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Who do you want us to take at #1?

Moderators: ChosenSavior, UCF, Knightro, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, Howard Mass

Who would you take at #1?

Jabari smith
111
51%
Chet Holmgren
63
29%
Paolo Banchero
27
13%
Jaden Ivey
1
0%
Keegan Murray
1
0%
Shaedon Sharpe
8
4%
Other
5
2%
 
Total votes: 216

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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#201 » by tiderulz » Wed May 18, 2022 9:07 pm

Def Swami wrote:
Xatticus wrote:
GelbeWand09 wrote:
I can understand that & see the appeal & i'm happy with Jabari too but i just think Chet's gonna be a better player in case that Jabari doesnt learn to drive (which is one of the hardest things to learn).
I can make the same argument and say. Look its a dribble penetration game. Check the conference finals. You see Tatum, Brown, Butler, Doncic, Steph, Poole & not a oversized Klay or Rashard Lewis leading those teams.


Chet is just the much better basketball player at this point in time. What advantages does Jabari have? He is a better shooter. That's pretty much the whole of it. What does Chet do well? Pretty much everything.

I really don't care what other teams look like. I'm not taking a lesser player because some other team doesn't have a great 7-footer on their roster.

Chet is the guy you want. He isn't a guy trying to look like he is the guy you want.

Every year people try to talk themselves into guys that look like what you think a great basketball player should look like. Who are the legends? Larry Bird. Charles Barkley. Bill Walton. What matters isn't what you look like. What matters is whether or not you can play basketball.

I've been trying to figure out why a good chunk of people have dismissed Holmgren. Sometimes I feel like I watched a different college basketball season.

Other than shooting, which he holds his own in, he does everything else as good or better than Smith. He's a more complete offensive player. He's a better finisher around the rim. He's a better ball handler and passer. He's a better rim protector. He was more efficient (higher than TS% and eFG%). His advanced stats are better across the board (PER, WS, BPM, net rating). I think Holmgren's weight is a concern, but after that, he's a probably the most complete player among him, Smith, and Banchero. I actually think he's going to contribute right away in a way that Evan Mobley was able to last year.

Maybe this is it though. Perhaps it's some implicit bias that doesn't fit the vision for what we perceive as an all-NBA or MVP player. And that's usually the case until you get these guys who break the mold. You can add Jokic to your list of examples. It's a skill based league and I don't think body types are as important as they used to be in an antiquated NBA where big men had to bang with one another in the post for 48 minutes. Holmgren is really good at basketball. I think this entire conversation is about his weight or lack thereof, and if you're not going to draft him #1, it's because of that and that only. And that's a fair reason to not take him.

Personally, I always default to who is better at playing basketball and then think about their physical aspects after that.

maybe its because where he showed your highlighted traits were in conference against much smaller players. Ive posted on another thread i believe his stats against ranked teams. he didnt show nearly as much shooting, finishing and efficiency.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#202 » by LDNMagic90 » Wed May 18, 2022 9:11 pm

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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#203 » by tiderulz » Wed May 18, 2022 9:13 pm

Xatticus wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:
Xatticus wrote:
Chet is just the much better basketball player at this point in time. What advantages does Jabari have? He is a better shooter. That's pretty much the whole of it. What does Chet do well? Pretty much everything.

I really don't care what other teams look like. I'm not taking a lesser player because some other team doesn't have a great 7-footer on their roster.

Chet is the guy you want. He isn't a guy trying to look like he is the guy you want.

Every year people try to talk themselves into guys that look like what you think a great basketball player should look like. Who are the legends? Larry Bird. Charles Barkley. Bill Walton. What matters isn't what you look like. What matters is whether or not you can play basketball.


I thought the difference between Paolo/Jabari and Chet was that the former two were more "ready-made" prospects that would help in the now, while Chet is more of a guy that possibly surpasses them 3-4 years from now with a higher ceiling. I don't know if the other guys are lesser in that aspect.

You don't find it the slightest bit relevant that all the true championship contenders have a plethora of dynamic two-way wings and guys that initiate offense at the point of attack?

I get it. Chet is good at basketball. He is also none of those things mentioned. None of the projected top 3 guys are those things as we understand them to be. Do you believe Chet breaks all limitations with his body type as a "big" or do you think hes going to be utilized differently than what any of us expect?


The only concern with Chet is the body. He is a much better basketball player than the other two. Banchero has an iso game. That's it. Jabari is a long-range specialist that should be able to defend down a position or two. Chet also has a higher basketball IQ than either of the other two. He is good at pretty much everything.

I wouldn't set any limitations on how Chet will be used. I just know that as he builds strength, it will accentuate the skill base he already has. He knows how to set screens. He can initiate from the high post and he can play the high/low game with another big as he frequently did with Timme. He can already shoot. He is a good ball mover. He knows when to attack and when not to. He is much better on both ends than most people around here seem to think he is. He is just a very good basketball player. His path to stardom is much more straightforward than for the other two. They need to add significant skills. Chet just has to get stronger.

I'm old enough to have seen that there is no magic formula to winning championships. People have believed that there is a magic formula and that formula has changed from era to era. It's all about who the best players are at any given time. I also believe you are mischaracterizing the nature of the best teams at this point. It's absolutely important to have good wing defenders, but where the offense comes from is irrelevant. It's the quality that matters. I do believe it is a significant hindrance to play bad defensive bigs, but it is a hindrance to ever have to rely on bad defensive players in the playoffs. Playing good defensive bigs is not a problem. Gobert isn't why Utah has failed. Embiid isn't why Philly has failed. Giannis isn't why Milwaukee has failed. There are plenty of wing-driven teams that are sitting at home right now as well. GS has been the most dominant franchise over the last decade and they don't fit the narrative. I just don't buy the premise.

its not just getting stronger. to honestly play, he needs to add at least 25-30 lbs, while not letting it affect his game. Ive seen film on Chet, i think people overstate his ability. He can dribble, but he isnt a PG. he is not a great creator of his own shot. He is a decent passer, but not extraordinarily so. Also a year older than Smith. I wonder what Smith could add to his game in another year. also older than Banchero.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#204 » by tiderulz » Wed May 18, 2022 9:16 pm

LDNMagic90 wrote:
Read on Twitter

good statement on twitter. If he is already doing that, gaining 20-30 lbs may not be as easy as people think
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#205 » by OrlandoSaban » Wed May 18, 2022 9:25 pm

Absolutely not on Chet. I am Gonzaga'd out. Have not been impressed at all with suggs, meaning I know I will not be impressed with this pretender.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#206 » by LDNMagic90 » Wed May 18, 2022 9:25 pm

tiderulz wrote:
LDNMagic90 wrote:
Read on Twitter

good statement on twitter. If he is already doing that, gaining 20-30 lbs may not be as easy as people think


Definitely not, my brother was a similar build to Chet and he’d eat like crazy. He barely put on any weight until he got to his late 20s and then he filled his frame he’s now a bodybuilder lol
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#207 » by The Real Dalic » Wed May 18, 2022 9:50 pm

I'd be happy with any of the projected top 5. But my preferences are in order of: Jabari, Jaden, Chet, Paolo, Shaedon.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#208 » by basketballRob » Wed May 18, 2022 9:55 pm

I feel like Chet is getting way more buzz around the internet as the #1 pick. ESPN is showing a pick of Chet in a Magic jersey on Instagram.


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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#209 » by Los_29 » Wed May 18, 2022 10:00 pm

I think Paolo and Jabari are the best plays here. Paolo might have the most upside, Jabari might have the highest floor. Chet just seems a bit too risky for my liking and Jaden just does too many things poorly (defense, passing). He's an incredible athlete and there is star potential there but there is also a probability he doesn't pan out.

Paolo or Jabari to go along with Franz, Isaac, Cole, Suggs, Chuma, Fultz and WCJ is a really good group moving forward. There is star potential there but there are also players there that can be really good complimentary players which is what you need to win in this league.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#210 » by Magic_Kingdom » Wed May 18, 2022 10:02 pm

Orlando was 29th in points per game this season, 28th in FG%, 28th in 3-point FG%.

If you have Jabari and Chet graded even remotely close to each other, you have to go with Jabari. He immediately makes this team better in the area it needs the most help. His shooting will take so much pressure off our non-shooting guards, and think of Fultz, Suggs and Franz driving and kicking to him. We have the players who can find him open.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#211 » by VFX » Wed May 18, 2022 10:05 pm

Xatticus wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:
Xatticus wrote:
Chet is just the much better basketball player at this point in time. What advantages does Jabari have? He is a better shooter. That's pretty much the whole of it. What does Chet do well? Pretty much everything.

I really don't care what other teams look like. I'm not taking a lesser player because some other team doesn't have a great 7-footer on their roster.

Chet is the guy you want. He isn't a guy trying to look like he is the guy you want.

Every year people try to talk themselves into guys that look like what you think a great basketball player should look like. Who are the legends? Larry Bird. Charles Barkley. Bill Walton. What matters isn't what you look like. What matters is whether or not you can play basketball.


I thought the difference between Paolo/Jabari and Chet was that the former two were more "ready-made" prospects that would help in the now, while Chet is more of a guy that possibly surpasses them 3-4 years from now with a higher ceiling. I don't know if the other guys are lesser in that aspect.

You don't find it the slightest bit relevant that all the true championship contenders have a plethora of dynamic two-way wings and guys that initiate offense at the point of attack?

I get it. Chet is good at basketball. He is also none of those things mentioned. None of the projected top 3 guys are those things as we understand them to be. Do you believe Chet breaks all limitations with his body type as a "big" or do you think hes going to be utilized differently than what any of us expect?


The only concern with Chet is the body. He is a much better basketball player than the other two. Banchero has an iso game. That's it. Jabari is a long-range specialist that should be able to defend down a position or two. Chet also has a higher basketball IQ than either of the other two. He is good at pretty much everything.

I wouldn't set any limitations on how Chet will be used. I just know that as he builds strength, it will accentuate the skill base he already has. He knows how to set screens. He can initiate from the high post and he can play the high/low game with another big as he frequently did with Timme. He can already shoot. He is a good ball mover. He knows when to attack and when not to. He is much better on both ends than most people around here seem to think he is. He is just a very good basketball player. His path to stardom is much more straightforward than for the other two. They need to add significant skills. Chet just has to get stronger.

I'm old enough to have seen that there is no magic formula to winning championships. People have believed that there is a magic formula and that formula has changed from era to era. It's all about who the best players are at any given time. I also believe you are mischaracterizing the nature of the best teams at this point. It's absolutely important to have good wing defenders, but where the offense comes from is irrelevant. It's the quality that matters. I do believe it is a significant hindrance to play bad defensive bigs, but it is a hindrance to ever have to rely on bad defensive players in the playoffs. Playing good defensive bigs is not a problem. Gobert isn't why Utah has failed. Embiid isn't why Philly has failed. Giannis isn't why Milwaukee has failed. There are plenty of wing-driven teams that are sitting at home right now as well. GS has been the most dominant franchise over the last decade and they don't fit the narrative. I just don't buy the premise.


Fair enough. If he is the pick, then I will 100% support him as a Magic fan. If he ends up having multiple season ending injuries I will hate this FO more than ever (not sure if possible?) until they are gone.

I don’t believe it’s disingenuous to say that most scouts, and people that rank prospects, have recently gone completely away from the Center position up until this draft. I don’t blame them because the draft hasn’t yielded the results for them to continue to go against that trend. Maybe Chet can play next to WCJr and this mismatch system makes more sense than with Jabari. These guys did draft Mo Bamba and Jonathan Isaac after all.

I don’t think where the offense comes from is irrelevant. It’s about the system and not about the positions in particular. The touches offensively in those systems will be variably different based on the talent. I’m just saying that if I had to choose (I’m not) I’d rather Orlando not go down that path again for the upteenth time in franchise history.

Like I said earlier, I don’t really care if they draft Chet, Jabari, or Paolo. 2022 wasn’t a good enough crop of prospects at the top for me to care who they select tbh. To me it's more about the system that those prospects encourage and not about them directly as players. Orlando will be in the lotto next year regardless of who they select. Maybe then they can get lucky and take Victor so they can be the complete antithesis to successful basketball results in this era. But you know I’m being facetious…
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#212 » by basketballRob » Wed May 18, 2022 10:09 pm

Weltman. Sounds like we're keeping the second round picks this season.


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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#213 » by RookieStar » Wed May 18, 2022 10:43 pm

basketballRob wrote:Weltman. Sounds like we're keeping the second round picks this season.




You mean Mr. Cash consideration and Mr. Future SRP?
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#214 » by CZ Eddie » Wed May 18, 2022 10:57 pm

Man, you'd think having the #1 pick means we would be the team with the easiest choice. :roll:

We require a go-to scorer. The #1 scoring option.
Between Jabari & Chet, that's Jabari right now but who knows about Chet in the future.

basketballRob wrote:I feel like Chet is getting way more buzz around the internet as the #1 pick. ESPN is showing a pick of Chet in a Magic jersey on Instagram.


I think Chet's going to be a click-getter. He's the anomaly and everyone wants to read about what's going to happen with him.
So, he'll have the most articles written and get lots of attention.

I liked Chet assuming we'd pick at #2 or #3.
Now that we have #1, I have to take a closer look at Smith and see what he's really all about.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#215 » by penny_nz » Wed May 18, 2022 11:15 pm

tiderulz wrote:
penny_nz wrote:
tiderulz wrote:they played together in High School and AAU (won 3 state titles together, friends since middle school) then both went to Gonzaga, though they werent there at the same time obviously.


Much appreciated! Wow that's ALOT of history and hard to ignore, you always hear about building around a front court / back court star duo ... that kind of chemistry and HOPEFULLY wanting to stay together with the Magic is hard to ignore. If the FO believes in Suggs (I still do), that absolutely should be a factor.

Food for thought...

chemistry to me falls 2nd to talent. you can build chemistry, you cant build talent.


Oh 120%, but if the talent eval comes out close, could be an interesting factor the decision making
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#216 » by richi_v25 » Wed May 18, 2022 11:19 pm

OrlandoSaban wrote:Absolutely not on Chet. I am Gonzaga'd out. Have not been impressed at all with suggs, meaning I know I will not be impressed with this pretender.


I kinda feel the same way so I'm team Smith but after looking at some Suggs draft tapes I really do think he was trying to play most of the year injured. I think he tried hard to give the fans a show but in the end he just watered it all down with his horrible shooting.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#217 » by MoGrAdY » Wed May 18, 2022 11:25 pm

Glad I don't have the decision at the end of the day. I really like all 3 and think they would each give the Team something we need. I could easily see Banchero being a #1 option for an offense, he's got some Carmelo to his game. Jabari looks the part but I would like to see more creation skills from him. Chet to me is easily the best player from a tools perspective, not too many guy his size can do what he does. I just worry about him getting destroyed on a nightly basis by bigger/stronger players. That said, I will be happy with any of them but currently leaning Chet.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#218 » by RookieStar » Wed May 18, 2022 11:32 pm

basketballRob wrote:I feel like Chet is getting way more buzz around the internet as the #1 pick. ESPN is showing a pick of Chet in a Magic jersey on Instagram.


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Asidr from the uniform l, is anything else photoshopped?

NGL, he looks actually decent in that pic with potential to fill out.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#219 » by PrimeThyme » Wed May 18, 2022 11:47 pm

Jabari is just everything I want in a modern day 4.

6’10, beautiful touch, athletic with the ability to switch 1-4, and more than anything, his motor just runs so hot on both ends of the court. I mean just watch him anytime a change of possession, rebound, or turnover happens on defense. Bari immediately runs the floor like a gazelle and beats everyone else down there. So many of his blocks are him just refusing to give up on a play regardless of how many points Auburn was up or down.

Chet is an Uber competitor as well, and somebody I loved watching, I just think the NBA is continuing to move towards the exact mold of player that Jabari is on both ends of the floor.

He’s one of my favorite prospects of the last 10 years.
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Re: Who do you want us to take at #1? 

Post#220 » by anothermagicfan » Wed May 18, 2022 11:47 pm

I go with Smith. I think he's got the best chance to be great player for many years. He's not Jordan or LeBron. But neither is chet or Paola. I think chet might be porzingas.....or darko.....or grant hill in high heels. And I don't think I want any of them. Paola is very intriguing but I gotta go with Smith to be the player that is going to better for longer. Smith is billed as more of a power forward/small forward with comparison of Rashard Lewis and his shooting stroke reminds of kd. Yeah sign me up for that. I'm loving the comparison of franz/Smith to hedo/Lewis.

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