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2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm

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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#241 » by Knightro » Sat Mar 15, 2025 4:12 am

thelead wrote:What are JI's advanced stats compared to last year? I haven't looked into it but I feel like he started terrible but has been better (defensively) as of late. I still do not get why he's still on some sort of minutes restriction when WCJ and Goga have been struggling.


You’re correct.

His Defensive EPM is currently a season high +2.0 (98th percentile).
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#242 » by Rainwater » Sat Mar 15, 2025 4:23 am

Knightro wrote:
Rainwater wrote:
Knightro wrote:
Paolo was 10/24 shooting with 4 minutes left in the game.

6/8 in the final four minutes with 5 of the 6 makes coming when the Magic were down 3 possessions and Minny was conceding twos to avoid threes.

He was fine. He wasn’t as good as the final box score would indicate.

There was some significant stat padding going on. And ultimately I’m not knocking him, if they’re conceding shots, take them and hope they miss at the FT line isn’t a terrible strategy.


You keep saying this like it was a blowout but you do realize the Magic were only down 2 with less than 4 mins to go. Don’t think giving up was an option at that point.

The game didn’t really feel out of reach until the last min. That is when the stat paddling began if you want to call it that.


His basket with 3:32 to go tied the game and then Wolves immediately went on a 9-0 run that essentially put the game out of reach.

Paolo scored four baskets and made three free throws *after* that 9-0 Wolves run. All four baskets and all three free throws came with the Magic down three possessions.


They were only down 6 with a 1:10 left in the game. It didn't feel out of hand until Edwards went for an easy layup at the 56 seconds to go. But even than his and+1 at the 44 second mark was pretty contested.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#243 » by OrlandoDream » Sat Mar 15, 2025 4:40 am

Rainwater wrote:
OrlandoDream wrote:
Rainwater wrote:
Gogo has also been trash and JI is not a full-time center. Mose doesn't really have many options.

Goga played better to start the game then wendell the the whole game. our C situation sucks but Goga would have given more effort. Also why is JI not playing more then 10min!>?!


Honestly, Gogo didn't do much when he was in the game. I barely remember him playing. Given how poorly all the centers have been, I just don't know how you can judge Mose for whoever he chooses to play.

Thats another problem to discuss. Mosleys rotations make no sense. I don't understand this 12 man rotation. Whats the point of Jett and goga to get 4-5 min then never see the game again? makes no sense
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#244 » by JF5 » Sat Mar 15, 2025 4:53 am

OrlandoDream wrote:
Rainwater wrote:
OrlandoDream wrote:Goga played better to start the game then wendell the the whole game. our C situation sucks but Goga would have given more effort. Also why is JI not playing more then 10min!>?!


Honestly, Gogo didn't do much when he was in the game. I barely remember him playing. Given how poorly all the centers have been, I just don't know how you can judge Mose for whoever he chooses to play.

Thats another problem to discuss. Mosleys rotations make no sense. I don't understand this 12 man rotation. Whats the point of Jett and goga to get 4-5 min then never see the game again? makes no sense


Most of the team struggles on a game by game basis. So it makes sense that he'll go deeper to find something that works.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#245 » by fateis007 » Sat Mar 15, 2025 4:57 am

AB and Franz killed us tonight. We could have probably got through Franz **** game.

But AB easily allowed them to go on that 14-0 run in the 4th. He simple can't manage the game like a point guard, and forces tons of contested stuff at the rim. Our offense was a disaster with him trying to break the zone.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#246 » by eyriq » Sat Mar 15, 2025 5:30 am

My dunce cap vote goes to Franz.

WCJ, is a close second. 3rd is AB.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#247 » by KillMonger » Sat Mar 15, 2025 6:06 am

as dire as things may seem...it shouldn't take that much to improve the team.......at least in theory.......get rid of the dead weight....add competent players around paolo and franz.....for me we don't necessarily need a ball dominant PG......would love a center that could block shots rebound and spread the floor but those don't grow on trees....not only that though we got to have a decent bench as well....now that i've said all that maybe it's a bit harder than i think....either way no matter who we bring in the development of paolo and franz is key, we all know what they need to work on...we go as far as they take us
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#248 » by pepe1991 » Sat Mar 15, 2025 6:16 am

Through first half we gave up way too many open 3s.
During 3rd quarter, Wolves went stone cold.

In 4th quarter they tuned in their choke-defense for 8 min and turn game around ( 40 points allowed )

Mosley playing starters while they were up by 30 last night didn't help.

Franz with worst game this year.

We have habit of not feeding hot hands. Joseph 4-6, Houstan career night, 9 shots, Da Silva 3-6 FG (2-3).

People call out our centers for lack of scoring but- Carter 30 min - 5 shots, Goga 0 shots 6 min, Isaac 3 shots 9 min.
You can't really score much if 3 of your Cs combine for 8 shots :lol:

48/86 shots from two players. Paolo 43% uage, Franz 30%. Wolves offense was way more balanced, nobody with 20 shots, almost whole team shot +50% FG.
Franz sucked whole game, Paolo went from 52%-ish TS to 58% TS when game was way out of hands (4 made shots in a row in last 4 min)

As for Black blame. After near full two seasons, you know what you are getting. On team that has disciplined defense, he is useless and borderline unplayable. Against bad teams that jump lines for no reason he can get at rim.
He is at his worst against teams that put lot of pressure on ball handlers. OKC game being rare ( only? ) exception to that rule.
He didn't lost this game for us. But hoping he is your "PG" is fool's gold. He isn't guard. Let alone point guard.

Like i said on other game thread, vs Pelicans. We will now lose 3 in a row. 1/3 done.
Majority of other "play in competition" is doing everything they can to lose more, poor Bulls struggle to lose when they want to , Heat sucks right now, Hawks just lost by 40 to Clippers, Raptors are winning way too much.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#249 » by KillMonger » Sat Mar 15, 2025 6:48 am

pepe1991 wrote:Through first half we gave up way too many open 3s.
During 3rd quarter, Wolves went stone cold.

In 4th quarter they tuned in their choke-defense for 8 min and turn game around ( 40 points allowed )

Mosley playing starters while they were up by 30 last night didn't help.

Franz with worst game this year.

We have habit of not feeding hot hands. Joseph 4-6, Houstan career night, 9 shots, Da Silva 3-6 FG (2-3).

People call out our centers for lack of scoring but- Carter 30 min - 5 shots, Goga 0 shots 6 min, Isaac 3 shots 9 min.
You can't really score much if 3 of your Cs combine for 8 shots :lol:

48/86 shots from two players. Paolo 43% uage, Franz 30%. Wolves offense was way more balanced, nobody with 20 shots, almost whole team shot +50% FG.
Franz sucked whole game, Paolo went from 52%-ish TS to 58% TS when game was way out of hands (4 made shots in a row in last 4 min)

As for Black blame. After near full two seasons, you know what you are getting. On team that has disciplined defense, he is useless and borderline unplayable. Against bad teams that jump lines for no reason he can get at rim.
He is at his worst against teams that put lot of pressure on ball handlers. OKC game being rare ( only? ) exception to that rule.
He didn't lost this game for us. But hoping he is your "PG" is fool's gold. He isn't guard. Let alone point guard.

Like i said on other game thread, vs Pelicans. We will now lose 3 in a row. 1/3 done.
Majority of other "play in competition" is doing everything they can to lose more, poor Bulls struggle to lose when they want to , Heat sucks right now, Hawks just lost by 40 to Clippers, Raptors are winning way too much.

wasn't it like a 2 possession game with less than 2 to go? wouldn't say that's way out of hand
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#250 » by drsd » Sat Mar 15, 2025 7:00 am

Box score thoughts:
Orlando lost the FG% battle and lost the game.

Nice to see the Magic above 40% for the three ball landing on 12 made longballs. But this game was lost becasue of very poor two-point shooting (Example: Houstan 6-8 from 3 and missed his only 2-ball attempt). The final FG% of 44.9% for Orlando and 52.5% for Minny was literally the only reason the Magic lost.

That said: Minny made 2 more three balls (6-points) and 1 more FT (1 point), and as 6+1=7, I note the Magic lost by 7 points. So ...

What is particularly interesting is that a huge number of Magicians had good shooting nights and the collective FG% problem was due to only two players: F-Wagner and Black. I don't think we should necessarily blame them though as Orlando will win most games when they score 111. So the defensive failures need to be blamed also. But that is were things get wild statistically!

Randle and Edwards both had negative plus-minus numbers. The other three starters had plus-minus numbers above the numbers they scored. How???
McDaniels +16 on only 11 points. Gobert +16 on only 12 points scored. And Conley on an amazing +20 on only 9 points scored. That is really odd.

Orlando got smoked on rebounding differential (minus-14) offset in part by winning turnover differential (minus-4). Clearly the Magic could have won if there was much better offenive rebounding. But there both teams sucked. There was only 12 offensive boards collectively by both teams.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#251 » by ogmagicfan » Sat Mar 15, 2025 7:05 am

KillMonger wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:Through first half we gave up way too many open 3s.
During 3rd quarter, Wolves went stone cold.

In 4th quarter they tuned in their choke-defense for 8 min and turn game around ( 40 points allowed )

Mosley playing starters while they were up by 30 last night didn't help.

Franz with worst game this year.

We have habit of not feeding hot hands. Joseph 4-6, Houstan career night, 9 shots, Da Silva 3-6 FG (2-3).

People call out our centers for lack of scoring but- Carter 30 min - 5 shots, Goga 0 shots 6 min, Isaac 3 shots 9 min.
You can't really score much if 3 of your Cs combine for 8 shots :lol:

48/86 shots from two players. Paolo 43% uage, Franz 30%. Wolves offense was way more balanced, nobody with 20 shots, almost whole team shot +50% FG.
Franz sucked whole game, Paolo went from 52%-ish TS to 58% TS when game was way out of hands (4 made shots in a row in last 4 min)

As for Black blame. After near full two seasons, you know what you are getting. On team that has disciplined defense, he is useless and borderline unplayable. Against bad teams that jump lines for no reason he can get at rim.
He is at his worst against teams that put lot of pressure on ball handlers. OKC game being rare ( only? ) exception to that rule.
He didn't lost this game for us. But hoping he is your "PG" is fool's gold. He isn't guard. Let alone point guard.

Like i said on other game thread, vs Pelicans. We will now lose 3 in a row. 1/3 done.
Majority of other "play in competition" is doing everything they can to lose more, poor Bulls struggle to lose when they want to , Heat sucks right now, Hawks just lost by 40 to Clippers, Raptors are winning way too much.

wasn't it like a 2 possession game with less than 2 to go? wouldn't say that's way out of hand


107-101 with 1:10 left in the game
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#252 » by pepe1991 » Sat Mar 15, 2025 7:14 am

ogmagicfan wrote:
KillMonger wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:Through first half we gave up way too many open 3s.
During 3rd quarter, Wolves went stone cold.

In 4th quarter they tuned in their choke-defense for 8 min and turn game around ( 40 points allowed )

Mosley playing starters while they were up by 30 last night didn't help.

Franz with worst game this year.

We have habit of not feeding hot hands. Joseph 4-6, Houstan career night, 9 shots, Da Silva 3-6 FG (2-3).

People call out our centers for lack of scoring but- Carter 30 min - 5 shots, Goga 0 shots 6 min, Isaac 3 shots 9 min.
You can't really score much if 3 of your Cs combine for 8 shots :lol:

48/86 shots from two players. Paolo 43% uage, Franz 30%. Wolves offense was way more balanced, nobody with 20 shots, almost whole team shot +50% FG.
Franz sucked whole game, Paolo went from 52%-ish TS to 58% TS when game was way out of hands (4 made shots in a row in last 4 min)

As for Black blame. After near full two seasons, you know what you are getting. On team that has disciplined defense, he is useless and borderline unplayable. Against bad teams that jump lines for no reason he can get at rim.
He is at his worst against teams that put lot of pressure on ball handlers. OKC game being rare ( only? ) exception to that rule.
He didn't lost this game for us. But hoping he is your "PG" is fool's gold. He isn't guard. Let alone point guard.

Like i said on other game thread, vs Pelicans. We will now lose 3 in a row. 1/3 done.
Majority of other "play in competition" is doing everything they can to lose more, poor Bulls struggle to lose when they want to , Heat sucks right now, Hawks just lost by 40 to Clippers, Raptors are winning way too much.

wasn't it like a 2 possession game with less than 2 to go? wouldn't say that's way out of hand


107-101 with 1:10 left in the game


There was also 111-117 with 12 sec to play, but you simply can't win ( or force OT) such game against contending team.
Game went out of hands when Randle dunked putback, with over 2 min to play, in next possession Franz' TO lead to McDaniels dunk and -9.


Let's be real, game ended when halfway through 4th quarter result was 17-3. We went from +11 to - 5, momentum changed, their fans got into a game, and they started playing great defense.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#253 » by cedric76 » Sat Mar 15, 2025 9:28 am

Moses Lost us the game again, something is off with him, not sure what happened
Suggs, Tyus, Jase
Bane, AB, Jett
Franz, TDS,
P5, JI, Panda
Wcj, Goga, Moe
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#254 » by basketballRob » Sat Mar 15, 2025 9:40 am

I was impressed at how well Black handled the ball under Minnesota's pressure. He's making strides. 0 turnovers. I'm pretty sure they stripped Franz a couple of times.

Black is still 136 days younger than Suggs was at the beginning of his second season and 106 days younger than Cole. Black will finish this season at a younger age than Cole or Suggs were during their entire second seasons.



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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#255 » by basketballRob » Sat Mar 15, 2025 10:05 am

They should consider stopping Wendell from shooting 3's for a while. He's part of the reason we can't have winning streaks while he's the starter. So much depends on whether his shot is falling or not. He should pass unless he's wide open near the basket.

Our worst shooters take the most outside shots.

If he played closer to the basket, he'd get more rebounds.

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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#256 » by Knightro » Sat Mar 15, 2025 11:29 am

ogmagicfan wrote:
KillMonger wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:Through first half we gave up way too many open 3s.
During 3rd quarter, Wolves went stone cold.

In 4th quarter they tuned in their choke-defense for 8 min and turn game around ( 40 points allowed )

Mosley playing starters while they were up by 30 last night didn't help.

Franz with worst game this year.

We have habit of not feeding hot hands. Joseph 4-6, Houstan career night, 9 shots, Da Silva 3-6 FG (2-3).

People call out our centers for lack of scoring but- Carter 30 min - 5 shots, Goga 0 shots 6 min, Isaac 3 shots 9 min.
You can't really score much if 3 of your Cs combine for 8 shots :lol:

48/86 shots from two players. Paolo 43% uage, Franz 30%. Wolves offense was way more balanced, nobody with 20 shots, almost whole team shot +50% FG.
Franz sucked whole game, Paolo went from 52%-ish TS to 58% TS when game was way out of hands (4 made shots in a row in last 4 min)

As for Black blame. After near full two seasons, you know what you are getting. On team that has disciplined defense, he is useless and borderline unplayable. Against bad teams that jump lines for no reason he can get at rim.
He is at his worst against teams that put lot of pressure on ball handlers. OKC game being rare ( only? ) exception to that rule.
He didn't lost this game for us. But hoping he is your "PG" is fool's gold. He isn't guard. Let alone point guard.

Like i said on other game thread, vs Pelicans. We will now lose 3 in a row. 1/3 done.
Majority of other "play in competition" is doing everything they can to lose more, poor Bulls struggle to lose when they want to , Heat sucks right now, Hawks just lost by 40 to Clippers, Raptors are winning way too much.

wasn't it like a 2 possession game with less than 2 to go? wouldn't say that's way out of hand


107-101 with 1:10 left in the game


Down 6 without the ball with 1:10 to go is out of hand.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#257 » by Knightro » Sat Mar 15, 2025 11:36 am

From 2:48 to go until the end of the game, the Magic had the ball down two possessions once and every other time they had the ball the rest of the game they were down at least three possessions.

The game was effectively over with three minutes left.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#258 » by MartinsIzAfraud » Sat Mar 15, 2025 12:20 pm

Knightro wrote:
thelead wrote:What are JI's advanced stats compared to last year? I haven't looked into it but I feel like he started terrible but has been better (defensively) as of late. I still do not get why he's still on some sort of minutes restriction when WCJ and Goga have been struggling.


You’re correct.

His Defensive EPM is currently a season high +2.0 (98th percentile).


Honestly doesn’t matter when he plays 9-12 minutes a game. Dude needs to be pushing 20 minutes or he’s wasted.
A scoring guard.. never heard of one. :roll:
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#259 » by Bergmaniac » Sat Mar 15, 2025 12:53 pm

Hard to be mad at this loss, the Wolves have been incredible lately, they spanked the Nuggets in Denver in their previous game and we were on the second night of a back to back. The game really showed what a difference having even one guy have a hot night from 3 makes for our offense, Houstan's barrage is what kept the game close. The Wolves were getting easier looks for most of the night, but Paolo scoring pretty well given the quality of his shots, Houstan's shot making and the turnovers we forced kept the game close. A shame we couldn't pull it off in the end, Franz having a nightmare didn't help.

Wendell spotting up at the 3 is such a waste, why do we keep doing it, no team ever guards him there, he should be a rim runner or at the dunker's spot at all times.

Every time I watch the Wolves I keep thinking that even at 37 Mike Conley would be an amazing addition to our team, he is exactly the type of PG we need.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 68: Orlando Magic (31-36) at Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29) - 8pm 

Post#260 » by eyriq » Sat Mar 15, 2025 1:40 pm

KillMonger wrote:as dire as things may seem...it shouldn't take that much to improve the team.......at least in theory.......get rid of the dead weight....add competent players around paolo and franz.....for me we don't necessarily need a ball dominant PG......would love a center that could block shots rebound and spread the floor but those don't grow on trees....not only that though we got to have a decent bench as well....now that i've said all that maybe it's a bit harder than i think....either way no matter who we bring in the development of paolo and franz is key, we all know what they need to work on...we go as far as they take us
I don't even think things seem that dire when you zoom out just a teensy bit.

1. Our best players are 23 & younger
2. Our cap sheet is healthy
3. Decline can be explained by injuries to our best players
4. We are fully loaded with draft equity

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