Race for Ping Pong Balls

thelead · Post #741 » by **thelead** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:37 am

Finally... some breathing room!

3ddman23 · Post #742 » by **3ddman23** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:38 am

Huge win for okc !!!! WE NEED TO TAKE AN L TOMORROW PLEASE!!!!!

The Effect · Post #743 » by **The Effect** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:40 am

Wait.........What?

OKC actually beat someone? really? HOW??? that is by far the worst team on paper ive seen since the early hinkie 76ers. I honestly didnt think they would win another game all year, let alone beat a celtics team fighting for the playoffs AND have Brown go off for almost 40....Pure insanity

thelead · Post #744 » by **thelead** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:47 am

The Effect wrote:Wait.........What?

OKC actually beat someone? really? HOW??? that is by far the worst team on paper ive seen since the early hinkie 76ers. I honestly didnt think they would win another game all year, let alone beat a celtics team fighting for the playoffs AND have Brown go off for almost 40....Pure insanity

They had an 11 point lead with 2 minutes to go and had it cut down to 2... Celtics just ran out of time. It was unbelievable.

Anti Chalmers · Post #745 » by **Anti Chalmers** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:53 am

OKC finally won!! I thought Rockets was at 16 wins, not 15. I don’t see us catching up to them.

RookieStar · Post #746 » by **RookieStar** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 1:56 am

Did i just see OKC win against the celts?

thelead · Post #747 » by **thelead** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:02 am

Anti Chalmers wrote:OKC finally won!! I thought Rockets was at 16 wins, not 15. I don’t see us catching up to them.

There is no chance we catch the Rockets. Like zero. But, we control our destiny for finishing at 2.

The Effect · Post #748 » by **The Effect** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:02 am

Anti Chalmers wrote:OKC finally won!! I thought Rockets was at 16 wins, not 15. I don’t see us catching up to them.

no, we wont catch them, especially with them sitting wall for the rest of the season

I mean just look at that line up

Wood | Olynek |Porter Jr | House Jr | Tate

I mean its not as bad as OKC, and could surprise some people, but even if we lost every game for the rest of the season, i dont think we would pass them. They arent going to win 3 more games

Post #749 » by **SOUL** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:12 am

Read on Twitter

KillMonger · Post #750 » by **KillMonger** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:15 am

Holy sheesh okc won? With the g league lineup? Did dort play?

Xatticus · Post #751 » by **Xatticus** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:26 am

RookieStar wrote:
Xatticus wrote:
RookieStar wrote:Unless we get #1 , I don't think we have any chance for Cade. So im settling down for a Green/Suggs pick. I just can't wait for the interview/workouts!!!

BTW, what are the odds NO team moves up or down from their projected spot?

Zero. Or thereabouts.

0.0002739898

That's about 3 hundredths of a percent.

wow... so in the lotto we always expect one of the top5 (record wise) will drop out?

Well... yes, but that's a bit different of a question. I answered the question as to the odds that every team ends up in slot, which is only one potential outcome. Assuming nobody outside of the top 4 moves into the top 4 is a bit different. There are 24 such potential outcomes, most of which have the same odds of happening. The odds of the top 4 remaining the top 4 are still less than 1 percent.

Xatticus · Post #752 » by **Xatticus** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:27 am

thelead wrote:I know we're tanking hard but there is no doubt that OKC is just abusing the system right now. Half the playing team went undrafted and 25% of them were second round picks. No lotto picks and no one that Charles Barkley could identify.

It answers the question as to whether or not the new system will prevent tanking though.

Xatticus · Post #753 » by **Xatticus** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:32 am

SOUL wrote:

Read on Twitter

Their incentive to tank was always overblown as they lose their pick next year if it doesn't convey this year. They should be more concerned with figuring out whether or not they can get this roster to win games.

3ddman23 · Post #754 » by **3ddman23** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:40 am

I swear if the t-wolves lose tbis game I'm gonna be so heated lol

iTs JusT zo · Post #755 » by **iTs JusT zo** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:52 am

Why would we want the wolves to win? We could still catch Houston if they win.

thelead · Post #756 » by **thelead** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 3:03 am

iTs JusT zo wrote:Why would we want the wolves to win? We could still catch Houston if they win.

We are not catching Houston. Do you honestly think, after going 15-46 for the season and 1-9 over their last 10, that they would win 4 games out of their remaining 11 while we lose out the rest of the way?????

Post #757 » by **Knightro** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 3:16 am

Assuming they hold on and win this game, the Wolves will improve to 9-6 on the season when Towns and Russell both play.

10-38 when at least one of them doesn't play.

3ddman23 · Post #758 » by **3ddman23** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 3:37 am

T-wolves win. We have to hold down this #2 spot.

pepe1991 · Post #759 » by **pepe1991** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 5:06 am

People here make sooo much drama about standing like they simply can't wrap their heads around fact that top 3 worst nba teams have equal at getting top 3 pick. It's just matter of how far you can fall.
Difference between 29th or 28th worst record is just matter of that additional 7% chance at falling to 7# slot, where second worst record can't fall past 6th. But those additional 7% chance of falling to 7th by being second worst are not adding to your chance to draft in top 4, they are taken from chance at drating 5th.

Esencially, being 29th instad of 28th just means you have much better chance at drafting 5th than drafting anywhere else, opposite of having biggest chance at drafting 6th.

As for leaping goes, top 3 worst teams have 42% of drafting 1# . However, 4-5-6-7-8 have 45,5% chance at it.
But that's not all, teams ranked between 9-14 spot, have 12,5% at winning lottery (combined), witch happends to be similar chance as individual chances of teams ranked between 1-3 to win it ( 14% vs 12,5%).

No matter how you look at lottery, it always means the same, somebody from outside will leap into top 3 spots, they reformed it to make that a pattern and make teams twice before sucking. Ofc it didn't work because every moron can tear everything down and suck, it really doens't take rocket scientist to demolish.

Post #760 » by **SOUL** » Wed Apr 28, 2021 5:26 am

pepe1991 wrote:People here make sooo much drama about standing like they simply can't wrap their heads around fact that top 3 worst nba teams have equal at getting top 3 pick. It's just matter of how far you can fall.
Difference between 29th or 28th worst record is just matter of that additional 7% chance at falling to 7# slot, where second worst record can't fall past 6th. But those additional 7% chance of falling to 7th by being second worst are not adding to your chance to draft in top 4, they are taken from chance at drating 5th.

Esencially, being 29th instad of 28th just means you have much better chance at drafting 5th than drafting anywhere else, opposite of having biggest chance at drafting 6th.

As for leaping goes, top 3 worst teams have 42% of drafting 1# . However, 4-5-6-7-8 have 45,5% chance at it.
But that's not all, teams ranked between 9-14 spot, have 12,5% at winning lottery (combined), witch happends to be similar chance as individual chances of teams ranked between 1-3 to win it ( 14% vs 12,5%).

No matter how you look at lottery, it always means the same, somebody from outside will leap into top 3 spots, they reformed it to make that a pattern and make teams twice before sucking. Ofc it didn't work because every moron can tear everything down and suck, it really doens't take rocket scientist to demolish.

That's the point. I think most people are fine with one of Cade/Green/Suggs, so not dropping past 4/5 is one way to guarantee that. Cade would be nice but minimalizing how far we fall is important for worst case scenario.