else, so why we can't do it to him ?
It's laughable to say that somebody played "good defense" if he had 2 fouls in first 5 min, and was limited to 16 min total on 0 points and 6 rebounds.
Games 2 ,4 and 5 were not "below average " but terrible ones. 2-19 FG, 8 points, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 0 steals, 16 rebounds in 67 min played.

Are that "box score" numbers, yes. But box score is nothing but mirrored, quantifiable translation of things that transpired in a game using objective parameters. It's like saying somebody who runs 100 m dash is doing good and he needed 18 sec to run it.

There are things that box score (at least basic one) does not provide, but with 80+ cameras in building ,nba.com provides tracking of literally everything that happends in a game and measures it . And all things can be easly found- and compared with other players.
They even go out and track how much in feets player runned. For example Gordon runned the most , 13238,4 with average speed of 4,27 miles per hour.

I pointed out that you can get away with one starter ( or even two ) liability on offense, if you have superstar. But that's not case with Magic, and probably won't be case any time soon. Especially because team's ambition is to pair him with Bamba.

Future of this team can't be banking on succes or failure of Fultz as potentially only player capable of getting his and playing with ball, he should be cherry on top of cake, but cake can exist with or without cherry. By the way things are unfoalding, Fultz will have to be cake, cherry and whole dinner.


I really don't get how many fans can watch other teams play and think having bunch of stiff 7 footers incapable of shooting and playing with ball will somehow translate into successful basketball team in future.
Maybe i'm just stupid and i don't understand basketball. Maybe whole league builds team around versitale wings and gaurds because they are stupid. Maybe Warriors are actually terrible team because they have 7 players capable of putting ball on the floor.
Maybe Jordan was scrub. Who knows...
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#192 » by ezzzp » Fri Apr 26, 2019 8:40 am

MagicMatic wrote:
ezzzp wrote:Milwaukee never tanked and they drafted their foundational player with a 16th pick + traded for Middleton and Bledsoe. They are the smallest market and least desirable free agency destination in the NBA.

Toronto acquired their franchise player via trade. They did that by retaining their assets, drafting well regardless of where they picked, and staying competitive. That maximized their assets value and provided the best developmental context for their players.

Boston also acquired their key assets by trade and remaining competitive.

The Magic need to retain the assets that they've developed and use them to flip up when the opportunity arises. That's how those teams got their foundational players.


Vuc is 28. He isn’t going to return value once he signs this next contract. Are you suggesting Isaac or Gordon then? Those are really the only two players that we have “developed” that would return said star.


Yea he can. Vucevic will be in peak prime for 2 more seasons (29 and 30). There are a lot of good players in that age range who have good trade value. Plus his abilities aren't based on athleticism - they are IQ and skill. Plus no one - including Vucevic - knows how much $ his next contract will be for or how it will be structured.

Also, you need different types of assets and contract sizes for transactions of all types. Retaining assets is not just for 1 step instant star. Often its multiple layers with composited transactions. For example, Boston turned vet Tayshun Prince and Marcus Thorton into Isaiah Thomas, they built IT's value (and Crowders) then flipped them for Kyrie Irving.

The best franchises do this, they continuously build ALL their assets values. They do this by staying competitive, draft and develop well regardless of where they pick; they remain opportunistic and maintain desirability in free agency , and they don't waste assets.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#193 » by cedric76 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 8:44 am

After watching the exit interview I m very confident that vuc won’t be back (unfortunately as I m a huge fan of him)

Jeff made it clear that we can mess up our cap

He ll build around players he brought here

Fultz,ji and bamba r the core players

The 2020-2021 (not 2019) lineup will be:

Fultz
Player x
Ag
Isaac

Let see how he ll acquire a long skilled sg with great 3&d skills
Mo
Suggs, Tyus, Jase
Bane, AB, Jett
Franz, TDS,
P5, JI, Panda
Wcj, Goga, Moe
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#194 » by pepe1991 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 8:55 am

Moving toward the future.

There are two paths:
a) resign Vučević and Ross, try to add somebody and then resign them against cap
b) don't resign anybody, enter season with low expetations and probably return to lottery, maybe down the road you'll have enough cap space and talent to add some allstar.

By the 20/21 season Magic will have
Fultz ( $12,2M)
Evan ( $17M )
Gordon ( 18M)
Isaac ( $7,3)
Bamba ( 5,9)
16 pick (2M)

That's $63M tied with 6 players with 3 of them being RFA year after.
That, next summer ,is only realistic time to add star player. BUT 2020 is also the worst FA year in recent history, so poor that right now hoopsrumors rank DJ Augustin as best unrestricted PG .
Rest of a group below



Spoiler:
Point guards
D.J. Augustin (33)
Matthew Dellavedova (30)
Reggie Jackson (30)
Brandon Knight (29)
Kyle Lowry (34)
Jeff Teague (32)
Fred VanVleet (26)
Shooting Guards

Marco Belinelli (34)
Jordan Clarkson (28)
Bryn Forbes (27)
Langston Galloway (29)
Eric Gordon (32)
Joe Harris (29)
Courtney Lee (35)
E’Twaun Moore (31)
Small Forwards

Kent Bazemore (31)
Jae Crowder (30)
Danilo Gallinari (32)
Maurice Harkless (27)
Solomon Hill (29)
Andre Iguodala (36)
C.J. Miles (33)
Chandler Parsons (32)
Andre Roberson (29)
Evan Turner (32)
Power Forwards

Davis Bertans (28)
Draymond Green (30)
Serge Ibaka (31)
Jon Leuer (31)
Centers

Bismack Biyombo (28)
Montrezl Harrell (26)
John Henson (30)
Dwight Howard (35)
Alex Len (27)
Meyers Leonard (28)
Ian Mahinmi (34)
Timofey Mozgov (34)
Mason Plumlee (30)
Miles Plumlee (32)
Tristan Thompson (29)


List of other UFA.

Spoiler:
Restricted Free Agents
Point Guards

Jevon Carter (25)
Kris Dunn (26)
De’Anthony Melton (22)
Dejounte Murray (24)
Jamal Murray (23)
Ben Simmons (24)
Shooting Guards

Malik Beasley (24)
Antonio Blakeney (24)
Jaylen Brown (24)
Buddy Hield (27)
Denzel Valentine (27)
Small Forwards

DeAndre’ Bembry (26)
Bogdan Bogdanovic (28)
Torrey Craig (30)
Brandon Ingram (23)
Caris LeVert (26)
Cedi Osman (25)
Taurean Prince (26)
Power Forwards

Juan Hernangomez (25)
Skal Labissiere (24)
Dario Saric (26)
Pascal Siakam (26)
Centers

Damian Jones (25)
Thon Maker (23)
Jakob Poeltl (25)
Domantas Sabonis (24)
Player Options
Point Guards

Mike Conley (33) — $34,502,132 (Grizzlies)
Note: Early termination option. Partially guaranteed for $22,426,383.
Shooting Guards

Nicolas Batum (32) — $27,130,434 (Hornets)
DeMar DeRozan (31) — $27,739,975 (Raptors)
Evan Fournier (28) — $17,000,000 (Magic)
Tony Snell (29) — $12,178,571 (Bucks)
Small Forwards

Tim Hardaway Jr. (28) — $18,975,000 (Mavericks)
Gordon Hayward (30) — $34,187,085 (Celtics)
Otto Porter (27) — $28,489,239 (Bulls)
Power Forwards

Anthony Davis (27) — $28,751,774 (Pelicans)
Jerami Grant (26) — $9,346,153 (Thunder)
James Johnson (33) — $16,047,100 (Heat)
Centers

Andre Drummond (27) — $28,751,774 (Pistons)
Kelly Olynyk (29) — $13,598,243 (Heat)


This is list in spoiler of restricted FAs and guys with player's option that can be FAs in 2020.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#195 » by npiper17 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:18 am

SOUL wrote:
npiper17 wrote:I wonder at what point does being right and defending your position / the players you like become more important than enjoying being a fan of a professional sports team?

I mean, everyone must have started out just as a fan right?


Yeah, I mean, I can only speak for myself when it comes to debates on this forum, but I think we all have biases. It's innate human nature to do so, the issue is that we all have differing views on how the team should be ran moving forward. Every fanbase has supporters/detractors of players. Toronto just had Jonas fans/detractors, I remember Knicks fans used to have heated debates about Melo's usefulness on the team despite him being an all-star, and every fanbase probably goes through a "tank vs no tank" argument which usually involves the young guys.

I just want to see the team get better and not make shortsighted moves. If it means resigning Vuc for a few years, cool, I'm down with it. If it means moving on all together, I'm cool with that too. I just don't want to mortgage young players for older players unless they're surefire going to turn things around for us, or else we might as well just roll the dice on our young guys. The whole reason I backed the whole youth movement in the first place with Hennigan was because we were obviously going down the tanking road, and when we sort of half-assed the whole thing because our front office couldn't agree, that's where most of the fans started having a huge difference in opinion on what is "good' for us.

Other debates are just personal issues with opinions from posters. I'm sure pepe doesn't understand some people's Vuc hatred, just like I don't understand why Isaac "can't be a starter" when he clearly has a very specific role on the team and has a lot of fans from other teams singing his praises. It always interests me to hear what the minority opinion is on certain players and what their beef is with people that like that player and their reasonings to why that player isn't what most people's opinion is. I feel like when it came to Elfrid I was in the minority, but understood his shortcomings. Just thought that eventually we'd build a team to mask some of that and use the strengths, but it never came to that we obviously had to move him.

And then of course you just have posters that like to troll or play contrarian for contrarian's sake. I guess it keeps the board lively, at least. :lol:


It just seems to me that it’s gotten to a point where certain people take more pleasure from being proved ‘right’ over the success of the team.

I honestly wonder if some people would rather their player evaluations / opinions are correct from a negative standpoint than have that player disprove their opinion and lead the team to greater success.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#196 » by SOUL » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:20 am

You simply move the goalposts too much on criticism which is why people have an issue with your debates. When you're proven otherwise, you don't say "Okay, fair enough, but.." you just move to a different argument. To be fair a lot of people do this, but I think it makes debates come to an end easier when both sides can acknowledge certain areas that make sense.

pepe1991 wrote:He averaged 6,6 points on 27% FG, 20% for 3 and on 8 FGA .
His defensive impact didn't translate because Magid defensive rating, with and without him was flat out terrible.


If you extend that theory to everybody, it's like saying good defense on their best players isn't translatable if the team's defensive rating isn't good. Players can have individually good defensive outings every game and not make a dent in ratings. If Lillard's 50 point game wasn't enough for the win, and everybody else's offensive ratings were terrible and dragged the overall down, would you say Lillard's offensive impact didn't translate? Of course it did.. it means that there was impact elsewhere from other players that didn't add to it. What I'm saying is, a bad team ratings on defense doesn't automatically mean that Isaac played bad defense.

pepe1991 wrote:We use same basic principles to judge everybody else, so why we can't do it to him?


I just explained that... you can judge him but you will experience more push back because most people judge players on their strengths and their current roles, age, contract, no matter what they think will happen in the future with them. Donovan Mitchell just had a pretty terrible playoffs offensively and some Jazz fans are criticizing the hell out of him but the others know it's his 2nd year and that he can improve and that he is young.. I bet if this was his 5th/6th year and he was up for a contract, he would have more criticism because of more expectations and experience.

pepe1991 wrote:It's laughable to say that somebody played "good defense" if he had 2 fouls in first 5 min, and was limited to 16 min total on 0 points and 6 rebounds.


Well that matters if the fouls are BS or not, and +/- isn't everything but don't act like you have not used this before to justify subpar games from players.. it's especially impressive in games where we're being blown out by 20-30 points because that's harder to come by. Since he wasn't even involved really offensively, and just watching the game, his defense WAS good in those minutes.

pepe1991 wrote:Games 2 ,4 and 5 were not "below average " but terrible ones. 2-19 FG, 8 points, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 0 steals, 16 rebounds in 67 min played.


The difference is, I can care less about his box score. If he gets 10/10 double double but is not playing defense, getting opportunistic buckets that fall in his lap or shooting us out of the game, that's worse to me in a game where he doesn't shoot much but does the rest of his role well. And again, that's our different opinions. I think game 4 he played his role well in those minutes but didn't really get an opportunity offensively.. the other 2 games were poor from him, just like they were from 5-6 other players every game.

Again, you didn't really answer why all players should be graded the same. If you acknowledge and think that Isaac will not be a great offensive player, why would he be (vocally) criticized by you MORE than Vuc or Fournier or DJ? If he's not criticized more, you certainly respond to his struggles more than others and are more welcome to discuss it. If Vuc's reasoning (in your mind) could simply be "shut down by a great defensive center + doubles" (which was true) and say Fournier's is "had a bad year" (which was true), why can't Isaac's be "is young and not there yet offensively" (which is also true)?

Just confused why he is the one that should be benched when he's shown nothing but improvement this year.

I hate to keep making analogies to other sports, but I mean, most fans of teams know the strengths and weaknesses of players. A 6 year experience guy making $30 million a year who hit 50 home runs in baseball for his team who then suddenly hits 0 in a playoff series is going to be criticized more than a young guy who is known to just be more of a role player but does his job steadily. Even if he makes a few mistakes and doesn't really move the needle or "impact" that playoff series, there's still hope that he is part of the future because of things he showed that year.

But your logic is more if that young utility role player doesn't hit 5 home runs, and the 50 home run guy whose role on the team is to hit home runs and drive in RBIs also doesn't hit 5 home runs, they should be judged on the same scale.. I don't agree with that at all. I don't think ANYBODY is saying that Isaac didn't play poorly on offense this playoff series.. with some of those numbers, you can't argue that.. and not to compare him to this guy (although I think the worst case where I wouldn't be disappointed, is him turning into Aminu), but I'm sure if Portland had McCollum, Lillard, Nurkic, (not comparing our offensive options to theirs, just in equivalence of 1st-3rd options) etc all struggling on offense shooting sub-35%, people's last worries are going to be about Aminu or going "Gosh, I wish Aminu didn't suck offensively too, this is something we need to talk and debate about more in depth." That alone sounds hilarious to read, now imagine if Aminu was 7 years younger in his 2nd year and had a good amount of promising games after an injury filled rookie year... that's how out of place and strange "equal criticism" looks.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#197 » by SOUL » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:26 am

npiper17 wrote:It just seems to me that it’s gotten to a point where certain people take more pleasure from being proved ‘right’ over the success of the team.

I honestly wonder if some people would rather their player evaluations / opinions are correct from a negative standpoint than have that player disprove their opinion and lead the team to greater success.


I have complained about this in the past. I don't hide who I criticize at all and wanted Vuc gone this season, but his play proved me completely wrong and I was very happy for him and the team that he was able to lead us to the playoffs. The position we're in with draft picks + contract extension + other factors make me still want to move on from him, and I think the "future success" of the team will be closely tied to what we do with him (can we resign him on a palatable contract?), but yeah, I can't find it in me to find and criticize young players on this team unless they've been exhausted with every chance and opportunity and **** it up by not putting in effort, or played selfishly on the floor, or put themselves before the team. I think it's more fun to have faith (as long as it's not unsubstantiated delusion) than to be "right" about younger players struggling.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#198 » by zaymon » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:50 am

I think SOUL that you dont understand pepe point of view. I will show you my point which i think is similar.
First we criticize Isaac becouse we expect much from him. I dont think Aminu had the same talent and expectations. He has a small role offensively becouse he cant take bigger. Shooting open 3 is much less dependant on performance of your top options than driving and creating
Criticizing Vucevic and Fournier is tough becouse they operate in space created by "role players". Its true that Gordon and Isaac are young but it doesnt matter for the other team and our offense. You think Vuc and Evan would have the same numbers with Lowry, Siakam and Green supporting them?

We must accept the point of development our team is in right now. We could play better players than Isaac and make it easier for Vuc and Evan but we decided his development is more important( same as Bamba and Birch, even Clifford said that Bamba is guarantied to get 15 minutes despite being worse than Birch). When you look at lineups, pairing Ross and Evan with one of Gordon/Isaac is better than s5. Why we do it ? Becouse we value long term more than short term. But dont criticize Vucevic and Fournier for carrying a bunch of kids to PO and stealing one game from contender.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#199 » by npiper17 » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:55 am

SOUL wrote:
npiper17 wrote:It just seems to me that it’s gotten to a point where certain people take more pleasure from being proved ‘right’ over the success of the team.

I honestly wonder if some people would rather their player evaluations / opinions are correct from a negative standpoint than have that player disprove their opinion and lead the team to greater success.


I have complained about this in the past. I don't hide who I criticize at all and wanted Vuc gone this season, but his play proved me completely wrong and I was very happy for him and the team that he was able to lead us to the playoffs. The position we're in with draft picks + contract extension + other factors make me still want to move on from him, and I think the "future success" of the team will be closely tied to what we do with him (can we resign him on a palatable contract?), but yeah, I can't find it in me to find and criticize young players on this team unless they've been exhausted with every chance and opportunity and **** it up by not putting in effort, or played selfishly on the floor, or put themselves before the team. I think it's more fun to have faith (as long as it's not unsubstantiated delusion) than to be "right" about younger players struggling.


Completely agree - there are countless examples of young players developing at a variety of different stages. I remember Gary Harris recalling how the Nuggets’ front office brought him in after his rookie year and showed him stats around how he’d had one of the worst rookie seasons for a shooting guard in NBA history. He took it on board, improved and, despite injury issues, is a serviceable player.

Being impatient is what prolonged this rebuild in the first place so I’m more than happy to wait and see what happens with the younger players. Isaac’s growth makes me optimistic for what the player development staff can do with Bamba and potentially Fultz.

Vuc’s turnaround has been surprising to say the least. No one predicted he’d be an all-star before the season started. I’m quite relaxed about Vuc because I don’t see him as part of the next contending Magic team but I’m happy to keep him around for two more seasons whilst Bamba gets ready to play 30-35 minutes a night and contribute at a high level. I’d also be interested to see what Vuc could do with capable three point shooters around him.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 I: Big decisions on the horizon 

Post#200 » by SOUL » Fri Apr 26, 2019 9:58 am

In spite of all the debate, I think there are a few things we can agree on:

The Magic were successful this year because of defense first and foremost. It absolutely helped having breakout offensive years from Vucevic and Ross as well as DJ, but defense was our calling card for the entire year. Vuc, Isaac, Gordon, Birch and a few others were huge parts of that.

The question is, can Bamba grow to have the same defensive impact? Of course. He looked lost many times this year but even when he wasn't in the right place, his natural abilities + length gave him time to recover and throw off players. If Vuc can go from subpar to solid defender in 3-4 years, Bamba can certainly reach that level (and higher) with his abilities.

Can Bamba reach Vuc's offensive levels? Not this year's Vuc, and we shouldn't expect that either. But it took Vuc almost 7 seasons to do this. And while Vuc has had individually impressive years before this as far as numbers go, the impact and efficiency didn't come with it. The 14/10, 16/9 versions of Vuc before this year were not particularly impressive when it came from mostly mid-range shots without free throws or three point shots added in. Those are easily replaceable points. This year of Vucevic isn't easy to replace. If he doesn't resign, it has to come from a mixture of players, not just Bamba. Bamba has the ability to spread the floor without waiting 5 years to do so, but isn't close to having the inside game yet/is too weak to be imposing there yet. Maybe he keeps training with Embiid and learns some tricks.

This is the crux of the matter for me. Bamba + Gordon + Isaac is more than enough defensive firepower to make Clifford happy. Can we build a scoring bench? Can Fultz actually recover and play like a #1 pick like his Washington days? Can we acquire a scoring SG without giving up a player like Bamba or picks? Do the Isaac/Gordon pairing work out in the future? Those things will need to be answered, but at different times.

That's our best, best, best case scenario though. Fultz plays like a #1 pick should (hell, even just a slightly above average PG with his skillset would be amazing for us), we somehow acquire a better SG option than Fournier + Ross without giving up a big asset, Gordon becomes a more efficient version of himself, Isaac becomes the ultimate 3&D, first team defense sort of guy, Bamba gets stronger, plays more fiery (don't think it's passion related, just energy), bulks up and becomes another frontcourt option that can 3&D, and then we have a solid bench. I don't think all 5 of those things will happen, but I can see 3/5 of them happening and that being enough to have a better team than we currently have.. still the issue of not having a "star" on the team though.. baby steps I guess?
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