Some perspective on the team right now
Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 6:16 am
I'm anticipating an overwhelming response of how everybody on the team sucks, but I felt like taking the time to look over our guys.
Starting 5
Biyombo - 24
Ibaka - 27
Gordon - 21
Fournier - 24
Payton - 22
That is a young squad. Very young. It's easy to look at AG and Payton as our most obvious developing players because they're the youngest and our draft picks, but Biyombo and Fournier are most definitely still developing as players. That's essentially 4 out of 5 guys who are learning on the job.
Now, Ibaka and Fournier are our most capable and accomplished guys within those starters. I think the reason for our struggles is because those two aren't good enough to be top 2 contributors on a winning team. Ibaka couldn't get it done with Westbrook when Durant was out, so expecting him to be able to do so on his own here is probably just unfair. Fournier is learning how to be a primary option and playmaker, and he's still learning how to see the court better.
Biyombo is still learning, too. I won't lie, I wish Vogel had turned him into more of a defensive beast, but at 24 there's still plenty of time for him to take a big step. Looking at this comparison to other defensive C's, he seems to be right in the thick of things across the board.
For Gordon,I looked up this comparison of Gordon to the likes of Kawhi, Paul George, Giannis and Rodney Hood at age 21* (Giannis started getting major minutes much earlier, so I looked at him at age 20, and Hood was 22 as a rookie, so that's the season I went with). In terms of Per36 numbers, it's a pretty damn even race. However, when you look at advanced stats, Gordon is last or 2nd last in nearly all of them. Still, he seems to be on the right path in his development, we just need to be patient whilst he puts it all together.
For Payton, I looked up a comparison for Payton, too, to the likes of Lowry, Kemba, Conley, Reggie Jackson and Bledsoe, all at age 22. These are all starting quality PGs who aren't superstars, but are stars on winning teams (or have been, except for Bledsoe). Elf ranks amongst the top 3 in most categories (except 3pt shooting) in Per36 and Advanced stats. So he's clearly on the right track in his development and rate of progress.
Now, for some perspective, Kemba didn't lead Charlotte to a winning season until he was 25, in his 5th year. Conley until his 4th year. Lowry didn't get to start until he was 24, where he lead Houston to two .500+ seasons but failed to make the playoffs. He didn't make the playoffs until his 2nd season with Toronto, at age 27. Reggie Jackson was 25 before you could say he lead his own team to the playoffs.
Our team is currently built with two guys carrying the load (three including Vuc) who aren't quite up to the task, but because of that they're also best prepared to step aside once AG and EP are ready to take the reigns. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like either of those two will be ready to do that this season on a consistent basis.
I haven't even touched on Vuc, who's improved defensively and who's presence off the bench gives us a starting caliber scorer on the floor at all times. It's a shame it's a bad season for him offensively, but he's still doing great in his role, IMO.
I don't have any answers for our troubles. The one thing I would like to see Vogel do is to get the team playing defense again. This team needs to forge an identity of all-in defense, and anyone who's lagging behind or not pulling their weight needs to be pulled back into the fold or pushed out into the cold.
Starting 5
Biyombo - 24
Ibaka - 27
Gordon - 21
Fournier - 24
Payton - 22
That is a young squad. Very young. It's easy to look at AG and Payton as our most obvious developing players because they're the youngest and our draft picks, but Biyombo and Fournier are most definitely still developing as players. That's essentially 4 out of 5 guys who are learning on the job.
Now, Ibaka and Fournier are our most capable and accomplished guys within those starters. I think the reason for our struggles is because those two aren't good enough to be top 2 contributors on a winning team. Ibaka couldn't get it done with Westbrook when Durant was out, so expecting him to be able to do so on his own here is probably just unfair. Fournier is learning how to be a primary option and playmaker, and he's still learning how to see the court better.
Biyombo is still learning, too. I won't lie, I wish Vogel had turned him into more of a defensive beast, but at 24 there's still plenty of time for him to take a big step. Looking at this comparison to other defensive C's, he seems to be right in the thick of things across the board.
For Gordon,I looked up this comparison of Gordon to the likes of Kawhi, Paul George, Giannis and Rodney Hood at age 21* (Giannis started getting major minutes much earlier, so I looked at him at age 20, and Hood was 22 as a rookie, so that's the season I went with). In terms of Per36 numbers, it's a pretty damn even race. However, when you look at advanced stats, Gordon is last or 2nd last in nearly all of them. Still, he seems to be on the right path in his development, we just need to be patient whilst he puts it all together.
For Payton, I looked up a comparison for Payton, too, to the likes of Lowry, Kemba, Conley, Reggie Jackson and Bledsoe, all at age 22. These are all starting quality PGs who aren't superstars, but are stars on winning teams (or have been, except for Bledsoe). Elf ranks amongst the top 3 in most categories (except 3pt shooting) in Per36 and Advanced stats. So he's clearly on the right track in his development and rate of progress.
Now, for some perspective, Kemba didn't lead Charlotte to a winning season until he was 25, in his 5th year. Conley until his 4th year. Lowry didn't get to start until he was 24, where he lead Houston to two .500+ seasons but failed to make the playoffs. He didn't make the playoffs until his 2nd season with Toronto, at age 27. Reggie Jackson was 25 before you could say he lead his own team to the playoffs.
Our team is currently built with two guys carrying the load (three including Vuc) who aren't quite up to the task, but because of that they're also best prepared to step aside once AG and EP are ready to take the reigns. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like either of those two will be ready to do that this season on a consistent basis.
I haven't even touched on Vuc, who's improved defensively and who's presence off the bench gives us a starting caliber scorer on the floor at all times. It's a shame it's a bad season for him offensively, but he's still doing great in his role, IMO.
I don't have any answers for our troubles. The one thing I would like to see Vogel do is to get the team playing defense again. This team needs to forge an identity of all-in defense, and anyone who's lagging behind or not pulling their weight needs to be pulled back into the fold or pushed out into the cold.