eyriq wrote:If you break a draft down into tiers you can get something like this:
Tier 1: Franchise
Tier 2: All Star
Tier 3: Borderline
Tier 4: Starter
Tier 5: Rotation
with tiers 6 and below ranging from bench to out of the league.
A quick look at PG's drafted since 2000
Tier 1: Arenas, C. Paul, Rose, Westbrook, Irving
Tier 2: Parker, D. Williams, Rondo, Curry
Tier 3: Lillard, *Lawson
Tier 4: M. Williams, J. Nelson, D. Harris, Holiday
I see Burke as an improved Nelson, so I'd put him at least as a Tier 3 guy with serious potential to be a Tier 2 guy.
As far as shooting guards you've got Tier 1 guys Wade, Roy, and Harden and then a bunch of not very exciting players at all. Tyreke Evans, Thornton, Stuckey, Matthews, Klay, Mayo, DeRozan, Courtney Lee, MarShon Brooks, Waites, Lamb, Beal, all are interesting dudes but personally I think McLemore will be better than the lot of them.
Ok, yeah I'm kinda just streaming thought on this here forum but I think it boils down to option 1a McLemore and option 1b Burke.
*Edit: Forgot Lawson (and probably others)
nice breakdown. PG looks like a safer option, and the league has become very PG dominant, so Burke will most likely have the most immediate impact of any of this years rookies. Burke is a Tier 3 in my mind, with the potential to hit tier 2. that's a solid addition.
i can see how Burke can hit the league and succeed. he can create his own shot, he makes good passes, he plays the passing lanes well, he's a leader and a fighter. with McLemore, i can see how he'd fit as a great #2/#3 option playing off the ball, but will that be a big enough impact for us going forwards?
looking at potential lineups helps:
TEAM BURKE
Vuc
Harris
Harkless
Afflalo
Burke
TEAM MCLEMORE
Vuc
Harris
Harkless
McLemore
Nelson
how do you add to these teams? team Burke needs perimeter shooting (once AA is traded), interior defense, and possibly a better #1 scoring option/shot creator than Harris/Burke. Harris is great, but can he carry a team to W's? i'd like to hope so, but we might have to consider the option.
team McLemore needs a PG, interior defense, and again, potentially a better #1 scoring option/#2 scoring option. i know Hennigan has had interviews with Kabongo and Larkin, two guys who could be available in the 2nd round. maybe he's already thinking about finding that PG?
Team Burke seems much closer to being complete. we could go into 2014 looking to take the BPA. Wiggins/Parker/Randle/Gordon/Harrison/Smart could all fit into that roster without too much disruption (Harris either making a full time switch to the 3 or 4, Harkless moving to the 2), and between Vuc/Harris/Burke/2014 rookie we should be deep enough and talented enough to hit the playoffs. Team McLemore would have a lot of wing depth, and we'd most likely still be without a PG unless we drafted Harrison or Smart, or looked to pick up a PG via other means.
i guess the easiest summary is, what's easier to add once we make our selection, a PG or a SG? given that SG is currently such a weak position in the league, i think it's easier to find a serviceable SG. at this point, i'd probably go 1a Burke, 1b McLemore.